Memphis at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -6.5 (70.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Memphis 45 - North Texas: 42  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (42 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MEM 2nd straight Road Game
UNT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -7.5   (SP+ MEM -10)

Projected Score: MEM: 39 - UNT: 32 (71)
MEM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 431 miles
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (38 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman-49.059.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/9 Memphis at Arkansas State-21.057.0W 37 - 3UY
Thu 9/14 Memphis vs Navy-12.547.0W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/23 Memphis vs Missouri+6.552.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Memphis vs Boise State-3.058.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Memphis vs Tulane+4.554.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 Memphis at UAB-7.561.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Memphis at North Texas-6.570.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Memphis vs South Florida-13.568.5W 59 - 50ON
Sat 11/11 Memphis at Charlotte-9.551.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Memphis vs SMU+9.564.5L 34 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Memphis at Temple-13.563.5W 45 - 21OY
Fri 12/29 Memphis at Iowa State+10.558.0W 36 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#18 (.3)47% (23)39.447% (33)2.96 (98)15247% (22)3064.6 (16)#82 (.2)44% (90)28.844% (82)44% (103)4.12 (99)41.21.21.5
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1339.44246.6%4.61.2234581523064.643%57%47%47%13%.3
UNT Defense1237.137.848.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1328.825.243.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 49%50%44%44%16%.2
UNT Offense1234.537.844.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1331:0822.745%64%4.141.21.21.55.11.6331.2
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1343% (111)47% (33)331524.631 (17).17 (57)2.96 (98)66% (117)8% (25)1.03 (52)
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1349% (56)44% (82) - - - - .17 (92)2.98 (46)62% (15)9% (92)1.08 (105)
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1357% (19)47% (22)24.737306.58.312.433 (11)10 (56).42 (22)1.6 (50)27% (8)39% (7).62 (5)6% (49)2.2 (23)
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1350% (78)44% (103) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (75)1.7 (88)30% (112)32% (93).3 (65)7% (38)2.2 (99)
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64   North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 39
North Texas 32


Total Points: 71

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Memphis52North Texas44MemphisMemphis -10.5North Texas67.5Over
202310/28North Texas42Memphis45MemphisMemphis -6.5North Texas70.0Over
202209/24Memphis44North Texas34MemphisMemphis -13North Texas68.5Over
200312/16North Texas17Memphis27Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas033 Overs
Memphis400 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Memphis has won 1 straight
Memphis has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Memphis Highlights
Memphis offense is efficent (#37)
Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis commits very few Penalties (#67)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTMEM
OverallOver#48#34
OffenseOff#32#20
DefenseDef#85#75
Special TeamsST#19#81
PassingPass#11#14
RushingRush#35#58
Run BlockRBLK#36#22
Pass BlockPBLK#87#16
Route RunningWR Rt#49#25
TacklingTkl#88#116
Run DefenseR Def#98#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#68#57
Coverage DefCov#82#85

Rematch from Week 9
Memphis 6.5 (70.0)
Memphis won at North Texas this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat North Texas last year (52-44)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2023 (45-42)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2022 (44-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | UNT
Depth Chart: MEM | UNT
Rosters: MEM | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has lost 1 straight
North Texas has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan31847667%38833298.2
Tevin Carter3560%1011120.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Watson (Tr)1921152146.069
Sutton Smith6330524.826
Seth Henigan9427452.924
Brandon Thomas4617293.742
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor691083415.785
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)53901717.070
Blake Watson (Tr)5348539.263
Joseph Scates33414612.554

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Geoff Cantin-Arku795112
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025
Cameron Smith570026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Gregory Rubin523313
Keveionta Spears174211
Jaylon Allen417232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeAgo Brumfeld4230110
Cameron Smith570026
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003