Texas Southern at Toledo - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas Southern logo   Texas Southern Tigers at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -40.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 71 - Texas Southern: 3

 
Tigers (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 35 (3 - 35 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Toledo -8  (SP+ TOL -4)
TOL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 49%
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Southern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Texas Southern at Toledo+40.561.0L 3 - 71ON
Sat 9/16 Texas Southern at Rice+35.560.0L 7 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Southern's Schedule
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%30%000%000%350%0%0000
TOL.1943%30.844%317843%2254.23.0734%13.336%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXSO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Offense2330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TOL Defense1413.37.734.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXSO Defense235350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TOL Offense1430.845.842.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Southern20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXSO Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXSO Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Texas Southern's Power Ratings
Texas Southern's Power Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 17.36  #227
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Southern's 2023 Expected Record: -
Texas Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 148.77
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    Toledo: 8.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Southern:    Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.135  #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47  #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60  #24
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0  #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Texas Southern Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Texas Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 30
Texas Southern 22

Projected Total Points: 53
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Toledo71Texas Southern3Toledo -40.5Toledo61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo111 Overs
Texas Southern000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TXSO at (#29) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSOTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #29
SP+SP+NR #51
Perf GradeGradeNR #22
OffenseOffNR #45
DefenseDefNR #12
Spec TeamsSTNR #35
TalentTal #227 #88
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Texas Southern on Offense
CategoryCat
TXSO OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #24
SP+SP+NR #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Southern Run Game
CategoryCat
TXSO OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNR #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #10
Texas Southern Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXSO OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNR #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffTXSO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #45NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #30NR
SP+SP+ #65NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffTXSO Def
Run GameRun #58NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffTXSO Def
Pass GamePass #25NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TXSO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Toledo -40.5 (61.0)
Toledo won vs Texas Southern this year (71-3)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Texas Southern in 2023 (71-3)

  
TXSO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Body11316071%177020111.1
Jace Wilson61060%2032020.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Body7151847.360
Jacob Washington4221815.229
Daveon Ford4414513.315
Kerien Charlo43809.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jyrin Johnson37466212.638
Trenton Leary31314210.148
Kerien Charlo3028419.543
Daveon Ford97107.919

View Texas Southern's Full Roster

TXSO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Quinton Cook71000
Josiah Hardman20000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Quinton Cook71000
Josiah Hardman20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Bogerty100000
Charles George Jr.90000
Quinton Cook71000

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Gant1148102
Daniel Bolden947133
Maxen Hook690014
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren684003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Judge Culpepper3911920
D'Andre Ragin408530
Deshawn Holt266440
Jeremiah Peters227420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinyon Mitchell4120018
Ronald Delancy III2810010
Chris McDonald340008