Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons
Tuesday, November 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -9.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 32 - Bowling Green: 31 (Mid-American)
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (28 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (28 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Toledo -8 (SP+ TOL -10)
Projected Score: TOL: 29 - BGSU: 21 (50)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Projected Score: TOL: 29 - BGSU: 21 (50)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Toledo's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Toledo at Illinois | +7.0 | 45.5 | L 28 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/9 | Toledo vs Texas Southern | -40.5 | 61.0 | W 71 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/16 | Toledo vs San José State | -9.0 | 56.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/23 | Toledo vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -13.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 33 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/7 | Toledo at Massachusetts | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/14 | Toledo at Ball State | -17.5 | 48.5 | W 13 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/21 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -2.0 | 46.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/31 | Toledo vs Buffalo | -14.0 | 47.0 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/8 | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan | -19.5 | 45.5 | W 49 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/14 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -9.5 | 48.5 | W 32 - 31 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/24 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 32 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/2 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -8.5 | 46.0 | L 14 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/30 | Toledo vs Wyoming | +4.5 | 43.5 | L 15 - 16 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/2 | Bowling Green at Liberty | +8.5 | 48.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/9 | Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois | -17.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/16 | Bowling Green at Michigan | +40.5 | 53.5 | L 6 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/23 | Bowling Green vs Ohio | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 7 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/30 | Bowling Green at Georgia Tech | +21.0 | 49.5 | W 38 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/7 | Bowling Green at Miami (OH) | +7.5 | 43.0 | L 0 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/14 | Bowling Green at Buffalo | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/21 | Bowling Green vs Akron | -7.0 | 37.0 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/1 | Bowling Green vs Ball State | -4.5 | 39.5 | W 24 - 21 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/8 | Bowling Green at Kent State | -10.5 | 41.5 | W 49 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/14 | Bowling Green vs Toledo | +9.5 | 48.5 | L 31 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/21 | Bowling Green at Western Michigan | -2.0 | 54.5 | W 34 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/26 | Bowling Green vs Minnesota | +2.5 | 45.0 | L 24 - 30 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #27 (.28) | 45% (34) | 32.3 | 46% (38) | 3.36 (20) | 199 | 45% (37) | 220 | 4.44 (26) | #22 (.1) | 38% (29) | 20.3 | 41% (54) | 36% (14) | 3.33 (22) | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| BGSU | #74 (.18) | 41% (81) | 26.2 | 45% (46) | 3.06 (81) | 137 | 39% (98) | 189 | 3.65 (87) | #44 (.15) | 42% (63) | 24 | 48% (119) | 36% (11) | 3.71 (62) | 60.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 32.3 | 27.8 | 45.2% | 4.44 | 1.5 | 20 | 419 | 199 | 220 | 5.3 | 57% | 42% | 46% | 45% | 13% | .28 |
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 24 | 24 | 41.6% | 3.71 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 48% | 36% | 17% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 20.3 | 20.8 | 38.4% | 3.33 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 41% | 36% | 17% | .1 |
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 26.2 | 28.2 | 41.2% | 3.65 | 1.5 | 17 | 326 | 137 | 189 | 4.2 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 39% | 18% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 14 | 27:55 | 20.3 | 44% | 59% | 6.6 | 61.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 31 |
| Bowling Green | 13 | 30:30 | 16.8 | 33% | 60% | 6.9 | 60.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 3 | 33.8 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 57% (17) | 46% (38) | 37.4 | 198.9 | 5.3 | 31 (17) | .2 (41) | 3.36 (20) | 81% (14) | 8% (24) | 1.05 (38) |
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 54% (112) | 48% (119) | - | - | - | - | .22 (108) | 3.28 (105) | 80% (110) | 10% (67) | 0.95 (41) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 51% (82) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .14 (66) | 3.12 (72) | 73% (71) | 10% (73) | 0.99 (64) |
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 48% (82) | 45% (46) | 33 | 137.4 | 4.2 | 22 (51) | .16 (65) | 3.06 (81) | 80% (18) | 13% (121) | 1.09 (24) |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 42% (116) | 45% (37) | 16.6 | 26.9 | 220.2 | 8.2 | 13.3 | 26 (31) | 10 (56) | .42 (24) | 1.7 (24) | 32% (80) | 32% (59) | .38 (52) | 5% (35) | 2 (78) |
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 44% (17) | 36% (11) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (3) | .21 (35) | 1.7 (111) | 33% (46) | 28% (38) | .32 (71) | 7% (21) | 2.1 (72) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 48% (46) | 36% (14) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .12 (10) | 1.5 (43) | 34% (45) | 25% (17) | .2 (17) | 8% (16) | 2 (61) |
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 50% (60) | 39% (98) | 16.5 | 27.5 | 188.8 | 6.9 | 11.5 | 17 (85) | 14 (107) | .27 (72) | 1.7 (35) | 36% (127) | 31% (67) | .29 (82) | 6% (54) | 2 (82) |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27 Bowling Green: -2.21
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Bowling Green: -5.9
Toledo: 7.27 Bowling Green: -2.21
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Bowling Green: -5.9
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 29
Bowling Green 21
Total Points: 50
Toledo 29
Bowling Green 21
Total Points: 50
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Toledo | 26 | Bowling Green | 41 | Bowling Green | Toledo -1.5 | Bowling Green | 47.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/14 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 32 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Bowling Green | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/15 | Toledo | 35 | Bowling Green | 42 | Bowling Green | Toledo -14.5 | Bowling Green | 47.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/10 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo | 49 | Toledo | Toledo -10.5 | Toledo | 50.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Toledo | 38 | Bowling Green | 3 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Toledo | 63.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | 7 | Bowling Green | Toledo -26.5 | Bowling Green | 65.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Toledo | 52 | Bowling Green | 36 | Toledo | Toledo -23 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/15 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 66 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Toledo | 66.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Toledo | 42 | Bowling Green | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/17 | Bowling Green | 28 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | Bowling Green -9 | Toledo | 72.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/19 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Bowling Green | 25 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | Bowling Green -3 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/15 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 15 | Toledo | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/17 | Toledo | 33 | Bowling Green | 14 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | Bowling Green | 38 | Toledo | 24 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | 38 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2006 | 11/21 | Toledo | 31 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/22 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 11/23 | Toledo | 49 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 11/29 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 23 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2001 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 56 | Toledo | 21 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2000 | 11/21 | Toledo | 51 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 8 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| Toledo | 16 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 10 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 6 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 14 | 8 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 6 - 2 |
(#29) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo has won 9 straight
Toledo has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Highlights
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo has a top Offensive Line (#91)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Toledo has a really good defense (#59)
Toledo defense is really good in red zone (#57)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Secondary is very good (#73)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo has won 9 straight
Toledo has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Highlights
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo has a top Offensive Line (#91)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Toledo has a really good defense (#59)
Toledo defense is really good in red zone (#57)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Secondary is very good (#73)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BGSU | TOL |
| OverallOver | #69 | #17 |
| OffenseOff | #91 | #42 |
| DefenseDef | #38 | #9 |
| Special TeamsST | #48 | #32 |
| PassingPass | #101 | #21 |
| RushingRush | #24 | #41 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #84 | #83 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #111 | #36 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #50 | #37 |
| TacklingTkl | #21 | #9 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #88 | #13 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #24 | #6 |
| Coverage DefCov | #9 | #9 |
Rematch from Week 12
Toledo 9.5 (48.5)
Toledo won at Bowling Green this year (32-31)
Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TOL | BGSU
Depth Chart: TOL | BGSU
Rosters: TOL | BGSU
(#85) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green has won 4 straight
Bowling Green has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green offense is explosive (#128)
Bowling Green Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green Secondary is very good (#125)
Bowling Green defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Bowling Green offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)
Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green has won 4 straight
Bowling Green has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green offense is explosive (#128)
Bowling Green Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green Secondary is very good (#125)
Bowling Green defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Bowling Green offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dequan Finn | 201 | 317 | 63% | 2651 | 22 | 9 | 8.4 |
| Tucker Gleason | 28 | 55 | 51% | 383 | 4 | 1 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peny Boone | 194 | 1400 | 15 | 7.2 | 71 |
| Jacquez Stuart | 110 | 574 | 6 | 5.2 | 80 |
| Dequan Finn | 123 | 563 | 7 | 4.6 | 56 |
| Willie Shaw III | 31 | 118 | 0 | 3.8 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerjuan Newton | 52 | 696 | 9 | 13.4 | 42 |
| Junior Vandeross | 47 | 664 | 4 | 14.1 | 68 |
| Anthony Torres | 26 | 464 | 3 | 17.8 | 39 |
| Larry Stephens | 22 | 260 | 2 | 11.8 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Gant | 114 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Daniel Bolden | 94 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Maxen Hook | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Culpepper | 39 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| D'Andre Ragin | 40 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Deshawn Holt | 26 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Peters | 22 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinyon Mitchell | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Ronald Delancy III | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Chris McDonald | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bazelak (Tr) | 168 | 277 | 61% | 1935 | 12 | 7 | 7.0 |
| Camden Orth | 39 | 68 | 57% | 486 | 5 | 5 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terion Stewart | 125 | 762 | 8 | 6.1 | 54 |
| Taron Keith | 66 | 390 | 4 | 5.9 | 40 |
| Camden Orth | 67 | 208 | 5 | 3.1 | 18 |
| Jaison Patterson | 35 | 128 | 1 | 3.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin | 44 | 623 | 6 | 14.2 | 56 |
| Odieu Hilaire | 45 | 532 | 4 | 11.8 | 46 |
| Taron Keith | 44 | 457 | 3 | 10.4 | 58 |
| Austin Osborne | 29 | 302 | 0 | 10.4 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Anders (Tr) | 85 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen Huskey | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Davon Ferguson | 50 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cashius Howell | 27 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Darren Anders (Tr) | 85 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Jordan Porter | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Dierre Kelly | 20 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Huskey | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Davon Ferguson | 50 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Jordan Oladokun | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |