App State at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLouisiana logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -10 (64.0) (-355)  Open: -6.0
Louisiana 34 - App State: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -13   (SP+ ULL -13)

Projected Score: APP: 24 - ULL: 37 (62)
ULL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7 Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.546.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisiana vs Tulane+1.553.5L 33 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.059.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.557.5W 23 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Louisiana vs App State-10.064.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.057.0W 34 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Louisiana at Texas State+4.060.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.060.0W 55 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.560.0L 22 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Louisiana vs Troy-7.551.5W 51 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.550.5W 37 - 23OY
Sat 12/7 Louisiana vs Marshall-5.058.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/28 Louisiana vs TCU+9.561.0L 3 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)26.645% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)32.951% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)30.942% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)24.153% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1126.624.343.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
ULL Defense1424.125.648.4%4.431.4 - - - - - 50%50%53%44%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1132.939.749%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
ULL Offense1430.93444.5%4.270.620401159242553%47%42%47%11%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Louisiana1429:1219.743%64%5.444.50.61.43.91.5228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
ULL Defense1450% (61)53% (133) - - - - .24 (121)3.36 (118)82% (116)7% (125)0.87 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
ULL Offense1453% (52)42% (91)31.6158.9526 (36).2 (33)3.24 (35)76% (44)6% (6)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
ULL Defense1450% (77)44% (105) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (53)1.4 (11)28% (121)34% (108).33 (84)5% (97)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
ULL Offense1447% (80)47% (17)18.427.5241.98.813.122 (46)7 (26).41 (10)1.6 (50)28% (17)29% (97).39 (48)5% (29)2.3 (9)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96   Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1   Louisiana: 4.8




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 37
App State 24


Total Points: 62

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Louisiana34App State24LouisianaLouisiana -10Push64.0Under
202110/12Louisiana41App State13LouisianaAppalachian State -4.5Louisiana57.5Under
202112/04Louisiana24App State16LouisianaAppalachian State -2.5Louisiana52.5Under
202012/04App State21Louisiana24LouisianaAppalachian State -3Louisiana51.0Under
201910/09Louisiana7App State17App StateLouisiana -2.5App State69.5Under
201912/07App State45Louisiana38App StateAppalachian State -6.0App State57.5Over
201812/01App State30Louisiana19App StateAppalachian State -17.5Louisiana54.0Under
201810/20App State27Louisiana17App StateAppalachian State -25Louisiana65.0Under
201712/02App State63Louisiana14App StateAppalachian State -14App State58.0Over
201610/12Louisiana0App State24App StateAppalachian State -10.5App State50.0Under
201511/28App State28Louisiana7App StateAppalachian State -22Louisiana59.0Under
201411/22Louisiana16App State35App StateLouisiana -8App State62.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana462 Overs
App State8510 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 72 - 62 - 1
Road Teams4 - 87 - 41 - 26 - 2

(#97) App State Info
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State has lost 2 straight
App State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread )

App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?

App State Highlights
App State offense is explosive (#127)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
App State has a bad defense (#69)
App State Does Not Stuff Runs (#49)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)
App State has a bad red zone defense (#96)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULLAPP
OverallOver#25#59
OffenseOff#14#57
DefenseDef#67#72
Special TeamsST#108#57
PassingPass#7#75
RushingRush#43#33
Run BlockRBLK#21#43
Pass BlockPBLK#40#81
Route RunningWR Rt#20#39
TacklingTkl#110#74
Run DefenseR Def#88#71
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#31
Coverage DefCov#20#88

Rematch from Week 7
Louisiana -10.0 (64.0)
Louisiana won vs App State this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State last year (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | ULL
Depth Chart: APP | ULL
Rosters: APP | ULL
(#67) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has won 2 straight
Louisiana has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana offense is explosive (#71)
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)


  
App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Kaedin Robinson010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmani Marshall14971374.829
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Christan Horn19367119.383
Dalton Stroman20307515.447

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Michael Fletcher164460
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Chandler Fields638772%8975110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Dre'Lyn Washington7347856.564
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Jacob Bernard28375013.452

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Keyon Martin562026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Baylis224216
Keyon Martin562026
Justin Agu362004