Marshall at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, December 7th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisiana -5 (58.0) (-205) Open: 0.0 | 56.5
Marshall 31 - Louisiana: 3 (Sun Belt Championship)

Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH 3rd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 6th straight game
MRSH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -4.5 (SP+ ULL -2)
Projected Score: MRSH: 27 - ULL: 32 (59)
ULL Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MRSH Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Marshall vs Stony Brook	-32.5	56.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+20.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Marshall at Ohio State	+40.0	57.0	L 14 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Marshall vs Western Michigan	-3.5	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Marshall vs App State	-3.0	56.5	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Marshall at Georgia Southern	+1.0	58.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Thu 10/17	Marshall vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Marshall vs UL Monroe	-10.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/9	Marshall at Southern Miss	-13.5	53.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Marshall vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	57.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Marshall at Old Dominion	+3.0	51.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Marshall at James Madison	+2.5	52.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Marshall at Louisiana	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	30.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	30.3	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	26	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	29.2	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	30.2	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13
ULL Defense	13	29.2	27.2	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	35.8	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13
ULL Offense	13	26	30.3	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -2.33 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 256.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 233.69
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -2.33 Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: 3.1 Louisiana: 4.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 233.69
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 32
Marshall 27

Projected Total Points: 59

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Louisiana	54	Marshall	51	Marshall -2.5	Louisiana	47.5	Over
2024	12/07	Louisiana	3	Marshall	31	Louisiana -5	Marshall	58.0	Under
2022	10/12	Marshall	13	Louisiana	23	Marshall -10.5	Louisiana	45.5	Under
2021	12/18	Marshall	21	Louisiana	36	Louisiana -4	Louisiana	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	3	3	2 Overs
Marshall	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#71) MRSH at (#67) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#67
SP+SP+	#58	#53
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#32
OffenseOff	#98	#14
DefenseDef	#21	#87
Spec TeamsST	#21	#131
TalentTal	#92	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#102

Marshall Notes(12/14) Opted out bowl, no players/coaches. Shameful
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
(8/17) Huff needs a good year to show progress
Marshall Injury Report

Louisiana Notes(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report

Marshall on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#87
SuccessSuc	#108	#110
ExplosiveExp	#73	#9
PPAPPA	#101	#71
PowerPwr	#82	#103
SP+SP+	#50	#78
Pts POPPO	#128	#117
HavocHav	#121	#84

Marshall Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#64	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#112
Run ExplRExp	#12	#15
PPAExp	#79	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#126
TackleTak	-	#126

Marshall Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#63
PPAExp	#97	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#119
F7 HavocF7	#126	#86
DB HavocDB	#86	#74

Louisiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#21
SuccessSuc	#35	#25
ExplosiveExp	#92	#121
PPAPPA	#48	#31
PowerPwr	#11	#57
SP+SP+	#38	#71
Pts POPPO	#42	#18
HavocHav	#82	#27

Louisiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#60	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#20
Run ExplRExp	#45	#126
PPAExp	#61	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#40
TackleTak	-	#20

Louisiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#74
PPAExp	#49	#28
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#25
F7 HavocF7	#99	#43
DB HavocDB	#30	#26

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 15
Louisiana -5.0 (58.0)
Marshall won at Louisiana this year (31-3)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Marshall last year (54-51)
Marshall beat Louisiana in 2024 (31-3)

MRSH's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Turner	104	864	6	8.3	88
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Jordan Houston (Tr)	111	592	2	5.3	45
Ethan Payne	65	323	7	5.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	34	576	6	16.9	69
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	20	194	3	9.7	28

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Landyn Watson	66	4	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1
Jabari Ishmael	22	3	2	5	1
Chris Thomas Jr.	44	4	2	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Jacobie Henderson	50	2	0	0	10
Josh Moten	38	0	0	0	5

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Chandler Fields	63	87	72%	897	5	1	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Justin Agu	36	2	0	0	4