Louisiana at UL Monroe - 2024 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -8.5 (50.5) (-360)  Open: -10.0 | 48.5
Louisiana 37 - UL Monroe: 23  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ULM is playing their 6th straight game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -19   (SP+ ULL -21.5)

Projected Score: ULL: 35 - ULM: 16 (51)
ULL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ULL Travel: 160 miles
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana vs Grambling-26
Sat 9/7 Louisiana at Kennesaw State-14.546.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Louisiana vs Tulane+1.553.5L 33 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Louisiana at Wake Forest+3.059.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Louisiana at Southern Miss-17.557.5W 23 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Louisiana vs App State-10.064.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 Louisiana at Coastal Carolina-6.057.0W 34 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Louisiana at Texas State+4.060.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-14.060.0W 55 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana vs South Alabama-6.560.0L 22 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Louisiana vs Troy-7.551.5W 51 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana at UL Monroe-8.550.5W 37 - 23OY
Sat 12/7 Louisiana vs Marshall-5.058.0L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/28 Louisiana vs TCU+9.561.0L 3 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 9
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.545.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe vs UAB+10.555.5W 32 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Texas+43.554.5L 3 - 51UN
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe at Troy+6.046.0W 13 - 9UY
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs James Madison+16.548.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 10/12 UL Monroe vs Southern Miss-4.541.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 UL Monroe at South Alabama+7.045.0L 17 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe at Marshall+10.548.0L 23 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Texas State+9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Auburn+24.546.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+3.051.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe vs Louisiana+8.550.5L 23 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)30.942% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)24.153% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)2140% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)28.853% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense1430.93244.5%4.270.620401159242553%47%42%47%11%.3
ULM Defense1228.822.546.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1424.120.848.4%4.431.4 - - - - - 50%50%53%44%13%.22
ULM Offense122126.837.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1429:1219.743%64%5.444.50.61.43.91.5228.5
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1453% (52)42% (91)31.6158.9526 (36).2 (33)3.24 (35)76% (44)6% (6)1.07 (31)
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1450% (61)53% (133) - - - - .24 (121)3.36 (118)82% (116)7% (125)0.87 (18)
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1447% (80)47% (17)18.427.5241.98.813.122 (46)7 (26).41 (10)1.6 (50)28% (17)29% (97).39 (48)5% (29)2.3 (9)
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1450% (77)44% (105) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (53)1.4 (11)28% (121)34% (108).33 (84)5% (97)1.9 (33)
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -0.52   UL Monroe: -16.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 4.8   UL Monroe: -16.7




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 35
UL Monroe 16


Total Points: 51

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30UL Monroe23Louisiana37LouisianaLouisiana -8.5Louisiana50.5Over
202311/25Louisiana52UL Monroe21LouisianaLouisiana -12.5Louisiana53.0Over
202209/24UL Monroe21Louisiana17UL MonroeLouisiana -9.5UL Monroe51.0Under
202111/27Louisiana21UL Monroe16LouisianaLouisiana -21.5UL Monroe56.0Under
202011/28UL Monroe20Louisiana70LouisianaLouisiana -29.5Louisiana58.0Over
201911/30Louisiana31UL Monroe30LouisianaLouisiana -19.5UL Monroe71.0Under
201811/24UL Monroe28Louisiana31LouisianaLouisiana Monroe -1.5Louisiana71.0Under
201709/23Louisiana50UL Monroe56UL MonroeLouisiana -4UL Monroe60.0Over
201612/03UL Monroe3Louisiana30LouisianaLouisiana -9.5Louisiana53.0Under
201510/31Louisiana30UL Monroe24LouisianaLouisiana -9UL Monroe52.5Over
201411/15UL Monroe27Louisiana34LouisianaLouisiana -7NA51.5Over
201311/30Louisiana28UL Monroe31UL MonroeLouisiana -13UL Monroe0
201211/03UL Monroe24Louisiana40Louisiana
201111/05Louisiana36UL Monroe35Louisiana
201011/27UL Monroe22Louisiana23Louisiana
200911/21Louisiana21UL Monroe17Louisiana
200810/04UL Monroe35Louisiana44Louisiana
200711/24Louisiana11UL Monroe17UL Monroe
200612/02Louisiana20UL Monroe39UL Monroe
200511/26UL Monroe21Louisiana54Louisiana
200411/20UL Monroe13Louisiana10UL Monroe
200310/11Louisiana42UL Monroe45UL Monroe
200110/27Louisiana17UL Monroe12Louisiana
200011/03UL Monroe18Louisiana21Louisiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe766 Overs
Louisiana1755 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 152 - 91 - 61 - 3
Road Teams15 - 99 - 23 - 16 - 1

(#67) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -0.52 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has won 1 straight
Louisiana has won 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana offense is explosive (#71)
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)
Louisiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)
Louisiana has a bad red zone defense (#92)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULMULL
OverallOver#85#25
OffenseOff#89#14
DefenseDef#92#67
Special TeamsST#95#108
PassingPass#86#7
RushingRush#13#43
Run BlockRBLK#102#21
Pass BlockPBLK#75#40
Route RunningWR Rt#79#20
TacklingTkl#79#110
Run DefenseR Def#109#88
Pass Rush DefPRush#85#101
Coverage DefCov#25#20

Rematch from Week 14
Louisiana 8.5 (50.5)
Louisiana won at UL Monroe this year (37-23)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat UL Monroe last year (37-23)
Louisiana beat UL Monroe in 2023 (52-21)
UL Monroe beat Louisiana in 2022 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | ULM
Depth Chart: ULL | ULM
Rosters: ULL | ULM
(#123) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -16.885 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UL Monroe has lost 5 straight
UL Monroe has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe defense does not give up big plays (#42)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#75)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)


  
Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Wooldridge19229166%24531768.4
Chandler Fields638772%8975110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis16379694.973
Zylan Perry11269546.230
Dre'Lyn Washington7347856.564
Ben Wooldridge6517452.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance LeGendre49826616.948
Terrance Carter48689414.474
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Jacob Bernard28375013.452

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai1153133
Tyrone Lewis763102
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Keyon Martin562026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield367631
Jordan Lawson4411651
Mason Narcisse376410
Antoine Baylis224216
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Baylis224216
Keyon Martin562026
Justin Agu362004

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
General Booty (Tr)295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy2371352135.780
James Jones7933614.324
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Davon Wells2926229.051
Tyler Griffin (Tr)8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Travor Randle634128
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travor Randle634128
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014