Central Michigan Chippewas at Toledo Rockets
Tuesday, November 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -15 (52.5) (-625) Open: -14.0
Toledo 37 - Central Michigan: 10 (Mid-American)
Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -11.5 (SP+ TOL -13)
Projected Score: CMU: 20 - TOL: 32 (52)
TOL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
CMU Travel: 145 miles
Our Line: Toledo -11.5 (SP+ TOL -13)
Projected Score: CMU: 20 - TOL: 32 (52)
TOL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
CMU Travel: 145 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 66 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Central Michigan vs Florida International | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Central Michigan at Illinois | +21.5 | 49.5 | L 9 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Central Michigan vs Ball State | -6.5 | 51.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Central Michigan vs San Diego State | -2.5 | 47.5 | W 22 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Central Michigan vs Ohio | +3.0 | 50.5 | L 25 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan | +3.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Central Michigan at Miami (OH) | +10.5 | 48.5 | L 7 - 46 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Central Michigan vs Bowling Green | +14.5 | 47.5 | L 13 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Central Michigan at Toledo | +15.0 | 52.5 | L 10 - 37 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Central Michigan vs Western Michigan | +6.0 | 56.0 | W 16 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Central Michigan at Northern Illinois | +16.5 | 41.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
| Toledo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Toledo vs Duquesne | -27.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Toledo vs Massachusetts | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 38 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Toledo at Mississippi State | +10.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Toledo at Western Kentucky | -2.0 | 60.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -4.5 | 44.0 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Toledo at Buffalo | -10.5 | 44.5 | L 15 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Toledo at Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 42.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Toledo vs Bowling Green | -1.5 | 47.5 | L 26 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Toledo at Eastern Michigan | -10.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 28 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Toledo vs Central Michigan | -15.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Toledo vs Ohio | -1.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/26 | Toledo at Akron | -9.5 | 50.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Toledo vs Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 46 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | #96 (.15) | 39% (115) | 22.6 | 42% (88) | 3.2 (41) | 169 | 34% (124) | 163 | 3.82 (80) | #96 (.21) | 40% (44) | 29.7 | 41% (48) | 39% (50) | 3.6 (45) | 60.9 | 2 | 0.4 |
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 28.3 | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 23.2 | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | #96 (.15) | 39% (115) | 42% (88) | 3.2 (41) | 169 | 34% (124) | 163 | 3.82 (80) | #96 (.21) | 40% (44) | 41% (48) | 39% (50) | 3.6 (45) | 60.9 | 2 | 0.4 | ||
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Offense | 12 | 22.6 | 15.2 | 38.7% | 3.82 | 2 | 18 | 332 | 169 | 163 | 4.5 | 57% | 43% | 42% | 34% | 20% | .15 |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 39.8% | 3.87 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 42% | 38% | 19% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Defense | 12 | 29.7 | 35 | 39.9% | 3.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 39% | 18% | .21 |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 31.2 | 40.8% | 3.55 | 1.3 | 18 | 339 | 111 | 227 | 3.5 | 46% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 16% | .11 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan | 12 | 29:26 | 17.9 | 35% | 58% | 6.8 | 60.9 | 2 | 0.4 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 3 | 27.1 |
| Toledo | 13 | 25:06 | 18.4 | 36% | 50% | 5.4 | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 31.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Offense | 12 | 57% (24) | 42% (88) | 37.3 | 168.9 | 4.5 | 17 (84) | .22 (24) | 3.2 (41) | 80% (23) | 12% (108) | 1.09 (27) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 52% (83) | 42% (60) | - | - | - | - | .11 (66) | 3.01 (69) | 77% (89) | 12% (31) | 0.95 (48) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Defense | 12 | 52% (80) | 41% (48) | - | - | - | - | .15 (82) | 3 (66) | 82% (117) | 13% (14) | 1.18 (127) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 46% (96) | 38% (120) | 31.5 | 111.3 | 3.5 | 12 (114) | -.04 (127) | 2.66 (121) | 57% (130) | 10% (74) | 0.83 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Offense | 12 | 43% (110) | 34% (124) | 13.9 | 25.2 | 163.4 | 6.5 | 11.7 | 11 (122) | 12 (85) | .04 (129) | 1.5 (85) | 34% (112) | 22% (132) | .18 (116) | 8% (119) | 2 (86) |
| TOL Defense | 13 | 48% (51) | 38% (35) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .08 (11) | 1.5 (29) | 34% (38) | 29% (39) | .22 (34) | 7% (35) | 2 (43) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMU Defense | 12 | 48% (54) | 39% (50) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (134) | .28 (93) | 1.7 (102) | 36% (18) | 30% (60) | .37 (95) | 5% (117) | 2.2 (103) |
| TOL Offense | 13 | 53% (41) | 44% (46) | 19.2 | 31 | 227.2 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 26 (26) | 7 (26) | .26 (67) | 1.6 (61) | 31% (65) | 27% (108) | .18 (115) | 6% (76) | 2 (68) |
Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -14.12 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -15.8 Toledo: -2.5
Central Michigan: -14.12 Toledo: -3.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -15.8 Toledo: -2.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
Central Michigan 20
Total Points: 52
Toledo 32
Central Michigan 20
Total Points: 52
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/12 | Toledo | 37 | Central Michigan | 10 | Toledo | Toledo -15 | Toledo | 52.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 32 | Toledo | Toledo -12.5 | Toledo | 54.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Toledo | 38 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 56.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Central Michigan | 26 | Toledo | 23 | Central Michigan | Toledo -5 | Central Michigan | 53.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Toledo | 24 | Central Michigan | 23 | Toledo | Toledo -10 | Central Michigan | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/29 | Central Michigan | 49 | Toledo | 7 | Central Michigan | Central Michigan -14.5 | Central Michigan | 64.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/23 | Toledo | 51 | Central Michigan | 13 | Toledo | Toledo -19 | Toledo | 58.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Central Michigan | 10 | Toledo | 30 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Toledo | 55.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Toledo | 31 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -10 | Toledo | 61.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/10 | Central Michigan | 23 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | Toledo -6 | Central Michigan | 54.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Toledo | 42 | Central Michigan | 28 | Toledo | Toledo -15 | Central Michigan | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/21 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 38 | Toledo | Toledo -14 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Toledo | 50 | Central Michigan | 35 | Toledo | ||||
| 2011 | 11/18 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/26 | Toledo | 42 | Central Michigan | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/11 | Central Michigan | 56 | Toledo | 28 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2008 | 10/25 | Toledo | 23 | Central Michigan | 24 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Central Michigan | 52 | Toledo | 31 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Toledo | 20 | Central Michigan | 42 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Central Michigan | 21 | Toledo | 17 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Toledo | 27 | Central Michigan | 22 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Central Michigan | 13 | Toledo | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Toledo | 44 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | Central Michigan | 28 | Toledo | 52 | Toledo | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Toledo | 41 | Central Michigan | 0 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 18 | 7 | 1 Overs |
| Central Michigan | 7 | 5 | 9 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 9 | 7 - 5 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 16 | 5 - 7 | 3 - 2 | 2 - 5 |
(#111) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Central Michigan has lost 4 straight
Central Michigan has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)
Central Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#135)
Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Central Michigan Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#96)
Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Central Michigan has lost 4 straight
Central Michigan has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)
Central Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#135)
Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Central Michigan Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#96)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TOL | CMU |
| OverallOver | #36 | #77 |
| OffenseOff | #84 | #105 |
| DefenseDef | #11 | #40 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #39 |
| PassingPass | #58 | #104 |
| RushingRush | #96 | #70 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #90 | #82 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #101 | #112 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #28 | #96 |
| TacklingTkl | #3 | #21 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #32 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #19 | #26 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #71 |
Rematch from Week 12
Toledo -15.0 (52.5)
Toledo won vs Central Michigan this year (37-10)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CMU | TOL
Depth Chart: CMU | TOL
Rosters: CMU | TOL
(#99) Toledo Info
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 1 straight
Toledo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has won 1 straight
Toledo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful
Toledo Highlights
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Can Not Run the Ball (#28)
Toledo Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#41)
Toledo run game is really bad (#63)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Labas | 94 | 160 | 59% | 1114 | 7 | 7 | 7.0 |
| Jadyn Glasser | 41 | 76 | 54% | 439 | 2 | 4 | 5.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Lukes | 161 | 788 | 5 | 4.9 | 66 |
| BJ Harris | 91 | 418 | 3 | 4.6 | 71 |
| Myles Bailey | 51 | 292 | 3 | 5.7 | 35 |
| Tyler Jefferson | 43 | 233 | 1 | 5.4 | 44 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Parker | 29 | 360 | 3 | 12.4 | 44 |
| Solomon Davis (Tr) | 19 | 350 | 2 | 18.4 | 72 |
| Evan Boyd | 21 | 302 | 2 | 14.4 | 47 |
| Jesse Prewitt III | 23 | 186 | 2 | 8.1 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Kwiatkowski | 97 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Spann | 61 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Justin Whiteside | 58 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Elijah Rikard | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams | 42 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonah Pace | 34 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Michael Heldman | 29 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Dakota Cochran | 54 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daraun McKinney | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Donte Kent | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Caleb Spann | 61 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 207 | 335 | 62% | 2457 | 22 | 7 | 7.3 |
| John Alan Richter | 43 | 67 | 64% | 497 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Walendzak | 122 | 457 | 1 | 3.7 | 32 |
| Tucker Gleason | 88 | 330 | 6 | 3.8 | 35 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 61 | 230 | 2 | 3.8 | 26 |
| Sevaughn Clark | 62 | 209 | 0 | 3.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerjuan Newton | 64 | 949 | 11 | 14.8 | 64 |
| Junior Vandeross | 73 | 763 | 4 | 10.5 | 73 |
| Anthony Torres | 27 | 362 | 8 | 13.4 | 78 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 15 | 170 | 0 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxen Hook | 108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Daniel Bolden | 91 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Jackson Barrow | 64 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Ragin | 42 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Martez Poynter | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Smith | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Braden Awls | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Darius Alexander | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 5 |