Syracuse at Pittsburgh - 2024 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 24th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -5.0 (62.5) (-220) Open: -5.0 | 61.0
Pittsburgh 41 - Syracuse: 13 (ACC)

Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (29 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR coming off BYE
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Syracuse -1 (SP+ SYR -0.5)
Projected Score: SYR: 32 - PITT: 31 (62)
PITT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
SYR Travel: 268 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Syracuse vs Ohio	-17.5	47.5	W 38 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/7	Syracuse vs Georgia Tech	+2.5	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Syracuse vs Stanford	-9.5	56.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/28	Syracuse vs Holy Cross	-31.5	59.5	W 42 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/4	Syracuse at UNLV	+5.5	55.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Syracuse at NC State	-1.0	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/2	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+3.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Syracuse at California	+10.5	58.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Syracuse vs UConn	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Syracuse vs Miami	+12.5	65.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Syracuse vs Washington State	-19.0	58.5	W 52 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Pittsburgh vs Kent State	-23.5	55.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	-2.5	62.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	+2.5	60.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State	-29.5	59.5	W 73 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-2.5	63.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Pittsburgh vs California	-3.5	57.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-5.0	62.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Pittsburgh at SMU	+7.0	55.5	L 25 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-7.5	56.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+12.0	52.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+7.0	57.0	L 9 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/30	Pittsburgh at Boston College	+3.5	50.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Thu 12/26	Pittsburgh vs Toledo	-6.5	48.5	L 46 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)	34.1	45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)	29.2	42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)	32.9	45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)	28.4	38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	34.1	29	48.1%	4.23	1.2	24	422	87	335	3.1	37%	62%	45%	50%	16%	.25
PITT Defense	13	28.4	21.6	38.1%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	38%	38%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	29.2	32.2	43.5%	4.29	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	45%	17%	.23
PITT Offense	13	32.9	37.6	41.6%	4.11	1.3	21	375	119	256	4.3	42%	58%	45%	39%	21%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	31:06	23.8	50%	67%	6.5	55.3	1.2	1.1	5	2	1	29
Pittsburgh	13	24:01	20.7	38%	52%	6.4	58.2	1.3	1.2	7.6	3	6	27.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	37% (130)	45% (57)	28.3	87.1	3.1	20 (67)	.07 (98)	2.88 (98)	78% (30)	8% (30)	0.81 (128)
PITT Defense	13	45% (13)	38% (20)	-	-	-	-	- (13)	2.36 (2)	48% (1)	12% (25)	0.98 (67)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	46% (23)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.12 (71)	3.05 (77)	82% (119)	10% (54)	1.1 (115)
PITT Offense	13	42% (116)	45% (56)	27.3	118.6	4.3	14 (98)	.18 (42)	3.1 (53)	77% (40)	12% (119)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	62% (5)	50% (5)	28.4	43.4	335.2	7.7	11.8	29 (12)	12 (85)	.37 (18)	1.5 (89)	31% (58)	38% (4)	.34 (70)	8% (117)	2 (83)
PITT Defense	13	55% (122)	38% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (70)	1.8 (123)	37% (3)	31% (82)	.33 (82)	6% (50)	2.2 (113)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	53% (111)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.35 (113)	1.5 (26)	31% (87)	33% (101)	.43 (113)	7% (44)	2.1 (76)
PITT Offense	13	58% (18)	39% (97)	21.8	35.9	256.2	7.1	11.7	27 (20)	13 (103)	.13 (112)	1.6 (55)	32% (85)	35% (30)	.36 (60)	8% (126)	2.1 (40)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 8.66 Pittsburgh: 5.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 5.5 Pittsburgh: 4.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 32
Pittsburgh 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 34
Syracuse 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 33
Syracuse 28

Total Points: 61

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Syracuse	13	Pittsburgh	30	Pittsburgh -9.5	Pittsburgh	54.5	Under
2024	10/24	Pittsburgh	41	Syracuse	13	Pittsburgh -5.0	Pittsburgh	62.5	Under
2023	11/11	Syracuse	28	Pittsburgh	13	Pittsburgh -4.5	Syracuse	37.5	Over
2022	11/05	Pittsburgh	19	Syracuse	9	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	47.5	Under
2021	11/27	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	31	Pittsburgh -12	Pittsburgh	58.5	Under
2020	09/19	Pittsburgh	21	Syracuse	10	Pittsburgh -21.5	Syracuse	46.5	Under
2019	10/18	Syracuse	20	Pittsburgh	27	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	52.5	Under
2018	10/06	Pittsburgh	44	Syracuse	37	Syracuse -3.5	Pittsburgh	58.0	Over
2017	10/07	Syracuse	27	Pittsburgh	24	Syracuse -3	Push	63.0	Under
2016	11/26	Pittsburgh	76	Syracuse	61	Pittsburgh -23.5	Syracuse	65.5	Over
2015	10/24	Syracuse	20	Pittsburgh	23	Pittsburgh -6.5	Syracuse	49.0	Under
2014	11/22	Pittsburgh	30	Syracuse	7	Pittsburgh -8	Pittsburgh	0
2013	11/23	Syracuse	16	Pittsburgh	17	Pittsburgh -1.5	Syracuse	0
2012	10/05	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	13
2011	12/03	Pittsburgh	33	Syracuse	20
2010	10/16	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	45
2009	11/07	Pittsburgh	37	Syracuse	10
2008	09/27	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	34
2007	11/03	Pittsburgh	20	Syracuse	17
2006	10/07	Syracuse	11	Pittsburgh	21
2005	10/22	Pittsburgh	34	Syracuse	17
2004	11/06	Syracuse	38	Pittsburgh	31
2003	10/25	Pittsburgh	34	Syracuse	14
2002	10/05	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	48
2001	10/13	Pittsburgh	10	Syracuse	42
2000	10/06	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	20	7	3 Overs
Syracuse	6	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	7 - 5	3 - 2	4 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 3

(#35) SYR at (#56) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	PITT
Power RatePwr	#35	#56
SP+SP+	#45	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#46	#88
OffenseOff	#13	#116
DefenseDef	#102	#41
Spec TeamsST	#113	#37
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#48

Syracuse Notes(12/1) McCord torched Miami. Def torched but 28-17 4th Q
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great
(9/1) OL meh, DL awful vs Ohio (255 yds rush, 6.5 ypc)
Syracuse Injury Report

Pittsburgh Notes(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
Perf GradePerf	#13	#41
SuccessSuc	#14	#25
ExplosiveExp	#68	#122
PPAPPA	#28	#35
PowerPwr	#12	#45
SP+SP+	#14	#64
Pts POPPO	#38	#57
HavocHav	#61	#31

Syracuse Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#96	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#20
Run ExplRExp	#128	#67
PPAExp	#98	#13
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#5
TackleTak	-	#33

Syracuse Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#38
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#123
PPAExp	#18	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#46
F7 HavocF7	#30	#25
DB HavocDB	#117	#50

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
Perf GradePerf	#116	#102
SuccessSuc	#85	#91
ExplosiveExp	#19	#90
PPAPPA	#91	#107
PowerPwr	#78	#80
SP+SP+	#54	#83
Pts POPPO	#49	#112
HavocHav	#128	#52

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#83	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#56	#58
Run ExplRExp	#41	#115
PPAExp	#42	#71
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#74
TackleTak	-	#108

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#26
PPAExp	#112	#113
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#68
F7 HavocF7	#119	#54
DB HavocDB	#126	#44

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55°

Rematch from Week 9
Pittsburgh -5.0 (62.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Syracuse this year (41-13)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2022 (19-9)

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Yasin Willis	36	130	1	3.6	26
Will Nixon (Tr)	19	76	0	4.0	12
Trebor Pena	12	72	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Trebor Pena	84	941	9	11.2	50
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Darrell Gill Jr.	31	562	2	18.1	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
KingJoseph Edwards	7	3	3	1	0
Denis Jaquez Jr.	22	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)	36	1	0	0	12
Jayden Bellamy	34	1	0	0	6
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7
Nate Yarnell	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)	184	966	5	5.3	72
Eli Holstein (Tr)	81	328	3	4.0	49
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Julian Dugger	21	88	1	4.2	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Desmond Reid (Tr)	52	579	4	11.1	72
Kenny Johnson	46	537	3	11.7	46
Raphael Williams	36	419	6	11.6	35

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Jimmy Scott	30	13	6	6	2
Nate Matlack (Tr)	23	7	5	8	3
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7