Pittsburgh at Boston College Game Matchup
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Boston College -3.5 (50.5) (-165)  Open: -4.0 | 48.5
Boston College 34 - Pittsburgh: 23  (ACC)

 
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
BC 2nd straight Home Game
BC is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -1   (SP+ PITT -3.5)

Projected Score: PITT: 26 - BC: 27 (56)
BC Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 477 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Kent State-23.555.5W 55 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati-2.562.5W 28 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh vs West Virginia+2.560.5W 38 - 34OY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-29.559.5W 73 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at North Carolina-2.563.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Pittsburgh vs California-3.557.5W 17 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-5.062.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at SMU+7.055.5L 25 - 48ON
Sat 11/9 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-7.556.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Clemson+12.052.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Louisville+7.057.0L 9 - 37UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh at Boston College+3.550.5L 23 - 34ON
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Toledo-6.548.5L 46 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 5, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Boston College at Florida State+16.550.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Boston College vs Duquesne-33.552.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Boston College at Missouri+14.551.5L 21 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 Boston College vs Michigan State-4.545.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/28 Boston College vs Western Kentucky-7.548.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Boston College at Virginia+2.052.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+8.547.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 10/25 Boston College vs Louisville+7.054.0L 27 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Boston College vs Syracuse-5.551.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Boston College at SMU+19.054.5L 28 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Boston College vs North Carolina+2.050.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 Boston College vs Pittsburgh-3.550.5W 34 - 23OY
Sat 12/28 Boston College vs Nebraska+3.047.5L 15 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#119 (.09)38% (113)32.941% (90)2.86 (109)10235% (117)2163.46 (98)#23 (.11)39% (39)28.439% (32)41% (67)3.41 (33)64.41.81.3
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)28.246% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)23.843% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1232.923.837.7%3.461.8163181022163.445%54%41%35%19%.09
BC Defense1323.820.743.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1228.43439.4%3.411.3 - - - - - 58%41%39%41%18%.11
BC Offense1328.234.142.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1227:3616.331%50%7.864.41.81.36.92.5226.7
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1245% (100)41% (90)29.7101.93.410 (124).06 (118)2.86 (109)75% (52)11% (94)0.89 (117)
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1258% (131)39% (32) - - - - .03 (17)2.91 (37)62% (16)12% (18)0.98 (57)
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1254% (34)35% (117)16302167.213.517 (85)12 (85).16 (109)1.7 (36)34% (103)24% (122).17 (114)8% (123)2.2 (26)
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1241% (3)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (67).27 (67)1.7 (103)32% (58)30% (75).29 (58)6% (85)2.2 (111)
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93   Boston College: 4.395

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9   Boston College: 1.2




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 732.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 27
Pittsburgh 26


Projected Total Points: 56
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Boston College34Pittsburgh23Boston CollegeBoston College -3.5Boston College50.5Over
202311/16Pittsburgh24Boston College16PittsburghPittsburgh -1Pittsburgh47.0Under
202010/10Boston College31Pittsburgh30Boston CollegePittsburgh -6.0Boston College42.5Over
201911/30Pittsburgh19Boston College26Boston CollegePittsburgh -9Boston College52.0Under
201409/05Boston College20Pittsburgh30PittsburghBoston College -1Pittsburgh0
200410/16Pittsburgh20Boston College17Pittsburgh
200311/01Boston College13Pittsburgh24Pittsburgh
200210/26Pittsburgh19Boston College16Pittsburgh
200110/20Boston College45Pittsburgh7Boston College
200010/20Pittsburgh42Boston College26Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College432 Overs
Pittsburgh622 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 72 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#56) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 768.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh     Ratings Matchup     Boston College
Power #56
#51
Off #78
#75
Def #45
#58
Talent #37
#48
SP+ #50
#70
SP+ Off #54
#62
SP+ Def #64
#56

Rematch from Week 14
Boston College -3.5 (50.5)
Boston College won vs Pittsburgh this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PITT | BC
Depth Chart: PITT | BC
Rosters: PITT | BC
(#51) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.395 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 732.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far


  
Pittsburgh's OC Kade Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)17929062%22251777.7
Nate Yarnell9816759%10561056.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)18496655.372
Eli Holstein (Tr)8132834.049
Julian Dugger218814.220
Che Nwabuko676112.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635
Censere Lee19254313.482

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Rasheem Biles8014439
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Javon Mcintyre514013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Nate Matlack (Tr)237583
Braylan Lovelace5311411
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Tamon Lynum (Tr)372106
Kyle Louis10016793

Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James (Tr)10616664%1202627.2
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Treshaun Ward (Tr)7740625.336
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Thomas Castellanos9319412.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Reed Harris17486428.672
Kamari Morales (Tr)28325611.654
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
Max Tucker301002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
KP Price812115
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Amari Jackson180004
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104