South Alabama at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo   South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns  Louisiana logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -6.5 (60.0) (-230)  Open: -8.5
South Alabama 24 - Louisiana: 22  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULL 2nd straight Home Game
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -5  (SP+ ULL -2)

Projected Score: USA: 27 - ULL: 32 (59)
ULL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USA Travel: 240 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama vs North Texas-6.061.5L 38 - 52ON
Sat 9/7 South Alabama at Ohio-1.555.5L 20 - 27UN
Thu 9/12 South Alabama vs Northwestern State-36.560.5W 87 - 10OY
Thu 9/19 South Alabama at App State+8.062.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at LSU+21.064.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/5 South Alabama at Arkansas State-2.562.5L 16 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 South Alabama vs Troy-10.053.0W 25 - 9UY
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-7.045.0W 46 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Alabama at Louisiana+6.560.0W 24 - 22UY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Southern Miss-24.054.0W 35 - 14UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Texas State+2.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 12/14 South Alabama vs Western Michigan-6.053.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7 Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.546.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisiana vs Tulane+1.553.5L 33 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.059.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.557.5W 23 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Louisiana vs App State-10.064.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.057.0W 34 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Louisiana at Texas State+4.060.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.060.0W 55 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.560.0L 22 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Louisiana vs Troy-7.551.5W 51 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.550.5W 37 - 23OY
Sat 12/7 Louisiana vs Marshall-5.058.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/28 Louisiana vs TCU+9.561.0L 3 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)26.542% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)30.435% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
ULL#48 (.22)45% (35)2646% (42)3.23 (46)17746% (29)2174.16 (42)#71 (.18)45% (110)29.247% (112)43% (87)4.38 (117)49.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1326.525.243%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28
ULL Defense1329.227.245%4.381.8 - - - - - 57%42%47%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1330.43236.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
ULL Offense132630.345.2%4.161.5203931772174.952%47%46%46%17%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Louisiana1329:0520.441%55%6.149.81.51.85.62.6430.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)
ULL Defense1357% (129)47% (112) - - - - .17 (90)3.31 (111)86% (125)10% (86)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
ULL Offense1352% (50)46% (42)36.1176.84.925 (37).16 (61)3.23 (46)77% (38)12% (99)1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)
ULL Defense1342% (6)43% (87) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (63)1.6 (63)26% (131)32% (96).31 (69)6% (74)2 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
ULL Offense1347% (89)46% (29)18.328.2216.77.711.823 (51)9 (40).34 (49)1.5 (107)30% (38)27% (97).23 (100)5% (30)2 (81)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.64  #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69  #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70  #78
2024 Talent Rating: 251.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8  #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.64   Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 2.8   Louisiana: 4.8




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64  #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51  #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25  #103
2024 Talent Rating: 270.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 32
South Alabama 27


Projected Total Points: 59
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01South Alabama22Louisiana31South Alabama -3.5Louisiana52.5Over
202411/16Louisiana22South Alabama24Louisiana -6.5South Alabama60.0Under
202310/28South Alabama20Louisiana33South Alabama -11.5Louisiana55.0Under
202210/01Louisiana17South Alabama20South Alabama -8.5Louisiana47.0Under
202110/02South Alabama18Louisiana20Louisiana -12South Alabama52.5Under
202011/14Louisiana38South Alabama10Louisiana -14Louisiana53.0Under
201911/16South Alabama27Louisiana37Louisiana -27.5South Alabama52.5Over
201811/17Louisiana48South Alabama38Louisiana -19South Alabama66.0Over
201711/04South Alabama14Louisiana19South Alabama -6Louisiana51.5Under
201609/17Louisiana28South Alabama23Louisiana -3.5Louisiana53.0Under
201511/12South Alabama32Louisiana25Louisiana -1.5South Alabama57.0Push
201411/01Louisiana19South Alabama9Louisiana -7Louisiana57.0Under
201312/07South Alabama30Louisiana8South Alabama -1.5South Alabama0
201211/24Louisiana52South Alabama30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana1073 Overs
South Alabama468 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 78 - 54 - 54 - 0
Road Teams7 - 75 - 80 - 45 - 4

(#76) USA at (#67) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAULL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #76 #67
SP+SP+ #61 #53
Perf GradeGrade #59 #32
OffenseOff #61 #14
DefenseDef #65 #87
Spec TeamsST #111 #131
TalentTal #95 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Rgame 267/7.2 ypc in bowl W over WMU
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
(9/8) Bad Ls vs N Tex & Ohio. QBs OK, D bad so far
South Alabama Injury Report
Louisiana Notes
(12/1) Rgame good 225/5.4, Fields meh, D good in ULM W
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad
(7/30) 3rd year for HC, what is ULL post Napier?
Louisiana Injury Report
South Alabama on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
USA OffULL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #61 #87
SuccessSuc #57 #110
ExplosiveExp #6 #9
PPAPPA #31 #71
PowerPwr #16 #103
SP+SP+ #47 #78
Pts POPPO #15 #117
HavocHav #61 #84
South Alabama Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
USA OffULL Def
Run GameRun #3 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #112
Run ExplRExp #6 #15
PPAExp #49 #90
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLY #44 #111
Stuff RateStuff #14 #126
TackleTak -  #126
South Alabama Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
USA OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #84 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #35 #87
Pass ExplPExl #34 #63
PPAExp #26 #63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #39 #119
F7 HavocF7 #76 #86
DB HavocDB #27 #74
Louisiana on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatULL OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #14 #65
SuccessSuc #35 #17
ExplosiveExp #92 #98
PPAPPA #48 #34
PowerPwr #11 #78
SP+SP+ #38 #71
Pts POPPO #42 #21
HavocHav #82 #65
Louisiana Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #60 #45
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #8
Run ExplRExp #45 #27
PPAExp #61 #12
Run BlockR Blk #25 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #14
Stuff RateStuff #62 #52
TackleTak -  #118
Louisiana Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatULL OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #7 #50
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #44
Pass ExplPExl #107 #124
PPAExp #49 #109
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40 #109
F7 HavocF7 #99 #33
DB HavocDB #30 #106
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Louisiana -6.5 (60.0)
South Alabama won at Louisiana this year (24-22)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat South Alabama last year (31-22)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2024 (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)

  
USA's OC Rob Ezell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamaal Pritchett911126912.475
Jeremiah Webb36649518.052
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Shamar Sandgren19208110.921

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Jaden Voisin844035
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104
Jordan Scruggs705002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtney McBride3911530
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Jordan Norman254322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Jaden Voisin844035
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Chandler Fields638772%8975110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Dre'Lyn Washington7347856.564
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Jacob Bernard28375013.452

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Keyon Martin562026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Baylis224216
Keyon Martin562026
Justin Agu362004