Syracuse at Pittsburgh - 2024 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Thursday, October 24th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -5.0 (62.5) (-220)  Open: -5.0 | 61.0
Pittsburgh 41 - Syracuse: 13  (ACC)

 
Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (29 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
SYR coming off BYE
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Syracuse -1   (SP+ SYR -0.5)

Projected Score: SYR: 31 - PITT: 30 (62)
PITT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
SYR Travel: 268 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Syracuse vs Ohio-17.547.5W 38 - 22ON
Sat 9/7 Syracuse vs Georgia Tech+2.560.5W 31 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Syracuse vs Stanford-9.556.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 9/28 Syracuse vs Holy Cross-31.559.5W 42 - 14UN
Fri 10/4 Syracuse at UNLV+5.555.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 10/12 Syracuse at NC State-1.051.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+5.062.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/2 Syracuse vs Virginia Tech+3.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Syracuse at Boston College+5.551.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Syracuse at California+10.558.0W 33 - 25UY
Sat 11/23 Syracuse vs UConn-10.053.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 Syracuse vs Miami+12.565.5W 42 - 38OY
Fri 12/27 Syracuse vs Washington State-19.058.5W 52 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Kent State-23.555.5W 55 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati-2.562.5W 28 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh vs West Virginia+2.560.5W 38 - 34OY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-29.559.5W 73 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at North Carolina-2.563.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Pittsburgh vs California-3.557.5W 17 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-5.062.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at SMU+7.055.5L 25 - 48ON
Sat 11/9 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-7.556.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Clemson+12.052.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Louisville+7.057.0L 9 - 37UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh at Boston College+3.550.5L 23 - 34ON
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Toledo-6.548.5L 46 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#100 (.13)40% (98)34.141% (94)2.98 (93)17239% (95)1723.38 (103)#67 (.18)44% (93)29.247% (113)41% (55)3.33 (22)61.61.81.7
PITT#119 (.09)38% (113)32.941% (90)2.86 (109)10235% (117)2163.46 (98)#23 (.11)39% (39)28.439% (32)41% (67)3.41 (33)64.41.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1334.12939.6%3.381.8183441721724.261%38%41%39%18%.13
PITT Defense1228.421.639.4%3.411.3 - - - - - 58%41%39%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1329.232.243.8%3.331.7 - - - - - 50%50%47%41%18%.18
PITT Offense1232.937.637.7%3.461.8163181022163.445%54%41%35%19%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1328:1617.839%50%7.361.61.81.762.2329.6
Pittsburgh1227:3616.331%50%7.864.41.81.36.92.5226.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1361% (10)41% (94)40.8171.54.220 (61).12 (87)2.98 (93)71% (94)12% (116)1.04 (47)
PITT Defense1258% (131)39% (32) - - - - .03 (17)2.91 (37)62% (16)12% (18)0.98 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1350% (63)47% (113) - - - - .13 (60)3.13 (75)79% (105)12% (16)0.8 (6)
PITT Offense1245% (100)41% (90)29.7101.93.410 (124).06 (118)2.86 (109)75% (52)11% (94)0.89 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1338% (124)39% (95)14.724.2172.17.111.717 (85)15 (116).22 (88)1.5 (93)31% (48)27% (102).23 (101)6% (83)2.1 (64)
PITT Defense1241% (3)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (67).27 (67)1.7 (103)32% (58)30% (75).29 (58)6% (85)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1350% (76)41% (55) - - - - - - 9 (87).25 (55)1.6 (68)31% (85)30% (64).25 (37)6% (78)1.8 (6)
PITT Offense1254% (34)35% (117)16302167.213.517 (85)12 (85).16 (109)1.7 (36)34% (103)24% (122).17 (114)8% (123)2.2 (26)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 8.66   Pittsburgh: 5.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 5.5   Pittsburgh: 4.9




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 31
Pittsburgh 30


Projected Total Points: 62
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/24Pittsburgh41Syracuse13PittsburghPittsburgh -5.0Pittsburgh62.5Under
202311/11Syracuse28Pittsburgh13SyracusePittsburgh -4.5Syracuse37.5Over
202211/05Pittsburgh19Syracuse9PittsburghPittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh47.5Under
202111/27Syracuse14Pittsburgh31PittsburghPittsburgh -12Pittsburgh58.5Under
202009/19Pittsburgh21Syracuse10PittsburghPittsburgh -21.5Syracuse46.5Under
201910/18Syracuse20Pittsburgh27PittsburghPittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
201810/06Pittsburgh44Syracuse37PittsburghSyracuse -3.5Pittsburgh58.0Over
201710/07Syracuse27Pittsburgh24SyracuseSyracuse -3Push63.0Under
201611/26Pittsburgh76Syracuse61PittsburghPittsburgh -23.5Syracuse65.5Over
201510/24Syracuse20Pittsburgh23PittsburghPittsburgh -6.5Syracuse49.0Under
201411/22Pittsburgh30Syracuse7PittsburghPittsburgh -8Pittsburgh0
201311/23Syracuse16Pittsburgh17PittsburghPittsburgh -1.5Syracuse0
201210/05Syracuse14Pittsburgh13Syracuse
201112/03Pittsburgh33Syracuse20Pittsburgh
201010/16Syracuse14Pittsburgh45Pittsburgh
200911/07Pittsburgh37Syracuse10Pittsburgh
200809/27Syracuse24Pittsburgh34Pittsburgh
200711/03Pittsburgh20Syracuse17Pittsburgh
200610/07Syracuse11Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh
200510/22Pittsburgh34Syracuse17Pittsburgh
200411/06Syracuse38Pittsburgh31Syracuse
200310/25Pittsburgh34Syracuse14Pittsburgh
200210/05Syracuse24Pittsburgh48Pittsburgh
200110/13Pittsburgh10Syracuse42Syracuse
200010/06Syracuse24Pittsburgh17Syracuse
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh1963 Overs
Syracuse657 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 43 - 24 - 2
Road Teams9 - 164 - 72 - 42 - 3

(#35) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great
Syracuse     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #35
#56
Off #12
#78
Def #80
#45
Talent #68
#37
SP+ #45
#50
SP+ Off #14
#54
SP+ Def #83
#64

Rematch from Week 9
Pittsburgh -5.0 (62.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Syracuse this year (41-13)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2022 (19-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55°

Team Information
Injuries: SYR | PITT
Depth Chart: SYR | PITT
Rosters: SYR | PITT
(#56) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched


  
Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)39159266%477934128.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon (Tr)197604.012
Trebor Pena127216.017
Dan Villari122912.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)781021713.141
Trebor Pena84941911.250
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153
Umari Hatcher17273316.167

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
Derek Mcdonald501020
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)3610012
Jayden Bellamy341006
Darian Chestnut604115

Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)17929062%22251777.7
Nate Yarnell9816759%10561056.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)18496655.372
Eli Holstein (Tr)8132834.049
Julian Dugger218814.220
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Nate Matlack (Tr)237583
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum (Tr)372106
Kyle Louis10016793