Toledo at Central Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan logo
Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -12.5 (54.5) (-340)  Open: -12.5
Toledo 32 - Central Michigan: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
CMU is playing their 4th straight game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -18.5   (SP+ TOL -23)
Projected Score: TOL: 35 - CMU: 17 (52)
TOL Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
CMU.138%22.640%3.0315938%2083.29.1741%29.741%42%3.5862.82.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19
CMU Defense1229.721.541.2%3.581 - - - - - 54%46%41%42%22%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
CMU Offense1222.629.838.5%3.292.3203671592084.347%51%40%38%23%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Central Michigan1228:4619.935%55%6.962.82.318.32.5028.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92
CMU Defense1254%41% - - - - .112.9674%15%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
CMU Offense1247%40%37159.24.322.053.0362%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2
CMU Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.281.634%30%.278%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
CMU Offense1251%38%18.332.4208.16.411.41610.191.636%33%.3310%2.1

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27   Central Michigan: -12.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Central Michigan: -19.2




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 35
Central Michigan 17

Projected Total Points: 52
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Toledo37Central Michigan10ToledoToledo -15Toledo52.5Under
202311/24Central Michigan17Toledo32ToledoToledo -12.5Toledo54.5Under
202210/01Toledo38Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo56.0Under
202110/16Central Michigan26Toledo23Central MichiganToledo -5Central Michigan53.0Under
202012/12Toledo24Central Michigan23ToledoToledo -10Central Michigan54.5Under
201911/29Central Michigan49Toledo7Central MichiganCentral Michigan -14.5Central Michigan64.0Under
201811/23Toledo51Central Michigan13ToledoToledo -19Toledo58.0Over
201710/14Central Michigan10Toledo30ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo55.0Under
201610/22Toledo31Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -10Toledo61.5Under
201511/10Central Michigan23Toledo28ToledoToledo -6Central Michigan54.5Under
201409/27Toledo42Central Michigan28ToledoToledo -15Central Michigan0
201309/21Central Michigan17Toledo38ToledoToledo -14Toledo0
201210/06Toledo50Central Michigan35Toledo
201111/18Central Michigan17Toledo44Toledo
201011/26Toledo42Central Michigan31Toledo
200911/11Central Michigan56Toledo28Central Michigan
200810/25Toledo23Central Michigan24Central Michigan
200709/08Central Michigan52Toledo31Central Michigan
200610/07Toledo20Central Michigan42Central Michigan
200510/29Central Michigan21Toledo17Central Michigan
200410/23Toledo27Central Michigan22Toledo
200310/18Central Michigan13Toledo31Toledo
200211/09Toledo44Central Michigan17Toledo
200109/22Central Michigan28Toledo52Toledo
200009/29Toledo41Central Michigan0Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan751 Overs
Toledo1879 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 55 - 22 - 3
Road Teams9 - 165 - 73 - 22 - 5

(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Team Profile






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Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Central Michigan
Power #29
#124
Off #30
#74
Def #24
#125
Talent #82
#68
SP+ #51
#126
SP+ Off #65
#119
SP+ Def #35
#109

Rematch from Week 13
Toledo 12.5 (54.5)
Toledo won at Central Michigan this year (32-17)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 31° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TOL | CMU
Depth Chart: TOL | CMU
Rosters: TOL | CMU
(#124) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Peny Boone3420826.159
Dequan Finn216623.139
Jerjuan Newton1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Justin Stephens117017.017

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Jackson Barrow649202
Cavon Butler456310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Darius Alexander358425
Martez Poynter257400
Daniel Bolden918320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Alexander358425
Maxen Hook1082004
Jackson Barrow649202

Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jase Bauer406562%310214.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Hicks2101333146.390
Marion Lukes16178854.966
BJ Harris9141834.671
Myles Bailey5129235.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Hicks4534137.628
Jesse Prewitt III2318628.121
Marion Lukes16160110.043
BJ Harris119308.526

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Moretti583100
Justin Whiteside586341
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Williams429610
Justin Whiteside586341
Kyle Moretti583100
Daraun McKinney532109
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
Trey Jones211012