Navy at Memphis Game Matchup
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Thursday, September 14th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Memphis -12.5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Memphis 28 - Navy: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Memphis -18   (SP+ MEM -17)
Projected Score: NAVY: 16 - MEM: 34 (57)
MEM Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman-49.059.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/9 Memphis at Arkansas State-21.057.0W 37 - 3UY
Thu 9/14 Memphis vs Navy-12.547.0W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/23 Memphis vs Missouri+6.552.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Memphis vs Boise State-3.058.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Memphis vs Tulane+4.554.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 Memphis at UAB-7.561.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Memphis at North Texas-6.570.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Memphis vs South Florida-13.568.5W 59 - 50ON
Sat 11/11 Memphis at Charlotte-9.551.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Memphis vs SMU+9.564.5L 34 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Memphis at Temple-13.563.5W 45 - 21OY
Fri 12/29 Memphis at Iowa State+10.558.0W 36 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1537%31.339%2.9924129%863.56.2439%22.234%43%3.7231.31.31.7
MEM.244%35.744%2.914245%2804.16.1843%23.841%46%4.3436.91.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.329.436.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15
MEM Defense1323.819.143%4.342.1 - - - - - 47%52%41%46%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1222.215.238.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
MEM Offense1335.738.144.3%4.161.2234221422803.847%52%44%45%16%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Memphis1330:5022.545%54%4.136.91.22.14.61.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15
MEM Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.9670%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
MEM Offense1347%44%37.9142.43.830.122.974%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1
MEM Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 16.31.532%36%.436%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
MEM Offense1352%45%22.435280.1812.5238.311.530%33%.396%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54   Memphis: 6.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9   Memphis: 2.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 34
Navy 16

Projected Total Points: 57
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Navy56Memphis44NavyMemphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24MemphisMemphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37MemphisMemphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17MemphisMemphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10MemphisMemphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23MemphisMemphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21NavyMemphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27MemphisMemphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28NavyMemphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45NavyMemphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis636 Overs
Navy474 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 36 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams3 - 74 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#116) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile






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Navy     Ratings Matchup     Memphis
Power #116
#36
Off #126
#24
Def #30
#71
Talent #88
#74
SP+ #114
#57
SP+ Off #124
#14
SP+ Def #72
#112

Rematch from Week 3
Memphis -12.5 (47.0)
Memphis won vs Navy this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | MEM
Depth Chart: NAVY | MEM
Rosters: NAVY | MEM
(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile






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Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Amin Hassan144603.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amin Hassan334011.323
Thomas Scully120020.020
Daba Fofana1303.03

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Mbiti Williams Jr.590003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Colin Ramos1299342
Dashaun Peele454205
Kyle Jacob1025122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry383019
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan30947765%35022567.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker14871974.986
Brandon Thomas5733595.957
Seth Henigan8019012.423
Roc Taylor2502.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor66950214.448
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)45677615.089
Kobe Drake39484112.429
Jevyon Ducker1511007.331

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104
Gregory Rubin746038
Davion Ross5120211
Cameron Smith242001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104
Cormontae Hamilton61131
Zy Brockington111100
Cameron Smith242001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Ross5120211
Gregory Rubin746038
Chandler Martin (Tr)110167104