Louisiana at Wake Forest - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -3 (59.5) (-155) Open: -3.0
Louisiana 41 - Wake Forest: 38

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -7.5 (SP+ ULL -10.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 32 - WAKE: 24 (56)
WAKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ULL Travel: 794 miles, 1 hrs behind

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T	-20.5
Sat 9/7	Wake Forest vs Virginia	+1.5	55.5	L 30 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Wake Forest vs Ole Miss	+20.5	65.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wake Forest vs Louisiana	-3.0	59.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wake Forest at NC State	+4.0	52.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+21.0	63.0	L 14 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/19	Wake Forest at UConn	-2.5	55.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wake Forest at Stanford	-3.0	53.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8	Wake Forest vs California	+7.5	54.5	L 36 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/16	Wake Forest at North Carolina	+10.5	64.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wake Forest at Miami	+23.5	67.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/30	Wake Forest vs Duke	+3.5	53.5	L 17 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	26	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	29.2	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8
WAKE	#122 (.07)	41% (76)	28.1	42% (85)	2.97 (97)	130	42% (65)	196	3.03 (124)	#89 (.21)	41% (49)	22.1	40% (40)	42% (74)	4.25 (110)	38.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22
WAKE Defense	12	22.1	17.3	40.5%	4.25	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18
WAKE Offense	12	28.1	28.3	41.4%	3.03	1.8	20	326	130	196	3.3	54%	45%	42%	42%	24%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3
Wake Forest	12	29:05	19.9	34%	42%	4.1	38.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	1	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)
WAKE Defense	12	51% (79)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.06 (25)	3.11 (71)	64% (20)	11% (31)	0.89 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)
WAKE Offense	12	54% (35)	42% (85)	39	130.4	3.3	13 (108)	.02 (124)	2.97 (97)	63% (122)	15% (132)	0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)
WAKE Defense	12	48% (54)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.4 (120)	1.7 (113)	33% (53)	29% (46)	.4 (105)	5% (102)	2.3 (127)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)
WAKE Offense	12	45% (101)	42% (65)	16	26.8	196	7.3	12.3	14 (106)	12 (85)	.19 (98)	1.6 (81)	31% (53)	29% (77)	.24 (96)	9% (131)	1.9 (110)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -0.52 Wake Forest: -5.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 4.8 Wake Forest: -5.7

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 311.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 32
Wake Forest 24

Projected Total Points: 56

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Wake Forest	38	Louisiana	41	Wake Forest -3	Louisiana	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	0	0	1 Overs
Louisiana	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#67) ULL at (#102) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#102
SP+SP+	#53	#93
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#64
OffenseOff	#14	#67
DefenseDef	#87	#66
Spec TeamsST	#131	#53
TalentTal	#85	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#97

Louisiana Notes(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report

Wake Forest Notes(12/18) Hired HC Dickert (Wazzu)
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
(8/19) Def avg LY, bad in red zone, DL good, DBs big ?
Wake Forest Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#66
SuccessSuc	#35	#49
ExplosiveExp	#92	#82
PPAPPA	#48	#89
PowerPwr	#11	#115
SP+SP+	#38	#103
Pts POPPO	#42	#110
HavocHav	#82	#61

Louisiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#60	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#40
Run ExplRExp	#45	#24
PPAExp	#61	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#94
TackleTak	-	#24

Louisiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#113
PPAExp	#49	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#110
F7 HavocF7	#99	#31
DB HavocDB	#30	#102

Wake Forest on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#87
SuccessSuc	#76	#110
ExplosiveExp	#123	#9
PPAPPA	#122	#71
PowerPwr	#98	#103
SP+SP+	#77	#78
Pts POPPO	#124	#117
HavocHav	#133	#84

Wake Forest Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#120	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#112
Run ExplRExp	#132	#15
PPAExp	#124	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#126
TackleTak	-	#126

Wake Forest Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	WAKE Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#63
PPAExp	#98	#63
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#119
F7 HavocF7	#132	#86
DB HavocDB	#131	#74

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Wake Forest -3.0 (59.5)
Louisiana won at Wake Forest this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Wake Forest in 2024 (41-38)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Chandler Fields	63	87	72%	897	5	1	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Justin Agu	36	2	0	0	4

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3
Michael Kern	24	45	53%	288	1	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	228	1048	11	4.6	60
Tate Carney	82	335	6	4.1	18
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Ty Clark III	13	57	0	4.4	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Taylor Morin	64	756	2	11.8	51
Horatio Fields	39	463	4	11.9	42
Deuce Alexander	36	400	2	11.1	38
Donavon Greene	23	380	3	16.5	45

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Andersen	122	1	0	1	1
Branson Combs (Tr)	83	6	2	2	1
Dylan Hazen	78	6	1	3	0
Davaughn Patterson	74	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	31	11	6	5	0
Kevin Pointer	33	7	4	8	1
Bryce Ganious	26	5	3	7	0
Branson Combs (Tr)	83	6	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
C'Darius Kelley	20	0	4
Jamare Glasker	37	3	4
Davaughn Patterson	74	4	3