Tulane at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Tulane Green Wave at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -1.5 (53.5) (-120) Open: -3.5 | 55.0
Tulane 41 - Louisiana: 33

Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TULN 2nd straight Road Game
ULL coming off BYE
TULN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -1.5 (SP+ TULN -1)
Projected Score: TULN: 28 - ULL: 27 (55)
TULN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TULN Travel: 117 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulane vs SE Louisiana	-28.5	55.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Tulane vs Kansas State	+8.5	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulane at Oklahoma	+13.5	48.5	L 19 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Tulane at Louisiana	-1.5	53.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulane vs South Florida	-4.0	60.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Tulane at UAB	-19.5	52.0	W 71 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulane vs Rice	-21.5	53.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulane at North Texas	-7.5	70.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Tulane at Charlotte	-14.5	55.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Tulane vs Temple	-25.5	50.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Tulane at Navy	-7.5	49.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Tulane vs Memphis	-12.5	54.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Fri 12/6	Tulane at Army	-4.5	46.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Fri 12/20	Tulane vs Florida	+10.0	50.5	L 8 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)	35.1	45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)	20.6	38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)	30.9	42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)	24.1	53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	35.1	37	45.5%	4.5	1.1	21	406	197	209	4.9	60%	40%	45%	47%	11%	.27
ULL Defense	14	24.1	25.6	48.4%	4.43	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	53%	44%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	20.6	23.1	38.3%	3.53	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	39%	16%	.07
ULL Offense	14	30.9	34	44.5%	4.27	0.6	20	401	159	242	5	53%	47%	42%	47%	11%	.3

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	32:13	20.8	50%	45%	6.1	50.1	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.4	7	34.5
Louisiana	14	29:12	19.7	43%	64%	5.4	44.5	0.6	1.4	3.9	1.5	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	60% (10)	45% (61)	40.1	196.6	4.9	32 (14)	.14 (65)	3.15 (47)	75% (57)	7% (14)	0.94 (80)
ULL Defense	14	50% (61)	53% (133)	-	-	-	-	.24 (121)	3.36 (118)	82% (116)	7% (125)	0.87 (18)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	50% (62)	38% (14)	-	-	-	-	.07 (41)	2.97 (59)	76% (80)	11% (47)	1.05 (99)
ULL Offense	14	53% (52)	42% (91)	31.6	158.9	5	26 (36)	.2 (33)	3.24 (35)	76% (44)	6% (6)	1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	40% (125)	47% (23)	14.8	23.5	209.4	8.9	14.2	25 (31)	9 (48)	.48 (4)	1.8 (12)	32% (76)	36% (22)	.49 (12)	4% (11)	2.1 (34)
ULL Defense	14	50% (77)	44% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.21 (53)	1.4 (11)	28% (121)	34% (108)	.33 (84)	5% (97)	1.9 (33)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	50% (75)	39% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.07 (9)	1.5 (21)	32% (62)	28% (31)	.18 (20)	6% (85)	1.9 (28)
ULL Offense	14	47% (80)	47% (17)	18.4	27.5	241.9	8.8	13.1	22 (46)	7 (26)	.41 (10)	1.6 (50)	28% (17)	29% (97)	.39 (48)	5% (29)	2.3 (9)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32 Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7 Louisiana: 4.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 28
Louisiana 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 34
Tulane 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 31
Louisiana 27

Total Points: 58

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Louisiana	33	Tulane	41	Tulane -1.5	Tulane	53.5	Over
2018	12/15	Louisiana	24	Tulane	41	Tulane -3.5	Tulane	60.5	Over
2016	09/24	Tulane	41	Louisiana	39	Tulane -3	Louisiana	46.5	Over
2013	12/21	Louisiana	24	Tulane	21	Tulane -1	Louisiana	49.5	Under
2012	10/06	Louisiana	41	Tulane	13
2000	10/06	Louisiana	37	Tulane	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	2	2	3 Overs
Tulane	4	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0

(#40) TULN at (#67) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#67
SP+SP+	#43	#53
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#32
OffenseOff	#4	#14
DefenseDef	#22	#87
Spec TeamsST	#61	#131
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#102

Tulane Notes(12/27) Lost QB and RB Hughes to portal
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW
(10/6) Gaining on G5 best. 136-20 last 2 games.
Tulane Injury Report

Louisiana Notes(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#87
SuccessSuc	#32	#126
ExplosiveExp	#62	#7
PPAPPA	#20	#97
PowerPwr	#53	#103
SP+SP+	#30	#78
Pts POPPO	#18	#121
HavocHav	#5	#121

Tulane Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#8	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#61	#133
Run ExplRExp	#80	#18
PPAExp	#65	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#118
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#107
TackleTak	-	#126

Tulane Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#23	#105
Pass ExplPExl	#12	#11
PPAExp	#4	#53
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#119
F7 HavocF7	#14	#125
DB HavocDB	#11	#97

Louisiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#22
SuccessSuc	#47	#29
ExplosiveExp	#25	#60
PPAPPA	#16	#14
PowerPwr	#11	#28
SP+SP+	#38	#73
Pts POPPO	#32	#42
HavocHav	#10	#63

Louisiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#60	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#91	#14
Run ExplRExp	#31	#99
PPAExp	#33	#41
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#50	#57
TackleTak	-	#88

Louisiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#50	#21
PPAExp	#10	#9
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#2
F7 HavocF7	#6	#47
DB HavocDB	#29	#85

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 89° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Tulane 1.5 (53.5)
Tulane won at Louisiana this year (41-33)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Louisiana last year (41-33)

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darian Mensah	172	262	66%	2514	20	5	9.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)	6	11	55%	74	2	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	243	1306	15	5.4	51
Arnold Barnes	83	396	6	4.8	27
Ty Thompson (Tr)	40	243	6	6.1	50
Ashaad Clayton	27	198	1	7.3	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams (Tr)	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dontae Fleming	29	577	1	19.9	53
Yulkeith Brown	31	440	4	14.2	42
Alex Bauman	15	171	6	11.4	36

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Grubbs	58	5	2	1	1
Sam Howard (Tr)	56	4	2	0	1
Bailey Despanie	49	3	0	0	1
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)	47	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Hamilton	21	6	5	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	30	7	5	1	2
Matthew Fobbs-White	21	8	4	0	1
Adin Huntington (Tr)	28	5	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Micah Robinson (Tr)	29	1	6
Javion White	9	2	3
Rayshawn Pleasant	35	1	3

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Chandler Fields	63	87	72%	897	5	1	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Justin Agu	36	2	0	0	4