Louisiana at Southern Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -17.5 (57.5) (-850) Open: -11.5
Louisiana 23 - Southern Miss: 13 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL 2nd straight Road Game
USM coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -27 (SP+ ULL -30.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 42 - USM: 15 (57)
ULL Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ULL Travel: 178 miles

Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+25.5	50.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/7	Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana	-17.5	53.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Southern Miss vs South Florida	+13.0	58.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Southern Miss at Jacksonville State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	+17.5	57.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	+4.5	41.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Southern Miss vs Arkansas State	+7.0	57.0	L 28 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/26	Southern Miss at James Madison	+24.0	54.0	L 15 - 32	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Southern Miss vs Marshall	+13.5	53.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/16	Southern Miss at Texas State	+27.5	56.5	L 3 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/23	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	+24.0	54.0	L 14 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Southern Miss at Troy	+17.5	48.5	L 20 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	26	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	29.2	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8
USM	#109 (.12)	37% (121)	28.8	40% (106)	2.89 (107)	163	34% (126)	191	3.07 (121)	#105 (.24)	42% (69)	27.4	41% (49)	45% (109)	4.15 (103)	48.2	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.3	42.2%	4.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	45%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18
USM Offense	12	28.8	30.9	36.7%	3.07	1.3	20	354	163	191	4	53%	46%	40%	34%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3
Southern Miss	12	33:15	20.3	38%	44%	6.3	48.2	1.3	1.4	4.5	2.1	2	28

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)
USM Defense	12	53% (106)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.22 (109)	3.21 (94)	67% (30)	10% (76)	1.24 (129)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)
USM Offense	12	53% (41)	40% (106)	40.5	163.4	4	16 (89)	.13 (80)	2.89 (107)	67% (109)	12% (109)	1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)
USM Defense	12	46% (27)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.32 (101)	1.7 (101)	31% (93)	33% (103)	.4 (106)	6% (63)	2.3 (123)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)
USM Offense	12	46% (92)	34% (126)	15.7	30.4	190.7	6.3	12.2	15 (96)	8 (30)	.14 (114)	1.7 (26)	36% (126)	28% (87)	.34 (67)	8% (117)	2.1 (49)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -0.52 Southern Miss: -24.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 4.8 Southern Miss: -25.6

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -24.845 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 222.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 42
Southern Miss 15

Projected Total Points: 57

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	22	Southern Miss -4.5	Southern Miss	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Southern Miss	13	Louisiana	23	Louisiana -17.5	Southern Miss	57.5	Under
2023	11/09	Louisiana	31	Southern Miss	34	Louisiana -8.5	Southern Miss	51.5	Over
2022	10/27	Southern Miss	39	Louisiana	24	Louisiana -2.5	Southern Miss	42.5	Over
2016	12/17	Louisiana	21	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -2	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2008	08/30	Southern Miss	51	Louisiana	21
2003	11/01	Southern Miss	48	Louisiana	3
2001	09/22	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	7	5	2 Overs
Louisiana	1	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0

(#67) ULL at (#133) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#133
SP+SP+	#53	#133
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#134
OffenseOff	#14	#134
DefenseDef	#87	#123
Spec TeamsST	#131	#88
TalentTal	#85	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Louisiana Notes(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report

Southern Miss Notes(12/10) Hired HC C Huff (Marshall HC last 6 years)
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
(7/30) New OC Chip Long (ND), DC Bignell (ND Analyst)
Southern Miss Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#123
SuccessSuc	#35	#69
ExplosiveExp	#92	#125
PPAPPA	#48	#105
PowerPwr	#11	#125
SP+SP+	#38	#128
Pts POPPO	#42	#103
HavocHav	#82	#73

Louisiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#60	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#49
Run ExplRExp	#45	#129
PPAExp	#61	#109
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#94
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#82
TackleTak	-	#135

Louisiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#101
PPAExp	#49	#101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#62
F7 HavocF7	#99	#76
DB HavocDB	#30	#63

Southern Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#87
SuccessSuc	#121	#110
ExplosiveExp	#24	#9
PPAPPA	#109	#71
PowerPwr	#134	#103
SP+SP+	#130	#78
Pts POPPO	#121	#117
HavocHav	#117	#84

Southern Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#98	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#112
Run ExplRExp	#19	#15
PPAExp	#80	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#126
TackleTak	-	#126

Southern Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#126	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#26	#63
PPAExp	#114	#63
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#105	#119
F7 HavocF7	#109	#86
DB HavocDB	#117	#74

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Louisiana 17.5 (57.5)
Louisiana won at Southern Miss this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Louisiana last year (22-10)
Louisiana beat Southern Miss in 2024 (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Chandler Fields	63	87	72%	897	5	1	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Justin Agu	36	2	0	0	4

USM's OC Chip Long (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0
Ethan Crawford	50	120	42%	849	0	7	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark	124	604	1	4.9	54
Kenyon Clay	84	387	7	4.6	70
Ethan Crawford	97	209	3	2.2	21
Jalen Washington	26	118	1	4.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)	27	421	1	15.6	75
Tiaquelin Mims	33	393	1	11.9	56
Kenyon Clay	21	225	1	10.7	37
Kyirin Heath (Tr)	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Clay Bignell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)	74	5	1	2	0
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Chris Jones	46	3	1	0	1
Ja'Len Sims	45	5	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Ryan Johnson (Tr)	23	4	3	9	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Jameer Lewis	24	5	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will James (Tr)	35	2	0	0	7
Ques McNeal	29	2	0	0	4
Ja'Len Sims	45	5	1	1	3