Toledo at Eastern Michigan Game Matchup

Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -10 (54.5) (-360) Open: -6.0
Toledo 29 - Eastern Michigan: 28 (Mid-American)

Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

EMU is playing their 4th straight game
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -6.5 (SP+ TOL -11)
Projected Score: TOL: 30 - EMU: 23 (53)
TOL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 41 miles

Eagles (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (52 - 68)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Toledo vs Duquesne	-27.5	53.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Toledo vs Massachusetts	-17.5	50.5	W 38 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/14	Toledo at Mississippi State	+10.5	56.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Toledo at Western Kentucky	-2.0	60.5	L 21 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Toledo vs Miami (OH)	-4.5	44.0	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Toledo at Buffalo	-10.5	44.5	L 15 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/19	Toledo at Northern Illinois	+3.0	42.5	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-1.5	47.5	L 26 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/2	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-10.0	54.5	W 29 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-15.0	52.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Toledo vs Ohio	-1.5	47.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Tue 11/26	Toledo at Akron	-9.5	50.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Thu 12/26	Toledo vs Pittsburgh	+6.5	48.5	W 48 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	+2.5	49.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Eastern Michigan at Washington	+25.0	48.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Eastern Michigan vs Jacksonville State	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-25.5	45.5	W 36 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Eastern Michigan at Kent State	-14.0	46.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+3.0	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	52.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Eastern Michigan at Akron	-2.5	50.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/2	Eastern Michigan vs Toledo	+10.0	54.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Eastern Michigan at Ohio	+10.5	51.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Wed 11/20	Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo	-1.0	53.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/30	Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.5	56.5	L 18 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	#27 (.28)	45% (34)	28.3	46% (38)	3.36 (20)	199	45% (37)	220	4.44 (26)	#22 (.1)	38% (29)	23.2	41% (54)	36% (14)	3.33 (22)	61.9	1.5	1.3
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	25.9	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	27.9	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	14	28.3	22.2	45.2%	4.44	1.5	20	419	199	220	5.3	57%	42%	46%	45%	13%	.28
EMU Defense	13	27.9	28.7	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	14	23.2	21.3	38.4%	3.33	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	36%	17%	.1
EMU Offense	13	25.9	28.8	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	14	27:55	20.3	44%	59%	6.6	61.9	1.5	1.3	5.1	2.5	2	31
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	14	57% (17)	46% (38)	37.4	198.9	5.3	31 (17)	.2 (41)	3.36 (20)	81% (14)	8% (24)	1.05 (38)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	14	51% (82)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.14 (66)	3.12 (72)	73% (71)	10% (73)	0.99 (64)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	14	42% (116)	45% (37)	16.6	26.9	220.2	8.2	13.3	26 (31)	10 (56)	.42 (24)	1.7 (24)	32% (80)	32% (59)	.38 (52)	5% (35)	2 (78)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	14	48% (46)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.12 (10)	1.5 (43)	34% (45)	25% (17)	.2 (17)	8% (16)	2 (61)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -9.50 Eastern Michigan: -12.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5 Eastern Michigan: -13.3

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -12.69 #116
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
2024 Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 30
Eastern Michigan 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	29	Toledo	Toledo -10	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2023	11/08	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	23	Toledo	Toledo -19.5	Toledo	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Eastern Michigan	24	Toledo	27	Toledo	Toledo -4	Eastern Michigan	54.0	Under
2021	11/02	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	52	Eastern Michigan	Toledo -9	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2020	11/18	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	45	Toledo	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	62.5	Over
2019	10/26	Toledo	37	Eastern Michigan	34	Toledo	Toledo -2.5	Toledo	52.0	Over
2018	10/13	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	26	Eastern Michigan	Toledo -2	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Under
2017	10/07	Toledo	20	Eastern Michigan	15	Toledo	Toledo -13.5	Eastern Michigan	60.0	Under
2016	10/08	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	35	Toledo	Toledo -17.5	Eastern Michigan	65.5	Under
2015	10/17	Toledo	63	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	Toledo -28	Toledo	63.0	Over
2014	11/28	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	52	Toledo	Toledo -21.5	Toledo	0
2013	11/02	Toledo	55	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	Toledo -28	Toledo	0
2012	10/13	Eastern Michigan	47	Toledo	52	Toledo
2011	10/08	Toledo	54	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo
2010	10/30	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo	42	Toledo
2009	11/20	Toledo	47	Eastern Michigan	21	Toledo
2008	09/13	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	41	Toledo
2007	11/03	Toledo	52	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo
2006	10/21	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	13	Eastern Michigan
2005	10/08	Toledo	30	Eastern Michigan	3	Toledo
2004	09/18	Eastern Michigan	32	Toledo	42	Toledo
2003	10/11	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo
2002	09/07	Eastern Michigan	13	Toledo	65	Toledo
2001	11/17	Toledo	28	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo
2000	10/06	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo	42	Toledo

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	3	6	6 Overs
Toledo	22	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	8 - 4	4 - 2	4 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	4 - 8	2 - 4	2 - 4

(#99) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful

Toledo Ratings Matchup Eastern Michigan

Power #99

#116

Off #121

#114

Def #50

#100

Talent #73

#87

SP+ #80

#114

SP+ Off #88

#110

SP+ Def #64

#115

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo 10.0 (54.5)
Toledo won at Eastern Michigan this year (29-28)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan last year (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | EMU
Depth Chart: TOL | EMU
Rosters: TOL | EMU

(#116) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.69 #116
Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Eastern Michigan Notes
(11/18) Off was awful & Def all. 21 pts in 2H in Ohio L
(11/2) Def 22 pt 4th Q collapse cost them vs Toledo
(10/20) Synder 17-38, 300, 3 TDs, Run Def all 285 yds
(10/13) Def awful vs M-Oh. Snyder bad, Rgame bad
(10/4) Off good, Def v bad. QB Synder best in MAC?
(9/14) 52 car/152 yds vs Jax St? QB Snyder good
(9/1) Good W @ UMass. Off Ok, Def good wk 1
(8/15) Called the dirtiest team in the MAC.
(8/9) QB Snyder has 25 starts at Buffalo
(8/7) Stats LY are more like a 3-4 win team, bravo

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Gleason	207	335	62%	2457	22	7	7.3
John Alan Richter	43	67	64%	497	4	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Connor Walendzak	122	457	1	3.7	32
Tucker Gleason	88	330	6	3.8	35
Sevaughn Clark	62	209	0	3.4	26
Willie Shaw III	46	190	3	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Junior Vandeross	73	763	4	10.5	73
Thomas Zsiros	12	148	1	12.3	25
Eric Holley	14	126	0	9.0	40
Jaden Dottin	9	123	0	13.7	41

View Toledo's Full Roster

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Braden Awls	67	3	1	7
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren	61	2	1	4
Avery Smith	50	1	0	13
Lance Dixon (Tr)	42	6	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Dunn	25	7	4	2	0
Lance Dixon (Tr)	42	6	2	0	4
Malachi Davis	19	4	2	1	0
Esean Carter	16	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Avery Smith	50	1	0	13
Braden Awls	67	3	1	7
Lance Dixon (Tr)	42	6	2	4

Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder (Tr)	239	402	60%	2676	15	9	6.7
Jeremiah Salem	8	11	73%	126	1	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III (Tr)	182	799	9	4.4	41
Cole Snyder (Tr)	136	322	4	2.4	29
Elijah Jackson-Anderson	54	218	2	4.0	40
Joey Mattord	29	118	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terry Lockett	46	660	5	14.3	79
Oran Singleton Jr.	64	644	2	10.1	44
Markus Allen	42	636	3	15.1	78
Max Reese	27	232	2	8.6	34

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Luke Murphy (Tr)	94	5	0	4	0
Quentavius Scandrett	54	0	0	1	2
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam (Tr)	26	7	5	0	0
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Trey Laing (Tr)	21	6	3	2	1
Joseph Zelinsky	30	6	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Barry Manning	27	3	0	0	2