Youngstown State at Pittsburgh - 2024 Matchup Preview

Youngstown State Penguins at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -29.5 (59.5) (-3500) Open: -25.5 | 62.5
Pittsburgh 73 - Youngstown State: 17

Penguins (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 73 (17 - 73 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 90.9° (32% Hum)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -6 (SP+ PITT -5)
PITT Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
YSU Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Youngstown State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Youngstown State at Pittsburgh	+29.5	59.5	L 17 - 73	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Youngstown State's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Pittsburgh vs Kent State	-23.5	55.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	-2.5	62.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	+2.5	60.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State	-29.5	59.5	W 73 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-2.5	63.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Pittsburgh vs California	-3.5	57.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-5.0	62.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Pittsburgh at SMU	+7.0	55.5	L 25 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-7.5	56.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+12.0	52.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+7.0	57.0	L 9 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/30	Pittsburgh at Boston College	+3.5	50.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Thu 12/26	Pittsburgh vs Toledo	-6.5	48.5	L 46 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
YSU		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	73	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)	32.9	45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)	28.4	38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
YSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
YSU Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
PITT Defense	13	28.4	21.6	38.1%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	38%	38%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
YSU Defense	1	73	73	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
PITT Offense	13	32.9	37.6	41.6%	4.11	1.3	21	375	119	256	4.3	42%	58%	45%	39%	21%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Youngstown State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Pittsburgh	13	24:01	20.7	38%	52%	6.4	58.2	1.3	1.2	7.6	3	6	27.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
YSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
PITT Defense	13	45% (13)	38% (20)	-	-	-	-	- (13)	2.36 (2)	48% (1)	12% (25)	0.98 (67)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
YSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
PITT Offense	13	42% (116)	45% (56)	27.3	118.6	4.3	14 (98)	.18 (42)	3.1 (53)	77% (40)	12% (119)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
YSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
PITT Defense	13	55% (122)	38% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (70)	1.8 (123)	37% (3)	31% (82)	.33 (82)	6% (50)	2.2 (113)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
YSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
PITT Offense	13	58% (18)	39% (97)	21.8	35.9	256.2	7.1	11.7	27 (20)	13 (103)	.13 (112)	1.6 (55)	32% (85)	35% (30)	.36 (60)	8% (126)	2.1 (40)

Youngstown State's Power Ratings
Youngstown State's Power Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Offense Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Youngstown State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Youngstown State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Youngstown State: Pittsburgh: 5.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Youngstown State: Pittsburgh: 4.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Youngstown State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 73 PPG
Defense on Road: 73

Youngstown State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 35
Youngstown State 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 42
Youngstown State 20

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 54
Youngstown State 21

Total Points: 75

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Pittsburgh	73	Youngstown State	17	Pittsburgh -29.5	Pittsburgh	59.5	Over
2017	09/02	Pittsburgh	28	Youngstown State	21	Pittsburgh -13	Youngstown State	64.5	Under
2015	09/05	Pittsburgh	45	Youngstown State	37	Pittsburgh -15	Youngstown State	0
2012	09/01	Pittsburgh	17	Youngstown State	31
2009	09/05	Pittsburgh	38	Youngstown State	3
2005	09/24	Pittsburgh	41	Youngstown State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	5	1	1 Overs
Youngstown State	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 5	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#NR) YSU at (#56) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	YSU	PITT
Power RatePwr	NR	#56
SP+SP+	NR	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#88
OffenseOff	NR	#116
DefenseDef	NR	#41
Spec TeamsST	NR	#37
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#48

Youngstown State Injury Report

Pittsburgh Notes(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report

Youngstown State on Offense


CategoryCat	YSU Off	PITT Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#41
SuccessSuc	NR	#25
ExplosiveExp	NR	#122
PPAPPA	NR	#35
PowerPwr	NR	#45
SP+SP+	NR	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	#57
HavocHav	NR	#31

Youngstown State Run Game


CategoryCat	YSU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#20
Run ExplRExp	NR	#67
PPAExp	NR	#13
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#2
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#5
TackleTak	-	#33

Youngstown State Pass Game


CategoryCat	YSU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#38
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#123
PPAExp	NR	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	#25
DB HavocDB	NR	#50

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	YSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#116	NR
SuccessSuc	#85	NR
ExplosiveExp	#19	NR
PPAPPA	#91	NR
PowerPwr	#78	NR
SP+SP+	#54	NR
Pts POPPO	#49	NR
HavocHav	#128	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	YSU Def
Run GameRun	#83	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#56	NR
Run ExplRExp	#41	NR
PPAExp	#42	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#71	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	YSU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#97	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#55	NR
PPAExp	#112	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	NR
F7 HavocF7	#119	NR
DB HavocDB	#126	NR

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

YSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 91° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Pittsburgh -29.5 (59.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Youngstown State this year (73-17)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Youngstown State last year (73-17)

YSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Youngstown State's Full Roster

YSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Preston Zandier	8	1	1	2
Kerion Martin	6	0	0	0
Stephon Hall (Tr)	5	1	0	0
Makai Shahid	4	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaelen Crider	2	1	1	0	0
Preston Zandier	8	1	0	1	2
Isaiah Hackett (Tr)	1	0	0	0	0
Tyshon King	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Preston Zandier	8	1	1	2
Ethan Wright (Tr)	2	0	0	0
Tyshon King	1	0	0	0

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7
Nate Yarnell	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)	184	966	5	5.3	72
Eli Holstein (Tr)	81	328	3	4.0	49
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Julian Dugger	21	88	1	4.2	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Desmond Reid (Tr)	52	579	4	11.1	72
Kenny Johnson	46	537	3	11.7	46
Raphael Williams	36	419	6	11.6	35

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Jimmy Scott	30	13	6	6	2
Nate Matlack (Tr)	23	7	5	8	3
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7