Memphis at Missouri - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -6.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 34 - Memphis: 27

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (42 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
MIZ 4th straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
MEM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -11.5 (SP+ MIZ -15)
Projected Score: MEM: 21 - MIZ: 33 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 243 miles

Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Missouri's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Missouri vs South Dakota	-27.0	44.5	W 35 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/9	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-21.0	47.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/16	Missouri vs Kansas State	+3.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Missouri vs Memphis	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-14.0	53.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Missouri vs LSU	+6.0	63.5	L 39 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/14	Missouri at Kentucky	+1.5	50.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-7.5	57.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Missouri at Georgia	+15.0	56.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Missouri vs Tennessee	+1.0	58.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Missouri vs Florida	-12.5	56.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Missouri at Arkansas	-9.5	53.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Missouri vs Ohio State	+4.0	51.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#18 (.3)	47% (23)	39.4	47% (33)	2.96 (98)	152	47% (22)	306	4.6 (16)	#82 (.2)	44% (90)	28.8	44% (82)	44% (103)	4.12 (99)	41.2	1.2	1.5
MIZ	#21 (.29)	46% (26)	32.5	45% (48)	3.06 (82)	172	48% (13)	261	4.51 (22)	#47 (.15)	37% (19)	20.8	35% (13)	39% (30)	3.93 (81)	54.2	0.7	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	39.4	42	46.6%	4.6	1.2	23	458	152	306	4.6	43%	57%	47%	47%	13%	.3
MIZ Defense	13	20.8	22.1	36.8%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	39%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	28.8	25.2	43.7%	4.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	44%	16%	.2
MIZ Offense	13	32.5	32.9	46.1%	4.51	0.7	22	433	172	261	4.5	54%	46%	45%	48%	13%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	31:08	22.7	45%	64%	4.1	41.2	1.2	1.5	5.1	1.6	3	31.2
Missouri	13	30:24	21.5	43%	73%	7.2	54.2	0.7	1.5	6.1	2.8	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (33)	33	152	4.6	31 (17)	.17 (57)	2.96 (98)	66% (117)	8% (25)	1.03 (52)
MIZ Defense	13	46% (18)	35% (13)	-	-	-	-	.08 (33)	2.74 (17)	71% (56)	13% (11)	1.06 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	49% (56)	44% (82)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	2.98 (46)	62% (15)	9% (92)	1.08 (105)
MIZ Offense	13	54% (40)	45% (48)	38.2	171.8	4.5	25 (37)	.18 (50)	3.06 (82)	75% (52)	9% (46)	0.97 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	57% (19)	47% (22)	24.7	37	306.5	8.3	12.4	33 (11)	10 (56)	.42 (22)	1.6 (50)	27% (8)	39% (7)	.62 (5)	6% (49)	2.2 (23)
MIZ Defense	13	54% (118)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.23 (46)	1.6 (58)	36% (21)	25% (15)	.18 (12)	6% (64)	1.9 (19)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	50% (78)	44% (103)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (75)	1.7 (88)	30% (112)	32% (93)	.3 (65)	7% (38)	2.2 (99)
MIZ Offense	13	46% (93)	48% (13)	19	28.9	261.2	9	13.7	23 (51)	7 (21)	.44 (18)	1.7 (42)	31% (46)	36% (21)	.46 (29)	5% (16)	2 (69)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64 Missouri: 15.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8 Missouri: 17.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.115 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 33
Memphis 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 27
Missouri 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 31
Missouri 30

Total Points: 61

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Missouri	34	Memphis	27	Missouri -6.5	Missouri	52.0	Over
2018	10/20	Missouri	65	Memphis	33	Missouri -8.5	Missouri	69.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	2	2	2 Overs
Memphis	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#36) MEM at (#14) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#36	#14
SP+SP+	#57	#12
Perf GradeGrade	#41	#19
OffenseOff	#22	#14
DefenseDef	#97	#49
Spec TeamsST	#103	#67
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#30

Memphis Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#49
SuccessSuc	#23	#19
ExplosiveExp	#18	#102
PPAPPA	#18	#47
PowerPwr	#24	#38
SP+SP+	#14	#23
Pts POPPO	#16	#81
HavocHav	#23	#19

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#82	#78
Run SuccessRSuc	#33	#13
Run ExplRExp	#52	#97
PPAExp	#57	#33
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#14
TackleTak	-	#72

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	#22	#30
Pass ExplPExl	#50	#58
PPAExp	#22	#46
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#18	#35
F7 HavocF7	#25	#11
DB HavocDB	#49	#64

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#97
SuccessSuc	#26	#90
ExplosiveExp	#63	#108
PPAPPA	#21	#82
PowerPwr	#15	#71
SP+SP+	#11	#112
Pts POPPO	#22	#99
HavocHav	#24	#66

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#53	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#48	#82
Run ExplRExp	#84	#105
PPAExp	#50	#92
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#24
TackleTak	-	#134

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#103
Pass ExplPExl	#42	#88
PPAExp	#18	#75
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#74
F7 HavocF7	#46	#92
DB HavocDB	#16	#38

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in The Dome at America's Center
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75°

Rematch from Week 4
Missouri -6.5 (52.0)
Missouri won vs Memphis this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Memphis in 2023 (34-27)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	318	476	67%	3883	32	9	8.2
Tevin Carter	3	5	60%	101	1	1	20.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Watson (Tr)	192	1152	14	6.0	69
Sutton Smith	63	305	2	4.8	26
Seth Henigan	94	274	5	2.9	24
Brandon Thomas	46	172	9	3.7	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	69	1083	4	15.7	85
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	53	901	7	17.0	70
Blake Watson (Tr)	53	485	3	9.2	63
Joseph Scates	33	414	6	12.5	54

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Geoff Cantin-Arku	79	5	1	1	2
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	0	2	5
Cameron Smith	57	0	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Gregory Rubin	52	3	3	1	3
Keveionta Spears	17	4	2	1	1
Jaylon Allen	41	7	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
DeAgo Brumfeld	42	3	1	10
Cameron Smith	57	0	2	6
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	2	5

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	243	367	66%	3302	21	6	9.0
Sam Horn	3	6	50%	54	1	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Schrader	276	1617	14	5.9	52
Brady Cook	113	319	8	2.8	25
Nathaniel Peat	76	317	3	4.2	19
Luther Burden III	8	38	0	4.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luther Burden III	85	1205	9	14.2	56
Theo Wease	48	661	6	13.8	77
Mookie Cooper	36	447	0	12.4	41
Marquis Johnson	13	383	3	29.5	76

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon Carlies	64	5	2	2	4
Joseph Charleston	60	1	0	3	4
Ty'Ron Hopper	55	6	3	6	3
Charles Hicks	53	11	2	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Robinson	43	14	9	6	0
Johnny Walker	43	11	6	9	0
Nyles Gaddy (Tr)	22	4	4	3	0
Ty'Ron Hopper	55	6	3	6	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kris Abrams-Draine	50	3	0	1	12
Daylan Carnell	51	6	3	8	7
Jaylon Carlies	64	5	2	2	4