SMU at Memphis - 2023 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
SMU -9.5 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
SMU 38 - Memphis: 34  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (31 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MEM is playing their 6th straight game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: SMU -4.5   (SP+ SMU -7.5)

Projected Score: SMU: 34 - MEM: 30 (64)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SMU Travel: 421 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (39 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-21.066.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 SMU at Oklahoma+16.568.5L 11 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 SMU vs Prairie View A&M-42.563.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/23 SMU at TCU+7.063.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/30 SMU vs Charlotte-22.553.0W 34 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 SMU at East Carolina-11.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 10/20 SMU at Temple-24.053.0W 55 - 0OY
Sat 10/28 SMU vs Tulsa-20.555.0W 69 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 SMU at Rice-12.059.5W 36 - 31ON
Fri 11/10 SMU vs North Texas-21.567.5W 45 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis-9.564.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Navy-20.046.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 12/2 SMU at Tulane+4.050.5W 26 - 14UY
Thu 12/28 SMU vs Boston College-13.549.0L 14 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman-49.059.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/9 Memphis at Arkansas State-21.057.0W 37 - 3UY
Thu 9/14 Memphis vs Navy-12.547.0W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/23 Memphis vs Missouri+6.552.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Memphis vs Boise State-3.058.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Memphis vs Tulane+4.554.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 Memphis at UAB-7.561.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Memphis at North Texas-6.570.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Memphis vs South Florida-13.568.5W 59 - 50ON
Sat 11/11 Memphis at Charlotte-9.551.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Memphis vs SMU+9.564.5L 34 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Memphis at Temple-13.563.5W 45 - 21OY
Fri 12/29 Memphis at Iowa State+10.558.0W 36 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#24 (.28)44% (46)38.747% (30)3.21 (49)17742% (67)2784.51 (21)#7 (.04)36% (10)17.837% (17)35% (8)3.59 (51)40.80.91.2
MEM#18 (.3)47% (23)39.447% (33)2.96 (98)15247% (22)3064.6 (16)#82 (.2)44% (90)28.844% (82)44% (103)4.12 (99)41.21.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1438.730.643.9%4.510.9244551772784.550%49%47%42%12%.28
MEM Defense1328.831.543.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 49%50%44%44%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1417.821.635.7%3.591.2 - - - - - 47%52%37%35%19%.04
MEM Offense1339.438.846.6%4.61.2234581523064.643%57%47%47%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1430:2123.543%59%4.640.80.91.26.63.1530.4
Memphis1331:0822.745%64%4.141.21.21.55.11.6331.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1450% (66)47% (30)39.7176.64.529 (22).18 (52)3.21 (49)85% (2)6% (4)0.88 (122)
MEM Defense1349% (56)44% (82) - - - - .17 (92)2.98 (46)62% (15)9% (92)1.08 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1447% (38)37% (17) - - - - .04 (19)2.9 (35)67% (30)12% (23)0.97 (50)
MEM Offense1343% (111)47% (33)331524.631 (17).17 (57)2.96 (98)66% (117)8% (25)1.03 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1449% (71)42% (67)19.633.2278.48.414.233 (11)8 (30).45 (16)2 (3)31% (57)33% (44).38 (53)6% (58)2.1 (46)
MEM Defense1350% (78)44% (103) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (75)1.7 (88)30% (112)32% (93).3 (65)7% (38)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1452% (97)35% (8) - - - - - - 12 (37).09 (8)1.7 (87)36% (18)22% (1).07 (2)8% (19)2.1 (70)
MEM Offense1357% (19)47% (22)24.737306.58.312.433 (11)10 (56).42 (22)1.6 (50)27% (8)39% (7).62 (5)6% (49)2.2 (23)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 11.11 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 11.11   Memphis: 6.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 10.5   Memphis: 2.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 34
Memphis 30


Total Points: 64

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Memphis34SMU38SMUSMU -9.5Memphis64.5Over
202211/26SMU34Memphis31SMUSMU -4.5Memphis69.0Under
202111/06Memphis28SMU25MemphisSMU -3.5Memphis72.0Under
202010/03SMU30Memphis27SMUSMU -1.5SMU75.0Under
201911/02Memphis54SMU48MemphisMemphis -6.5SMU71.0Over
201811/16SMU18Memphis28MemphisMemphis -7.5Memphis74.5Under
201711/18Memphis66SMU45MemphisMemphis -10.5Memphis71.5Over
201611/05SMU7Memphis51MemphisMemphis -6.5Memphis65.0Under
201511/28Memphis63SMU0MemphisMemphis -24.5Memphis70.0Under
201410/25SMU10Memphis48MemphisMemphis -24Memphis0
201310/19Memphis29SMU34SMUMemphis -1SMU0
201210/27SMU44Memphis13SMU
201109/24Memphis0SMU42SMU
200811/08SMU26Memphis31Memphis
200711/24Memphis55SMU52Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis983 Overs
SMU636 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 75 - 63 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 86 - 53 - 23 - 3

(#19) SMU Info
Power Rating: 11.11 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10


SMU has won 6 straight
SMU has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

SMU Highlights
SMU has Really Good Running Game (#66)
SMU offense is explosive (#37)
SMU offense is good in red zone (#80)
SMU Defense Sacks the QB a lot

SMU has a really good defense (#109)
SMU has a good run defense (#62)
SMU has a good pass defense (#127)
SMU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#28)
SMU Front 7 is disruptive (#88)
SMU Secondary is very good (#8)
SMU has a great TO Margin (#116)

SMU Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMSMU
OverallOver#34#6
OffenseOff#20#10
DefenseDef#75#8
Special TeamsST#81#45
PassingPass#14#4
RushingRush#58#75
Run BlockRBLK#22#6
Pass BlockPBLK#16#14
Route RunningWR Rt#25#23
TacklingTkl#116#42
Run DefenseR Def#75#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#57#3
Coverage DefCov#85#11

Rematch from Week 12
SMU 9.5 (64.5)
SMU won at Memphis this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Memphis in 2023 (38-34)
SMU beat Memphis in 2022 (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | MEM
Depth Chart: SMU | MEM
Rosters: SMU | MEM
(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Memphis has won 4 straight
Memphis has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)

Memphis Highlights
Memphis offense is efficent (#37)
Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis commits very few Penalties (#67)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)


  
SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone20634460%31972869.3
Kevin Jennings6110558%618525.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylan Knighton (Tr)13674575.595
LJ Johnson Jr.10957645.367
Camar Wheaton8341054.948
Preston Stone6219843.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Bailey42528012.634
R.J. Maryland34518715.262
Kelvontay Dixon25441417.652
Romello Brinson (Tr)28431215.474

View SMU's Full Roster
SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)733141
Isaiah Nwokobia565123
Ahmad Walker (Tr)556104
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)3713972
Isaiah Smith246540
Elijah Chatman318530
Nelson Paul227511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Woods (Tr)2710011
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
Chris Megginson (Tr)180006

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan31847667%38833298.2
Tevin Carter3560%1011120.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Watson (Tr)1921152146.069
Sutton Smith6330524.826
Seth Henigan9427452.924
Brandon Thomas4617293.742
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor691083415.785
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)53901717.070
Blake Watson (Tr)5348539.263
Joseph Scates33414612.554

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Geoff Cantin-Arku795112
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025
Cameron Smith570026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Gregory Rubin523313
Keveionta Spears174211
Jaylon Allen417232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeAgo Brumfeld4230110
Cameron Smith570026
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025