South Alabama at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -6.5 (60.0) (-230) Open: -8.5
South Alabama 24 - Louisiana: 22 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

ULL 2nd straight Home Game
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana -5 (SP+ ULL -2)
Projected Score: USA: 26 - ULL: 31 (57)
ULL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USA Travel: 240 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Alabama vs North Texas	-6.0	61.5	L 38 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/7	South Alabama at Ohio	-1.5	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Thu 9/12	South Alabama vs Northwestern State	-36.5	60.5	W 87 - 10	O	Y
Thu 9/19	South Alabama at App State	+8.0	62.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/28	South Alabama at LSU	+21.0	64.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/5	South Alabama at Arkansas State	-2.5	62.5	L 16 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	South Alabama vs Troy	-10.0	53.0	W 25 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/26	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-7.0	45.0	W 46 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/2	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	South Alabama at Louisiana	+6.5	60.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/23	South Alabama at Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/29	South Alabama vs Texas State	+2.5	60.5	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/14	South Alabama vs Western Michigan	-6.0	53.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#31 (.28)	43% (57)	34.4	42% (80)	3.24 (44)	172	45% (35)	268	4.67 (15)	#34 (.14)	37% (17)	25.2	35% (8)	40% (44)	3.32 (21)	57.7	1.5	1.7
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	30.9	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	24.1	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	13	34.4	25.5	43%	4.67	1.5	23	440	172	268	4.8	48%	51%	42%	45%	15%	.28
ULL Defense	13	24.1	25.6	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	13	25.2	22.8	36.6%	3.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	35%	40%	16%	.14
ULL Offense	13	30.9	34	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	13	30:30	22.6	43%	63%	6.7	57.7	1.5	1.7	5.8	2	0	31.4
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	13	48% (81)	42% (80)	36	171.9	4.8	28 (25)	.18 (49)	3.24 (44)	74% (71)	10% (76)	1.18 (6)
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	13	54% (116)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (12)	2.69 (14)	74% (74)	11% (33)	0.9 (27)
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	13	51% (55)	45% (35)	22.4	32.9	268.2	8.1	12	28 (23)	11 (68)	.41 (26)	1.7 (34)	34% (104)	39% (8)	.59 (7)	5% (27)	2.2 (34)
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	13	45% (19)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.36 (109)	1.8 (124)	36% (12)	27% (29)	.28 (47)	5% (106)	2.2 (104)
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.64 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.64 Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 2.8 Louisiana: 4.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 31
South Alabama 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Louisiana	22	South Alabama	24	South Alabama	Louisiana -6.5	South Alabama	60.0	Under
2023	10/28	South Alabama	20	Louisiana	33	Louisiana	South Alabama -11.5	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2022	10/01	Louisiana	17	South Alabama	20	South Alabama	South Alabama -8.5	Louisiana	47.0	Under
2021	10/02	South Alabama	18	Louisiana	20	Louisiana	Louisiana -12	South Alabama	52.5	Under
2020	11/14	Louisiana	38	South Alabama	10	Louisiana	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2019	11/16	South Alabama	27	Louisiana	37	Louisiana	Louisiana -27.5	South Alabama	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Louisiana	48	South Alabama	38	Louisiana	Louisiana -19	South Alabama	66.0	Over
2017	11/04	South Alabama	14	Louisiana	19	Louisiana	South Alabama -6	Louisiana	51.5	Under
2016	09/17	Louisiana	28	South Alabama	23	Louisiana	Louisiana -3.5	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2015	11/12	South Alabama	32	Louisiana	25	South Alabama	Louisiana -1.5	South Alabama	57.0	Push
2014	11/01	Louisiana	19	South Alabama	9	Louisiana	Louisiana -7	Louisiana	57.0	Under
2013	12/07	South Alabama	30	Louisiana	8	South Alabama	South Alabama -1.5	South Alabama	0
2012	11/24	Louisiana	52	South Alabama	30	Louisiana

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	9	6	2 Overs
South Alabama	4	6	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	8 - 4	4 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 7	4 - 8	0 - 4	4 - 4

(#76) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio

South Alabama Ratings Matchup Louisiana

Power #76

#67

Off #16

#11

Def #78

#103

Talent #93

#85

SP+ #61

#53

SP+ Off #47

#38

SP+ Def #71

#78

Rematch from Week 12
Louisiana -6.5 (60.0)
South Alabama won at Louisiana this year (24-22)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Louisiana last year (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 67°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | ULL
Depth Chart: USA | ULL
Rosters: USA | ULL

(#67) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad

South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Giovanni Lopez	205	311	66%	2557	18	5	8.2
Bishop Davenport	48	79	61%	604	3	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Fluff Bothwell	112	834	13	7.4	59
Kentrel Bullock	152	832	7	5.5	59
Giovanni Lopez	82	465	7	5.7	50
Bishop Davenport	37	161	1	4.4	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Voisin	34	407	0	12.0	28
Kentrel Bullock	15	153	1	10.2	28
Anthony Eager	10	133	2	13.3	38
Fluff Bothwell	12	90	0	7.5	28

View South Alabama's Full Roster

South Alabama's DC Will Windham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blayne Myrick	101	8	2	3	2
Darius McKenzie (Tr)	72	4	1	0	4
Jordan Scruggs	70	5	0	0	2
Wesley Miller	59	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Parker Shattuck	11	3	3	0	1
Tyler Thomas	19	4	3	0	0
Jordan Norman	25	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Amarion Fortenberry	43	2	0	6
Wesley Miller	59	2	0	4
Darius McKenzie (Tr)	72	4	1	4

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Beale	13	30	43%	126	0	2	4.2
D'Wayne' Winfield	1	2	50%	6	0	0	3.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Bill Davis	9	103	0	11.4	73

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Robert Williams	26	290	1	11.2	47
Caden Jensen	19	138	2	7.3	18

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Tyree Skipper	41	0	0	0	2
Jaden Dugger (Tr)	37	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Fitzgerald West Jr. (Tr)	21	2	1	0	0
Chase Edwards	8	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Justin Agu	36	2	4
Kody Jackson	22	1	3
Tyree Skipper	41	0	2