Pittsburgh at Louisville - 2024 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Louisville -7 (57.0) (-278)  Open: -7.5
Louisville 37 - Pittsburgh: 9  (ACC)

 
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12  (SP+ LOU -9)

Projected Score: PITT: 25 - LOU: 37 (62)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 344 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Kent State-23.555.5W 55 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati-2.562.5W 28 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh vs West Virginia+2.560.5W 38 - 34OY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State-29.559.5W 73 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at North Carolina-2.563.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 10/12 Pittsburgh vs California-3.557.5W 17 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-5.062.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at SMU+7.055.5L 25 - 48ON
Sat 11/9 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-7.556.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Clemson+12.052.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Louisville+7.057.0L 9 - 37UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh at Boston College+3.550.5L 23 - 34ON
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Toledo-6.548.5L 46 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Louisville's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisville vs Austin Peay-38.554.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Jacksonville State-27.556.5W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-9.556.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Louisville at Notre Dame+6.545.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/5 Louisville vs SMU-6.555.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 Louisville at Virginia-7.054.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/19 Louisville vs Miami+4.561.5L 45 - 52ON
Fri 10/25 Louisville at Boston College-7.054.0W 31 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 Louisville at Clemson+11.062.5W 33 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Louisville at Stanford-21.057.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-7.057.0W 37 - 9UY
Sat 11/30 Louisville at Kentucky-3.548.5W 41 - 14OY
Tue 12/31 Louisville vs Washington+1.050.5W 35 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)32.945% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)28.438% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)36.548% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)24.140% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1332.923.841.6%4.111.3213751192564.342%58%45%39%21%.15
LOU Defense1324.121.340.2%3.981.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%40%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1328.43438.1%3.681.2 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.12
LOU Offense1336.541.846.4%4.270.8204241732515.845%54%48%45%13%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1324:0120.738%52%6.458.21.31.27.63627.3
Louisville1327:3920.140%40%5.946.10.81.25.82.2130.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1342% (116)45% (56)27.3118.64.314 (98).18 (42)3.1 (53)77% (40)12% (119)1.05 (41)
LOU Defense1349% (50)40% (44) - - - - .08 (43)2.9 (51)65% (25)11% (43)0.99 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1345% (13)38% (20) - - - - - (13)2.36 (2)48% (1)12% (25)0.98 (67)
LOU Offense1345% (103)48% (20)29.9172.75.827 (30).2 (35)3.09 (56)65% (116)8% (27)1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1358% (18)39% (97)21.835.9256.27.111.727 (20)13 (103).13 (112)1.6 (55)32% (85)35% (30).36 (60)8% (126)2.1 (40)
LOU Defense1351% (88)40% (65) - - - - - - 9 (76).27 (87)1.7 (111)31% (78)33% (99).26 (48)5% (94)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1355% (122)38% (38) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (70)1.8 (123)37% (3)31% (82).33 (82)6% (50)2.2 (113)
LOU Offense1354% (32)45% (30)19.630.9251.58.112.823 (41)6 (10).41 (9)1.7 (34)30% (40)38% (8).5 (9)5% (40)2.1 (42)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 1.93  #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73  #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13  #45
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 1.93   Louisville: 15.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.9   Louisville: 13.6




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.52  #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49  #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51  #40
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 37
Pittsburgh 25


Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 39
Pittsburgh 34

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 35
Pittsburgh 26

Total Points: 61
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Pittsburgh27Louisville34Louisville -3Louisville53.5Over
202411/23Louisville37Pittsburgh9Louisville -7Louisville57.0Under
202310/14Pittsburgh38Louisville21Louisville -7.5Pittsburgh44.5Over
202210/22Louisville24Pittsburgh10Louisville -1.5Louisville55.0Under
202009/26Pittsburgh23Louisville20Pittsburgh -3Push53.0Under
201511/21Pittsburgh45Louisville34Pittsburgh -1.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201210/13Pittsburgh35Louisville45
201111/12Louisville14Pittsburgh21
201010/30Pittsburgh20Louisville3
200910/02Louisville10Pittsburgh35
200811/08Pittsburgh41Louisville7
200710/27Louisville24Pittsburgh17
200611/25Pittsburgh24Louisville48
200511/03Louisville42Pittsburgh20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville733 Overs
Pittsburgh723 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 54 - 13 - 01 - 1
Road Teams5 - 91 - 41 - 10 - 3

(#56) PITT at (#20) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTLOU
Power RatePwr #56 #20
SP+SP+ #50 #21
Perf GradeGrade #88 #11
OffenseOff #116 #12
DefenseDef #41 #16
Spec TeamsST #37 #35
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #41
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report
Louisville Notes
(12/14) Signed QB Miller Moss (USC)
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
(9/23) Star CB Riley ? for ND game (ankle)
Louisville Injury Report
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
PITT OffLOU Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #16
SuccessSuc #85 #49
ExplosiveExp #19 #109
PPAPPA #91 #73
PowerPwr #78 #40
SP+SP+ #54 #40
Pts POPPO #49 #87
HavocHav #128 #62
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
PITT OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #83 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #56 #44
Run ExplRExp #41 #71
PPAExp #42 #43
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #51
Stuff RateStuff #71 #22
TackleTak -  #65
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
PITT OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #100 #39
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #65
Pass ExplPExl #55 #111
PPAExp #112 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #125 #17
F7 HavocF7 #119 #43
DB HavocDB #126 #94
Louisville on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatLOU OffPITT Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #41
SuccessSuc #26 #25
ExplosiveExp #14 #122
PPAPPA #15 #35
PowerPwr #26 #45
SP+SP+ #7 #64
Pts POPPO #31 #57
HavocHav #23 #31
Louisville Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
LOU OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #22 #41
Run SuccessRSuc #20 #20
Run ExplRExp #43 #67
PPAExp #35 #13
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #2
Stuff RateStuff #54 #5
TackleTak -  #33
Louisville Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatLOU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #9 #49
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #38
Pass ExplPExl #34 #123
PPAExp #9 #70
Pass Block/RushP Blk #79 #46
F7 HavocF7 #27 #25
DB HavocDB #40 #50
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 43° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Louisville -7.0 (57.0)
Louisville won vs Pittsburgh this year (37-9)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (24-10)

  
PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)17929062%22251777.7
Nate Yarnell9816759%10561056.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)18496655.372
Eli Holstein (Tr)8132834.049
Daniel Carter2220849.543
Julian Dugger218814.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Konata Mumpfield52813515.646
Desmond Reid (Tr)52579411.172
Kenny Johnson46537311.746
Raphael Williams36419611.635

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon1151007
Kyle Louis10016793
Brandon George806270
Rasheem Biles8014439
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Louis10016793
Jimmy Scott3013662
Nate Matlack (Tr)237583
Rasheem Biles8014439
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheem Biles8014439
Rashad Battle351018
Donovan McMillon1151007

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Shough (Tr)24438963%31952368.2
Harrison Bailey243373%227306.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaac Brown1651173117.177
Duke Watson6759778.968
Keyjuan Brown4724335.224
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr)611013916.686
Chris Bell43737417.168
Mark Redman (Tr)23251310.932
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce17230013.558

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn824200
Stanquan Clark768102
M.J. Griffin632102
Tamarion McDonald (Tr)584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Gillotte43105100
Tramel Logan Jr.206420
Jared Dawson197400
Thor Griffith (Tr)195300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Riley333009
Corey Thornton (Tr)380016
Tayon Holloway (Tr)162105