App State at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns  Louisiana logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -10 (64.0) (-355)  Open: -6.0
Louisiana 34 - App State: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -13  (SP+ ULL -13)

Projected Score: APP: 24 - ULL: 37 (61)
ULL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7 Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.546.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisiana vs Tulane+1.553.5L 33 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.059.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.557.5W 23 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Louisiana vs App State-10.064.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.057.0W 34 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Louisiana at Texas State+4.060.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.060.0W 55 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.560.0L 22 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Louisiana vs Troy-7.551.5W 51 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.550.5W 37 - 23OY
Sat 12/7 Louisiana vs Marshall-5.058.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/28 Louisiana vs TCU+9.561.0L 3 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)24.243% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)29.845% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
ULL#48 (.22)45% (35)2646% (42)3.23 (46)17746% (29)2174.16 (42)#71 (.18)45% (110)29.247% (112)43% (87)4.38 (117)49.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1424.221.645.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24
ULL Defense1329.227.245%4.381.8 - - - - - 57%42%47%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1429.837.442.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
ULL Offense132630.345.2%4.161.5203931772174.952%47%46%46%17%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Louisiana1329:0520.441%55%6.149.81.51.85.62.6430.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)
ULL Defense1357% (129)47% (112) - - - - .17 (90)3.31 (111)86% (125)10% (86)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
ULL Offense1352% (50)46% (42)36.1176.84.925 (37).16 (61)3.23 (46)77% (38)12% (99)1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)
ULL Defense1342% (6)43% (87) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (63)1.6 (63)26% (131)32% (96).31 (69)6% (74)2 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
ULL Offense1347% (89)46% (29)18.328.2216.77.711.823 (51)9 (40).34 (49)1.5 (107)30% (38)27% (97).23 (100)5% (30)2 (81)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96  #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99  #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06  #121
2024 Talent Rating: 307.00  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1  #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96   Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1   Louisiana: 4.8




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64  #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51  #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25  #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 37
App State 24


Projected Total Points: 61
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Louisiana34App State24Louisiana -10Push64.0Under
202110/12Louisiana41App State13Appalachian State -4.5Louisiana57.5Under
202112/04Louisiana24App State16Appalachian State -2.5Louisiana52.5Under
202012/04App State21Louisiana24Appalachian State -3Louisiana51.0Under
201910/09Louisiana7App State17Louisiana -2.5App State69.5Under
201912/07App State45Louisiana38Appalachian State -6.0App State57.5Over
201812/01App State30Louisiana19Appalachian State -17.5Louisiana54.0Under
201810/20App State27Louisiana17Appalachian State -25Louisiana65.0Under
201712/02App State63Louisiana14Appalachian State -14App State58.0Over
201610/12Louisiana0App State24Appalachian State -10.5App State50.0Under
201511/28App State28Louisiana7Appalachian State -22Louisiana59.0Under
201411/22Louisiana16App State35Louisiana -8App State62.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana462 Overs
App State8510 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 72 - 62 - 1
Road Teams4 - 87 - 41 - 26 - 2

(#97) APP at (#67) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPULL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #97 #67
SP+SP+ #100 #53
Perf GradeGrade #84 #32
OffenseOff #70 #14
DefenseDef #92 #87
Spec TeamsST #69 #131
TalentTal #72 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
App State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
(7/30) QB Aguilar v good, WRs all back, lost RB to Mizzu.
App State Injury Report
Louisiana Notes
(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report
App State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #70 #87
SuccessSuc #28 #110
ExplosiveExp #64 #9
PPAPPA #41 #71
PowerPwr #50 #103
SP+SP+ #67 #78
Pts POPPO #77 #117
HavocHav #73 #84
App State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
Run GameRun #48 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #112
Run ExplRExp #83 #15
PPAExp #99 #90
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #111
Stuff RateStuff #56 #126
TackleTak -  #126
App State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #95 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #87
Pass ExplPExl #65 #63
PPAExp #19 #63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #96 #119
F7 HavocF7 #49 #86
DB HavocDB #108 #74
Louisiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatULL OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #14 #92
SuccessSuc #35 #76
ExplosiveExp #92 #70
PPAPPA #48 #79
PowerPwr #11 #121
SP+SP+ #38 #110
Pts POPPO #42 #17
HavocHav #82 #26
Louisiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ULL OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #60 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #93
Run ExplRExp #45 #113
PPAExp #61 #112
Run BlockR Blk #25 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #120
Stuff RateStuff #62 #95
TackleTak -  #86
Louisiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatULL OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #7 #109
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #58
Pass ExplPExl #107 #36
PPAExp #49 #30
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40 #34
F7 HavocF7 #99 #40
DB HavocDB #30 #29
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Louisiana -10.0 (64.0)
Louisiana won vs App State this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State in 2024 (34-24)

  
APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Kaedin Robinson010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmani Marshall14971374.829
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Christan Horn19367119.383
Dalton Stroman20307515.447

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Michael Fletcher164460
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Chandler Fields638772%8975110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Dre'Lyn Washington7347856.564
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Jacob Bernard28375013.452

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Keyon Martin562026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Baylis224216
Keyon Martin562026
Justin Agu362004