Pittsburgh Panthers at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Louisville -7 (57.0) (-278) Open: -7.5
Louisville 37 - Pittsburgh: 9 (ACC)
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12 (SP+ LOU -9)
Projected Score: PITT: 24 - LOU: 36 (59)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 344 miles
Our Line: Louisville -12 (SP+ LOU -9)
Projected Score: PITT: 24 - LOU: 36 (59)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 344 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Pittsburgh vs Kent State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Pittsburgh at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 62.5 | W 28 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Pittsburgh vs West Virginia | +2.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State | -29.5 | 59.5 | W 73 - 17 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Pittsburgh at North Carolina | -2.5 | 63.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Pittsburgh vs California | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 17 - 15 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/24 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse | -5.0 | 62.5 | W 41 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Pittsburgh at SMU | +7.0 | 55.5 | L 25 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Pittsburgh vs Virginia | -7.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Pittsburgh vs Clemson | +12.0 | 52.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Pittsburgh at Louisville | +7.0 | 57.0 | L 9 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Pittsburgh at Boston College | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 34 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Pittsburgh vs Toledo | -6.5 | 48.5 | L 46 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisville vs Austin Peay | -38.5 | 54.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Louisville vs Jacksonville State | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisville vs Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisville at Notre Dame | +6.5 | 45.0 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisville vs SMU | -6.5 | 55.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisville at Virginia | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 24 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisville vs Miami | +4.5 | 61.5 | L 45 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/25 | Louisville at Boston College | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 31 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Louisville at Clemson | +11.0 | 62.5 | W 33 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Louisville at Stanford | -21.0 | 57.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisville vs Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 37 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisville at Kentucky | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Louisville vs Washington | +1.0 | 50.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 32.9 | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 28.4 | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 36.5 | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 24.1 | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 32.9 | 23.8 | 41.6% | 4.11 | 1.3 | 21 | 375 | 119 | 256 | 4.3 | 42% | 58% | 45% | 39% | 21% | .15 |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 24.1 | 21.3 | 40.2% | 3.98 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 40% | 40% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 28.4 | 34 | 38.1% | 3.68 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 18% | .12 |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 41.8 | 46.4% | 4.27 | 0.8 | 20 | 424 | 173 | 251 | 5.8 | 45% | 54% | 48% | 45% | 13% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 13 | 24:01 | 20.7 | 38% | 52% | 6.4 | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 3 | 6 | 27.3 |
| Louisville | 13 | 27:39 | 20.1 | 40% | 40% | 5.9 | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 42% (116) | 45% (56) | 27.3 | 118.6 | 4.3 | 14 (98) | .18 (42) | 3.1 (53) | 77% (40) | 12% (119) | 1.05 (41) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 49% (50) | 40% (44) | - | - | - | - | .08 (43) | 2.9 (51) | 65% (25) | 11% (43) | 0.99 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 45% (13) | 38% (20) | - | - | - | - | - (13) | 2.36 (2) | 48% (1) | 12% (25) | 0.98 (67) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 45% (103) | 48% (20) | 29.9 | 172.7 | 5.8 | 27 (30) | .2 (35) | 3.09 (56) | 65% (116) | 8% (27) | 1.04 (43) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Offense | 13 | 58% (18) | 39% (97) | 21.8 | 35.9 | 256.2 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 27 (20) | 13 (103) | .13 (112) | 1.6 (55) | 32% (85) | 35% (30) | .36 (60) | 8% (126) | 2.1 (40) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .27 (87) | 1.7 (111) | 31% (78) | 33% (99) | .26 (48) | 5% (94) | 1.8 (14) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT Defense | 13 | 55% (122) | 38% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .23 (70) | 1.8 (123) | 37% (3) | 31% (82) | .33 (82) | 6% (50) | 2.2 (113) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 54% (32) | 45% (30) | 19.6 | 30.9 | 251.5 | 8.1 | 12.8 | 23 (41) | 6 (10) | .41 (9) | 1.7 (34) | 30% (40) | 38% (8) | .5 (9) | 5% (40) | 2.1 (42) |
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93 Louisville: 15.52
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 Louisville: 13.6
Pittsburgh: 1.93 Louisville: 15.52
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9 Louisville: 13.6
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 36
Pittsburgh 24
Total Points: 59
Louisville 36
Pittsburgh 24
Total Points: 59
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Louisville | 37 | Pittsburgh | 9 | Louisville | Louisville -7 | Louisville | 57.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Pittsburgh | 38 | Louisville | 21 | Pittsburgh | Louisville -7.5 | Pittsburgh | 44.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Louisville | 24 | Pittsburgh | 10 | Louisville | Louisville -1.5 | Louisville | 55.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Pittsburgh | 23 | Louisville | 20 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -3 | Push | 53.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Pittsburgh | 45 | Louisville | 34 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -1.5 | Pittsburgh | 48.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Pittsburgh | 35 | Louisville | 45 | Louisville | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Louisville | 14 | Pittsburgh | 21 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Louisville | 3 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2009 | 10/02 | Louisville | 10 | Pittsburgh | 35 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Pittsburgh | 41 | Louisville | 7 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Louisville | 24 | Pittsburgh | 17 | Louisville | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | Pittsburgh | 24 | Louisville | 48 | Louisville | ||||
| 2005 | 11/03 | Louisville | 42 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Louisville |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 6 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Pittsburgh | 7 | 2 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 4 | 4 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 9 | 0 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 3 |
(#56) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | PITT |
| OverallOver | #9 | #62 |
| OffenseOff | #12 | #93 |
| DefenseDef | #12 | #30 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #33 |
| PassingPass | #9 | #80 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #61 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #42 | #79 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #69 | #108 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #10 | #84 |
| TacklingTkl | #57 | #30 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #12 | #33 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #16 | #41 |
| Coverage DefCov | #29 | #38 |
Rematch from Week 13
Louisville -7.0 (57.0)
Louisville won vs Pittsburgh this year (37-9)
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (24-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: PITT | LOU
Depth Chart: PITT | LOU
Rosters: PITT | LOU
(#20) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
Power Rating: 15.52 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 1 straight
Louisville has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 179 | 290 | 62% | 2225 | 17 | 7 | 7.7 |
| Nate Yarnell | 98 | 167 | 59% | 1056 | 10 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 184 | 966 | 5 | 5.3 | 72 |
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 81 | 328 | 3 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Daniel Carter | 22 | 208 | 4 | 9.5 | 43 |
| Julian Dugger | 21 | 88 | 1 | 4.2 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konata Mumpfield | 52 | 813 | 5 | 15.6 | 46 |
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 52 | 579 | 4 | 11.1 | 72 |
| Kenny Johnson | 46 | 537 | 3 | 11.7 | 46 |
| Raphael Williams | 36 | 419 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Brandon George | 80 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Jimmy Scott | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Nate Matlack (Tr) | 23 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Rashad Battle | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough (Tr) | 244 | 389 | 63% | 3195 | 23 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Harrison Bailey | 24 | 33 | 73% | 227 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 165 | 1173 | 11 | 7.1 | 77 |
| Duke Watson | 67 | 597 | 7 | 8.9 | 68 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 47 | 243 | 3 | 5.2 | 24 |
| Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr) | 50 | 178 | 3 | 3.6 | 27 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr) | 61 | 1013 | 9 | 16.6 | 86 |
| Chris Bell | 43 | 737 | 4 | 17.1 | 68 |
| Mark Redman (Tr) | 23 | 251 | 3 | 10.9 | 32 |
| Ahmari Huggins-Bruce | 17 | 230 | 0 | 13.5 | 58 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 82 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanquan Clark | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| M.J. Griffin | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tamarion McDonald (Tr) | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gillotte | 43 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Tramel Logan Jr. | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jared Dawson | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Thor Griffith (Tr) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Riley | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Corey Thornton (Tr) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayon Holloway (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |