Navy at Memphis - 2023 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Thursday, September 14th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Memphis -12.5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Memphis 28 - Navy: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (18 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Memphis -18   (SP+ MEM -17)
Projected Score: NAVY: 17 - MEM: 35 (52)
MEM Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (39 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0UN
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Memphis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman-49.059.5W 56 - 14ON
Sat 9/9 Memphis at Arkansas State-21.057.0W 37 - 3UY
Thu 9/14 Memphis vs Navy-12.547.0W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/23 Memphis vs Missouri+6.552.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Memphis vs Boise State-3.058.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Memphis vs Tulane+4.554.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 Memphis at UAB-7.561.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Memphis at North Texas-6.570.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Memphis vs South Florida-13.568.5W 59 - 50ON
Sat 11/11 Memphis at Charlotte-9.551.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Memphis vs SMU+9.564.5L 34 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Memphis at Temple-13.563.5W 45 - 21OY
Fri 12/29 Memphis at Iowa State+10.558.0W 36 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#121 (.07)37% (117)17.739% (111)2.86 (108)19532% (131)1062.38 (133)#45 (.15)41% (51)22.437% (23)45% (114)2.84 (7)4612
MEM#18 (.3)47% (23)39.447% (33)2.96 (98)15247% (22)3064.6 (16)#82 (.2)44% (90)28.844% (82)44% (103)4.12 (99)41.21.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1217.717.537.1%2.381153001951064.371%29%39%32%14%.07
MEM Defense1328.831.543.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 49%50%44%44%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1222.429.840.6%2.842 - - - - - 50%49%37%45%17%.15
MEM Offense1339.438.846.6%4.61.2234581523064.643%57%47%47%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1231:1514.529%62%5.746125.22.3132.4
Memphis1331:0822.745%64%4.141.21.21.55.11.6331.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1271% (3)39% (111)45.7194.64.316 (89).07 (110)2.86 (108)72% (83)12% (101)1.02 (57)
MEM Defense1349% (56)44% (82) - - - - .17 (92)2.98 (46)62% (15)9% (92)1.08 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1250% (67)37% (23) - - - - .02 (15)2.87 (30)67% (34)11% (36)0.86 (16)
MEM Offense1343% (111)47% (33)331524.631 (17).17 (57)2.96 (98)66% (117)8% (25)1.03 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1229% (131)32% (131)8.516.6105.76.412.410 (120)5 (6).11 (121)1.8 (15)31% (61)21% (132).06 (131)2% (3)2 (88)
MEM Defense1350% (78)44% (103) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (75)1.7 (88)30% (112)32% (93).3 (65)7% (38)2.2 (99)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1249% (65)45% (114) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (103)1.6 (75)31% (97)28% (40).34 (83)6% (88)2.2 (113)
MEM Offense1357% (19)47% (22)24.737306.58.312.433 (11)10 (56).42 (22)1.6 (50)27% (8)39% (7).62 (5)6% (49)2.2 (23)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: -9.54   Memphis: 6.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -13.9   Memphis: 2.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Navy Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 35
Navy 17


Total Points: 52

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Navy56Memphis44NavyMemphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24MemphisMemphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37MemphisMemphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17MemphisMemphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10MemphisMemphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23MemphisMemphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21NavyMemphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27MemphisMemphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28NavyMemphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45NavyMemphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis636 Overs
Navy474 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 36 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams3 - 74 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#116) Navy Info
Power Rating: -9.54 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80


Navy has won 1 straight
Navy has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Navy Highlights
Navy defense is really good in red zone (#73)
Navy has a good run defense (#23)
Navy Defensive Line is very good (#37)
Navy has a great TO Margin (#54)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy has a really bad Offense
Navy offense is really bad (#5)
Navy offense is not Explosive (#102)
Navy offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#31)
Navy run game is really bad (#4)
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMNAVY
OverallOver#34#87
OffenseOff#20#97
DefenseDef#75#53
Special TeamsST#81#42
PassingPass#14#107
RushingRush#58#91
Run BlockRBLK#22#17
Pass BlockPBLK#16#118
Route RunningWR Rt#25#113
TacklingTkl#116#77
Run DefenseR Def#75#54
Pass Rush DefPRush#57#69
Coverage DefCov#85#72

Rematch from Week 3
Memphis -12.5 (47.0)
Memphis won vs Navy this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | MEM
Depth Chart: NAVY | MEM
Rosters: NAVY | MEM
(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Memphis has won 2 straight
Memphis has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)

Memphis Highlights
Memphis offense is efficent (#37)
Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis commits very few Penalties (#67)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)


  
Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tai Lavatai5610155%701526.9
Xavier Arline234452%320227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Tecza12675856.075
Daba Fofana7228333.920
Xavier Arline7725723.350
Tai Lavatai7524523.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich19382420.169
Brandon Chatman19254013.458
Jayden Umbarger14145110.422
Alex Tecza169706.116

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos948264
Will Harbour768340
Rayuan Lane623117
Mbiti Williams Jr.550003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed448551
Landon Robinson285410
Luke Pirris529413
Will Harbour768340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rayuan Lane623117
Colin Ramos948264
Dashaun Peele321004

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan31847667%38833298.2
Tevin Carter3560%1011120.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Watson (Tr)1921152146.069
Sutton Smith6330524.826
Seth Henigan9427452.924
Brandon Thomas4617293.742
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor691083415.785
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)53901717.070
Blake Watson (Tr)5348539.263
Joseph Scates33414612.554

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Geoff Cantin-Arku795112
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025
Cameron Smith570026
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin (Tr)9417332
Gregory Rubin523313
Keveionta Spears174211
Jaylon Allen417232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeAgo Brumfeld4230110
Cameron Smith570026
Simeon Blair (Tr)635025