Pittsburgh at Boston College - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#22)Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Boston College -3.5 (50.5) (-165) Open: -4.0 | 48.5
Boston College 34 - Pittsburgh: 23 (ACC)

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
BC 2nd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -1 (SP+ PITT -3.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - BC: 28 (54)
BC Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 477 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Pittsburgh vs Kent State	-23.5	55.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	-2.5	62.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	+2.5	60.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State	-29.5	59.5	W 73 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-2.5	63.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Pittsburgh vs California	-3.5	57.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-5.0	62.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Pittsburgh at SMU	+7.0	55.5	L 25 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-7.5	56.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+12.0	52.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+7.0	57.0	L 9 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/30	Pittsburgh at Boston College	+3.5	50.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Thu 12/26	Pittsburgh vs Toledo	-6.5	48.5	L 46 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Boston College's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/2	Boston College at Florida State	+16.5	50.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Boston College vs Duquesne	-33.5	52.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Boston College at Missouri	+14.5	51.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Boston College vs Michigan State	-4.5	45.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/28	Boston College vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Boston College at Virginia	+2.0	52.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 10/25	Boston College vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Boston College at SMU	+19.0	54.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Boston College vs North Carolina	+2.0	50.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	50.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/28	Boston College vs Nebraska	+3.0	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)	32.9	45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)	28.4	38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)	28.2	41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)	23.8	40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	32.9	23.8	41.6%	4.11	1.3	21	375	119	256	4.3	42%	58%	45%	39%	21%	.15
BC Defense	13	23.8	20.7	42.2%	3.64	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	40%	44%	16%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	28.4	34	38.1%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	38%	38%	18%	.12
BC Offense	13	28.2	34.1	40.9%	4	1.2	18	340	164	176	4.3	56%	44%	41%	41%	13%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	24:01	20.7	38%	52%	6.4	58.2	1.3	1.2	7.6	3	6	27.3
Boston College	13	29:25	17.8	43%	50%	4.2	40	1.2	1.8	4.7	2	3	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	42% (116)	45% (56)	27.3	118.6	4.3	14 (98)	.18 (42)	3.1 (53)	77% (40)	12% (119)	1.05 (41)
BC Defense	13	45% (12)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.05 (33)	2.84 (43)	82% (120)	9% (96)	0.92 (40)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	45% (13)	38% (20)	-	-	-	-	- (13)	2.36 (2)	48% (1)	12% (25)	0.98 (67)
BC Offense	13	56% (26)	41% (96)	38.2	164.2	4.3	22 (55)	.01 (120)	2.87 (99)	72% (79)	9% (53)	0.86 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	58% (18)	39% (97)	21.8	35.9	256.2	7.1	11.7	27 (20)	13 (103)	.13 (112)	1.6 (55)	32% (85)	35% (30)	.36 (60)	8% (126)	2.1 (40)
BC Defense	13	55% (123)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.23 (67)	1.4 (12)	32% (71)	29% (43)	.2 (26)	7% (36)	1.8 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	55% (122)	38% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (70)	1.8 (123)	37% (3)	31% (82)	.33 (82)	6% (50)	2.2 (113)
BC Offense	13	44% (108)	41% (78)	13.9	22.2	176.2	7.9	12.7	24 (38)	7 (26)	.34 (29)	1.9 (7)	30% (50)	32% (68)	.34 (68)	4% (12)	2.3 (11)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93 Boston College: 4.395

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 Boston College: 1.2

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 28
Pittsburgh 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 36
Pittsburgh 23

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 31
Pittsburgh 25

Total Points: 56

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Pittsburgh	48	Boston College	7	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	54.5	Over
2024	11/30	Boston College	34	Pittsburgh	23	Boston College -3.5	Boston College	50.5	Over
2023	11/16	Pittsburgh	24	Boston College	16	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	47.0	Under
2020	10/10	Boston College	31	Pittsburgh	30	Pittsburgh -6.0	Boston College	42.5	Over
2019	11/30	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	26	Pittsburgh -9	Boston College	52.0	Under
2014	09/05	Boston College	20	Pittsburgh	30	Boston College -1	Pittsburgh	0
2004	10/16	Pittsburgh	20	Boston College	17
2003	11/01	Boston College	13	Pittsburgh	24
2002	10/26	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	16
2001	10/20	Boston College	45	Pittsburgh	7
2000	10/20	Pittsburgh	42	Boston College	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	4	3	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	7	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 8	2 - 4	0 - 1	2 - 3

(#56) PITT at (#51) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#56	#51
SP+SP+	#50	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#56
OffenseOff	#116	#64
DefenseDef	#41	#33
Spec TeamsST	#37	#114
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#82

Pittsburgh Notes(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report

Boston College Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled NC, James OK, Def great in W
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
(9/23) Outgained by MSU but 4 TOs in big W
Boston College Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#33
SuccessSuc	#85	#74
ExplosiveExp	#19	#30
PPAPPA	#91	#56
PowerPwr	#78	#58
SP+SP+	#54	#56
Pts POPPO	#49	#51
HavocHav	#128	#72

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#83	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#56	#40
Run ExplRExp	#41	#40
PPAExp	#42	#33
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	#43
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#67
TackleTak	-	#39

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#12
PPAExp	#112	#67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#62
F7 HavocF7	#119	#96
DB HavocDB	#126	#36

Boston College on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#64	#41
SuccessSuc	#93	#25
ExplosiveExp	#42	#122
PPAPPA	#89	#35
PowerPwr	#75	#45
SP+SP+	#62	#64
Pts POPPO	#58	#57
HavocHav	#24	#31

Boston College Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#104	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	#96	#20
Run ExplRExp	#120	#67
PPAExp	#120	#13
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#99	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#5
TackleTak	-	#33

Boston College Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#78	#38
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#123
PPAExp	#29	#70
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#35	#46
F7 HavocF7	#53	#25
DB HavocDB	#12	#50

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 14
Boston College -3.5 (50.5)
Boston College won vs Pittsburgh this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7
Nate Yarnell	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)	184	966	5	5.3	72
Eli Holstein (Tr)	81	328	3	4.0	49
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Julian Dugger	21	88	1	4.2	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Desmond Reid (Tr)	52	579	4	11.1	72
Kenny Johnson	46	537	3	11.7	46
Raphael Williams	36	419	6	11.6	35

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Jimmy Scott	30	13	6	6	2
Nate Matlack (Tr)	23	7	5	8	3
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson James (Tr)	106	166	64%	1202	6	2	7.2
Thomas Castellanos	99	161	62%	1366	18	5	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux	175	744	10	4.3	41
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)	53	361	3	6.8	41
Turbo Richard	55	278	2	5.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	67	689	3	10.3	49
Reed Harris	17	486	4	28.6	72
Kamari Morales (Tr)	28	325	6	11.6	54
Jeremiah Franklin	27	311	3	11.5	34

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
Carter Davis	43	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Quintayvious Hutchins	29	6	4	8	0
Owen Stoudmire	29	4	3	2	0
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Ryan Turner (Tr)	13	2	1	0	4
Amari Jackson	18	0	0	0	4