Ohio Bobcats at Toledo Rockets
Wednesday, November 20th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -1.5 (47.0) (-115) Open: -3.0
Ohio 24 - Toledo: 7 (Mid-American)
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ohio -0.5 (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 24 - TOL: 24 (48)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
OHIO Travel: 180 miles
Our Line: Ohio -0.5 (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 24 - TOL: 24 (48)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
OHIO Travel: 180 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Ohio's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Ohio at Syracuse | +17.5 | 47.5 | L 22 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Ohio vs South Alabama | +1.5 | 55.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ohio vs Morgan State | -24.5 | 45.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ohio at Kentucky | +19.0 | 42.0 | L 6 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ohio vs Akron | -8.5 | 46.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Ohio at Central Michigan | -3.0 | 50.5 | W 27 - 25 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ohio at Miami (OH) | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ohio vs Buffalo | -4.0 | 46.5 | W 47 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Ohio at Kent State | -20.5 | 53.5 | W 41 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Ohio vs Eastern Michigan | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 35 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Ohio at Toledo | +1.5 | 47.0 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ohio vs Ball State | -17.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Ohio vs Miami (OH) | +2.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Ohio vs Jacksonville State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 29.3 | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 18.1 | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 28.3 | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 23.2 | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | ||
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 29.3 | 23.3 | 45.8% | 4.15 | 1.6 | 22 | 406 | 214 | 193 | 5.2 | 59% | 41% | 47% | 45% | 14% | .24 |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 39.8% | 3.87 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 42% | 38% | 19% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 18.1 | 23.5 | 36.9% | 3.79 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 54% | 34% | 40% | 20% | .1 |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 40.8% | 3.55 | 1.3 | 18 | 339 | 111 | 227 | 3.5 | 46% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 16% | .11 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 14 | 32:43 | 21.9 | 48% | 60% | 5.5 | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 27.9 |
| Toledo | 13 | 25:06 | 18.4 | 36% | 50% | 5.4 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 31.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 59% (13) | 47% (35) | 40.7 | 213.5 | 5.2 | 35 (8) | .24 (18) | 3.1 (52) | 78% (31) | 9% (52) | 1.12 (13) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 52% (83) | 42% (60) | - | - | - | - | .11 (66) | 3.01 (69) | 77% (89) | 12% (31) | 0.95 (48) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 45% (15) | 34% (3) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (6) | 2.49 (8) | 74% (69) | 13% (13) | 1 (72) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 46% (96) | 38% (120) | 31.5 | 111.3 | 3.5 | 12 (114) | -.04 (127) | 2.66 (121) | 57% (130) | 10% (74) | 0.83 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 41% (119) | 45% (35) | 15.5 | 24.7 | 192.5 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 15 (98) | 12 (85) | .23 (80) | 1.4 (128) | 29% (32) | 37% (13) | .45 (23) | 5% (43) | 1.8 (120) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 48% (51) | 38% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .08 (11) | 1.5 (29) | 34% (38) | 29% (39) | .22 (34) | 7% (35) | 2 (43) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 54% (121) | 40% (57) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .22 (60) | 1.5 (53) | 35% (22) | 24% (2) | .18 (19) | 7% (40) | 2.2 (107) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 53% (41) | 44% (46) | 19.2 | 31 | 227.2 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 26 (26) | 7 (26) | .26 (67) | 1.6 (61) | 31% (65) | 27% (108) | .18 (115) | 6% (76) | 2 (68) |
Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3 Toledo: -2.5
Ohio: -8.26 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 24
Toledo 24
Total Points: 48
Ohio 24
Toledo 24
Total Points: 48
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/20 | Toledo | 7 | Ohio | 24 | Ohio | Toledo -1.5 | Ohio | 47.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 12/03 | Ohio | 7 | Toledo | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -3.5 | Toledo | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/16 | Ohio | 23 | Toledo | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -7.5 | Toledo | 57.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/08 | Ohio | 38 | Toledo | 10 | Ohio | Toledo -3 | Ohio | 63.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/27 | Toledo | 26 | Ohio | 31 | Ohio | Toledo -17.5 | Ohio | 57.0 | Push |
| 2010 | 09/11 | Ohio | 13 | Toledo | 20 | Toledo | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | Toledo | 43 | Ohio | 40 | Toledo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/04 | Ohio | 21 | Toledo | 30 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Toledo | 31 | Ohio | 13 | Toledo | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Ohio | 41 | Toledo | 48 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 7 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Ohio | 3 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 7 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 3 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
(#93) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has won 3 straight
Ohio has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has won 3 straight
Ohio has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TOL | OHIO |
| OverallOver | #36 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #84 | #61 |
| DefenseDef | #11 | #43 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #68 |
| PassingPass | #58 | #53 |
| RushingRush | #96 | #46 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #90 | #44 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #101 | #102 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #28 | #48 |
| TacklingTkl | #3 | #107 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #62 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #19 | #24 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #52 |
(#99) Toledo Info
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 2 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 2 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Navarro | 195 | 295 | 66% | 2423 | 13 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Nick Poulos | 22 | 49 | 45% | 271 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Tyus III (Tr) | 237 | 1215 | 9 | 5.1 | 46 |
| Parker Navarro | 160 | 1047 | 18 | 6.5 | 55 |
| Rickey Hunt | 76 | 393 | 2 | 5.2 | 59 |
| Nick Poulos | 28 | 149 | 1 | 5.3 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Owen (Tr) | 78 | 1235 | 8 | 15.8 | 75 |
| Chase Hendricks | 40 | 471 | 1 | 11.8 | 56 |
| Rodney Harris II | 23 | 299 | 0 | 13.0 | 52 |
| Mason Williams | 19 | 211 | 2 | 11.1 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Leake (Tr) | 94 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Dustin Johnson (Tr) | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Weaver | 44 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Kadin Schmitz | 32 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Parodie | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| DJ Walker | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tank Pearson | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 61 | 230 | 2 | 3.8 | 26 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerjuan Newton | 64 | 949 | 11 | 14.8 | 64 |
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Anthony Torres | 27 | 362 | 8 | 13.4 | 78 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 15 | 170 | 0 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxen Hook | 108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Bolden | 91 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Jackson Barrow | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Ragin | 42 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Martez Poynter | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |