Central Michigan at Toledo - 2024 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Tuesday, November 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -15 (52.5) (-625)  Open: -14.0
Toledo 37 - Central Michigan: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -11.5   (SP+ TOL -13)
Projected Score: CMU: 20 - TOL: 32 (52)
TOL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
CMU Travel: 145 miles
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut-33.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/7 Central Michigan vs Florida International-3.551.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 9/14 Central Michigan at Illinois+21.549.5L 9 - 30UY
Sat 9/21 Central Michigan vs Ball State-6.551.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 Central Michigan vs San Diego State-2.547.5W 22 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Central Michigan vs Ohio+3.050.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan+3.552.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 10/26 Central Michigan at Miami (OH)+10.548.5L 7 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Central Michigan vs Bowling Green+14.547.5L 13 - 23UY
Tue 11/12 Central Michigan at Toledo+15.052.5L 10 - 37UN
Tue 11/19 Central Michigan vs Western Michigan+6.056.0W 16 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Central Michigan at Northern Illinois+16.541.5L 16 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Toledo vs Duquesne-27.553.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/7 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.550.5W 38 - 23ON
Sat 9/14 Toledo at Mississippi State+10.556.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Western Kentucky-2.060.5L 21 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-4.544.0W 30 - 20OY
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Buffalo-10.544.5L 15 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.042.5W 13 - 6UY
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Bowling Green-1.547.5L 26 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-10.054.5W 29 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.052.5W 37 - 10UY
Wed 11/20 Toledo vs Ohio-1.547.0L 7 - 24UN
Tue 11/26 Toledo at Akron-9.550.5L 14 - 21UN
Thu 12/26 Toledo vs Pittsburgh+6.548.5W 48 - 46OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#83 (.16)40% (101)22.643% (72)3.29 (35)16036% (111)1854.2 (39)#128 (.32)45% (115)29.748% (116)44% (95)4.43 (121)58.11.30.7
TOL#27 (.28)45% (34)28.346% (38)3.36 (20)19945% (37)2204.44 (26)#22 (.1)38% (29)23.241% (54)36% (14)3.33 (22)61.91.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.615.239.5%4.21.3193441601854.256%43%43%36%14%.16
TOL Defense1423.221.338.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1229.73545.5%4.430.7 - - - - - 51%48%48%44%14%.32
TOL Offense1428.331.245.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1230:1318.934%70%6.758.11.30.74.61.5129.1
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1256% (27)43% (72)38159.54.221 (54).22 (30)3.29 (35)77% (36)10% (68)1.09 (23)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (71)10% (73)0.99 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1251% (86)48% (116) - - - - .25 (118)3.4 (119)77% (97)8% (121)1.04 (91)
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (14)8% (24)1.05 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1243% (110)36% (111)15.327.1184.76.812.115 (96)11 (68).16 (108)1.7 (31)36% (125)28% (86).36 (62)4% (9)2.3 (14)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1248% (50)44% (95) - - - - - - 5 (126).41 (122)1.7 (96)31% (90)29% (52).35 (87)5% (98)2 (52)
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -14.12   Toledo: -3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -15.8   Toledo: -2.5




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Toledo's Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
Central Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Toledo37Central Michigan10ToledoToledo -15Toledo52.5Under
202311/24Central Michigan17Toledo32ToledoToledo -12.5Toledo54.5Under
202210/01Toledo38Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo56.0Under
202110/16Central Michigan26Toledo23Central MichiganToledo -5Central Michigan53.0Under
202012/12Toledo24Central Michigan23ToledoToledo -10Central Michigan54.5Under
201911/29Central Michigan49Toledo7Central MichiganCentral Michigan -14.5Central Michigan64.0Under
201811/23Toledo51Central Michigan13ToledoToledo -19Toledo58.0Over
201710/14Central Michigan10Toledo30ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo55.0Under
201610/22Toledo31Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -10Toledo61.5Under
201511/10Central Michigan23Toledo28ToledoToledo -6Central Michigan54.5Under
201409/27Toledo42Central Michigan28ToledoToledo -15Central Michigan0
201309/21Central Michigan17Toledo38ToledoToledo -14Toledo0
201210/06Toledo50Central Michigan35Toledo
201111/18Central Michigan17Toledo44Toledo
201011/26Toledo42Central Michigan31Toledo
200911/11Central Michigan56Toledo28Central Michigan
200810/25Toledo23Central Michigan24Central Michigan
200709/08Central Michigan52Toledo31Central Michigan
200610/07Toledo20Central Michigan42Central Michigan
200510/29Central Michigan21Toledo17Central Michigan
200410/23Toledo27Central Michigan22Toledo
200310/18Central Michigan13Toledo31Toledo
200211/09Toledo44Central Michigan17Toledo
200109/22Central Michigan28Toledo52Toledo
200009/29Toledo41Central Michigan0Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1871 Overs
Central Michigan759 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 55 - 22 - 3
Road Teams9 - 165 - 73 - 22 - 5

(#111) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
Central Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #111
#99
Off #92
#121
Def #88
#50
Talent #102
#73
SP+ #120
#80
SP+ Off #122
#88
SP+ Def #115
#64

Rematch from Week 12
Toledo -15.0 (52.5)
Toledo won vs Central Michigan this year (37-10)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 38°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | TOL
Depth Chart: CMU | TOL
Rosters: CMU | TOL
(#99) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #99
Offense Rating: 11.69 #121
Defense Rating: 7.63 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
(10/4) Off meh, Def v good. QB Gleason can play
(9/23) Outgainied WKU, but 4 TOs, gave up 14 late in L
(9/14) Outgained by UMass by 100 yds. Rgame awful


  
Central Michigan's OC Jim McElwain
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jadyn Glasser417654%439245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Jefferson4323315.444
Nahree Biggins1913607.276
Bert Emanuel Jr.2812834.620
Solomon Davis (Tr)32408.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Parker29360312.444
Solomon Davis (Tr)19350218.472
Evan Boyd21302214.447
Gavin Harris11173115.760

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski9714011
Caleb Spann614205
Elijah Rikard563100
Dakota Cochran5411410
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonah Pace3411462
Michael Heldman296480
Dakota Cochran5411410
Jaden Davis194250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Spann614205
Jaion Jackson393003
Jaree Turner-Kinsler150002

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Sevaughn Clark6220903.426
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040
Jaden Dottin9123013.741

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Lance Dixon (Tr)426204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Lance Dixon (Tr)426204
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Lance Dixon (Tr)426204