Memphis at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview

Memphis Tigers at Charlotte 49ers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Memphis -9.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Memphis 44 - Charlotte: 38 (American Athletic)

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CHAR is playing their 5th straight game
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -19 (SP+ MEM -25)
Projected Score: MEM: 36 - CHAR: 17 (53)
MEM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MEM Travel: 521 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.2	44%	32.5	44%	2.9	142	45%	280	4.16	.18	43%	23.2	41%	46%	4.34	36.9	1.2	2.1
CHAR	.16	47%	14.3	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	36.3	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	32.5	35	44.3%	4.16	1.2	23	422	142	280	3.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	16%	.2
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.2	20.8	43%	4.34	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	46%	14%	.18
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	30:50	22.5	45%	54%	4.1	36.9	1.2	2.1	4.6	1.6	4	31.3
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	47%	44%	37.9	142.4	3.8	30	.12	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	70%	8%	0.89
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	52%	45%	22.4	35	280.1	8	12.5	23	8	.31	1.5	30%	33%	.39	6%	2.2
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.3	1.5	32%	36%	.43	6%	1.9
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 626.86 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64 Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8 Charlotte: -22.1

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 36
Charlotte 17

Projected Total Points: 53

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Memphis	33	Charlotte	28	Memphis -17.0	Charlotte	56.5	Over
2023	11/11	Charlotte	38	Memphis	44	Memphis -9.5	Charlotte	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	0	2	2 Overs
Memphis	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#36) MEM at (#128) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#36	#128
SP+SP+	#57	#130
Perf GradeGrade	#41	#120
OffenseOff	#22	#124
DefenseDef	#97	#88
Spec TeamsST	#103	#29
TalentTal	#64	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#75

Memphis Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#24	#77
SP+SP+	#14	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#82	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#18	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#130	#71
SP+SP+	#128	#112
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#111	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#120	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Memphis 9.5 (51.5)
Memphis won at Charlotte this year (44-38)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Charlotte in 2024 (33-28)
Memphis beat Charlotte in 2023 (44-38)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	318	476	67%	3883	32	9	8.2
Tevin Carter	3	5	60%	101	1	1	20.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Watson (Tr)	192	1152	14	6.0	69
Sutton Smith	63	305	2	4.8	26
Seth Henigan	94	274	5	2.9	24
Brandon Thomas	46	172	9	3.7	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	69	1083	4	15.7	85
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	53	901	7	17.0	70
Blake Watson (Tr)	53	485	3	9.2	63
Joseph Scates	33	414	6	12.5	54

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Geoff Cantin-Arku	79	5	1	1	2
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	0	2	5
Cameron Smith	57	0	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Gregory Rubin	52	3	3	1	3
Keveionta Spears	17	4	2	1	1
Jaylon Allen	41	7	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
DeAgo Brumfeld	42	3	1	10
Cameron Smith	57	0	2	6
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	2	5

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	112	203	55%	1263	4	10	6.2
Jalon Jones	67	109	62%	646	2	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Jones	110	476	4	4.3	58
Terron Kellman	82	328	1	4.0	18
Hahsaun Wilson	54	322	3	6.0	34
Shadrick Byrd	60	211	0	3.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack	25	453	2	18.1	51
Colin Weber	34	362	0	10.6	45
Jack Hestera	28	349	3	12.5	37
Duane Thomas Jr.	24	244	0	10.2	51

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	0	4
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	0	10
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1
Demon Clowney	31	4	3	4	0
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Jaren Handy	27	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	10
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	4
Dontez Fagan	21	3	0	4