Memphis at North Texas Game Matchup

Memphis Tigers at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -6.5 (70.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Memphis 45 - North Texas: 42 (American Athletic)

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
MEM 2nd straight Road Game
UNT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -7.5 (SP+ MEM -10)
Projected Score: MEM: 37 - UNT: 30 (64)
MEM Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 431 miles

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.2	44%	35.7	44%	2.9	142	45%	280	4.16	.18	43%	23.8	41%	46%	4.34	36.9	1.2	2.1
UNT	.23	41%	33.5	40%	2.97	198	42%	262	4.46	.28	47%	34.2	50%	44%	4.24	41.4	1.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	35.7	33.5	44.3%	4.16	1.2	23	422	142	280	3.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	16%	.2
UNT Defense	14	34.2	26	47.2%	4.24	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	50%	44%	13%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.8	34	43%	4.34	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	46%	14%	.18
UNT Offense	14	33.5	33.2	40.6%	4.46	1.6	22	460	198	262	5.2	53%	46%	40%	42%	14%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	30:50	22.5	45%	54%	4.1	36.9	1.2	2.1	4.6	1.6	4	31.3
North Texas	14	27:21	21.7	43%	61%	5.2	41.4	1.6	1.4	3.9	1.9	2	26.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	47%	44%	37.9	142.4	3.8	30	.12	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
UNT Defense	14	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.64	71%	8%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	70%	8%	0.89
UNT Offense	14	53%	40%	38.3	197.9	5.2	24	.17	2.97	69%	6%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	52%	45%	22.4	35	280.1	8	12.5	23	8	.31	1.5	30%	33%	.39	6%	2.2
UNT Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.6	27%	33%	.4	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.3	1.5	32%	36%	.43	6%	1.9
UNT Offense	14	46%	42%	17.2	30.7	261.9	8.5	15.2	34	16	.36	1.9	30%	36%	.53	8%	2.3

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64 North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8 North Texas: -7.2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 37
North Texas 30

Projected Total Points: 64

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Memphis	52	North Texas	44	Memphis	Memphis -10.5	North Texas	67.5	Over
2023	10/28	North Texas	42	Memphis	45	Memphis	Memphis -6.5	North Texas	70.0	Over
2022	09/24	Memphis	44	North Texas	34	Memphis	Memphis -13	North Texas	68.5	Over
2003	12/16	North Texas	17	Memphis	27	Memphis

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	0	3	3 Overs
Memphis	4	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0

(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

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Memphis Ratings Matchup North Texas

Power #36

#90

Off #24

#27

Def #71

#131

Talent #74

#102

SP+ #57

#88

SP+ Off #14

#30

SP+ Def #112

#133

Rematch from Week 9
Memphis 6.5 (70.0)
Memphis won at North Texas this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat North Texas last year (52-44)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2023 (45-42)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2022 (44-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 57° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.008

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | UNT
Depth Chart: MEM | UNT
Rosters: MEM | UNT

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23
Roc Taylor	2	5	0	2.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Jevyon Ducker	15	110	0	7.3	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

Memphis's DC Matt Barnes

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Cormontae Hamilton	6	1	1	3	1
Zy Brockington	11	1	1	0	0
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	12	25	48%	117	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Johnson	116	578	11	5.0	60
Oscar Adaway III	77	295	3	3.8	36
Stone Earle	57	207	0	3.6	16
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	29	86	1	3.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damon Ward Jr.	41	755	4	18.4	57
Blair Conwright (Tr)	40	542	7	13.6	96
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	34	317	1	9.3	37
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Matt Caponi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Smith	106	8	0	12	2
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	0	7
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roderick Brown	29	6	5	3	0
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1
Viczaril Alobwede (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	7
Logan Wilson	20	2	0	4
Jaylen Smith	106	8	12	2