Bowling Green at Kent State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -10.5 (41.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 49 - Kent State: 19  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (25 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Bowling Green -16.5   (SP+ BGSU -20.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 31 - KENT: 14 (45)
BGSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BGSU Travel: 121 miles
Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21ON
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19OY
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32OY
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10UY
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Kent State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Kent State at UCF+35.054.0L 6 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Kent State at Arkansas+38.057.5L 6 - 28UY
Sat 9/16 Kent State vs Central Connecticut-21.546.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Kent State at Fresno State+27.547.5L 10 - 53ON
Sat 9/30 Kent State vs Miami (OH)+14.051.5L 3 - 23UN
Sat 10/7 Kent State at Ohio+24.545.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 10/14 Kent State at Eastern Michigan+7.040.0L 14 - 28ON
Sat 10/21 Kent State vs Buffalo+6.544.0L 6 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Kent State at Akron+4.039.0L 27 - 31OY
Wed 11/8 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10.541.5L 19 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kent State at Ball State+10.541.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/25 Kent State vs Northern Illinois+20.544.5L 27 - 37OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)26.245% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)2448% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
KENT#125 (.05)35% (130)14.732% (133)2.84 (113)10640% (89)1653.27 (110)#125 (.32)45% (111)34.647% (108)44% (97)4.88 (132)46.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1326.22541.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18
KENT Defense1234.628.645%4.880.8 - - - - - 56%43%47%44%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense132423.141.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
KENT Offense1214.718.635.2%3.271152701061652.953%47%32%40%19%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Kent State1228:491530%46%5.446.210.84.10.9028.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)
KENT Defense1256% (124)47% (108) - - - - .24 (117)3.23 (98)79% (107)7% (131)1.08 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
KENT Offense1253% (44)32% (133)36.8105.92.98 (130)-.03 (132)2.84 (113)67% (109)12% (117)0.91 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)
KENT Defense1243% (14)44% (97) - - - - - - 6 (120).44 (127)1.8 (117)32% (73)31% (76).33 (79)6% (91)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
KENT Offense1247% (90)40% (89)13.325.5164.56.512.311 (117)6 (14).16 (110)1.6 (72)36% (122)25% (112).18 (108)7% (99)2 (76)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52   Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9   Kent State: -26.4




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 31
Kent State 14


Total Points: 45

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.6

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Bowling Green27Kent State6Bowling GreenBowling Green -24Kent State54.5Under
202311/08Kent State19Bowling Green49Bowling GreenBowling Green -10.5Bowling Green41.5Over
202211/09Bowling Green6Kent State40Kent StateKent State -2.5Kent State55.5Under
202110/02Kent State27Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -16.5Bowling Green56.0Under
202011/10Bowling Green24Kent State62Kent StateKent State -20.5Kent State55.0Over
201909/21Kent State62Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -12Kent State61.5Over
201810/30Bowling Green28Kent State35Kent StateBowling Green -1.5Kent State67.5Under
201710/31Kent State16Bowling Green44Bowling GreenBowling Green -1Bowling Green48.0Over
201611/15Bowling Green42Kent State7Bowling GreenKent State -3Bowling Green54.0Under
201510/24Kent State0Bowling Green48Bowling GreenBowling Green -9.5Bowling Green59.0Under
201411/12Bowling Green30Kent State20Bowling GreenBowling Green -13Kent State0
201309/07Kent State22Bowling Green41Bowling GreenBowling Green -8Bowling Green0
201211/17Bowling Green24Kent State31Kent State
201110/29Kent State27Bowling Green15Kent State
201010/23Bowling Green6Kent State30Kent State
200910/10Kent State35Bowling Green36Bowling Green
200811/01Bowling Green45Kent State30Bowling Green
200710/20Kent State20Bowling Green31Bowling Green
200609/23Bowling Green3Kent State38Kent State
200511/05Kent State14Bowling Green24Bowling Green
200311/15Bowling Green42Kent State33Bowling Green
200211/02Kent State14Bowling Green45Bowling Green
200110/06Bowling Green24Kent State7Bowling Green
200009/29Kent State11Bowling Green18Bowling Green
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State964 Overs
Bowling Green1566 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 152 - 101 - 41 - 6
Road Teams15 - 910 - 26 - 14 - 1

(#85) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40


Bowling Green has won 3 straight
Bowling Green has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green offense is explosive (#128)
Bowling Green Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green Secondary is very good (#125)
Bowling Green defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Bowling Green offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKENTBGSU
OverallOver#110#69
OffenseOff#105#91
DefenseDef#102#38
Special TeamsST#76#48
PassingPass#70#101
RushingRush#97#24
Run BlockRBLK#101#84
Pass BlockPBLK#109#111
Route RunningWR Rt#55#50
TacklingTkl#100#21
Run DefenseR Def#100#88
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#24
Coverage DefCov#105#9

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 10.5 (41.5)
Bowling Green won at Kent State this year (49-19)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Kent State last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)
Kent State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (40-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | KENT
Depth Chart: BGSU | KENT
Rosters: BGSU | KENT
(#133) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90


Kent State has lost 6 straight
Kent State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Kent State Highlights
Kent State has a great TO Margin (#54)

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State has a really bad Offense
Kent State has a really bad Offense at Home
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Kent State has a bad defense (#66)
Kent State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#87)
Kent State Does Not Stuff Runs (#39)
Kent State has a bad red zone defense (#89)


  
Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)16827761%19351277.0
Camden Orth396857%486557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart12576286.154
Taron Keith6639045.940
Camden Orth6720853.118
Jaison Patterson3512813.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin44623614.256
Odieu Hilaire45532411.846
Taron Keith44457310.458
Austin Osborne29302010.442

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Joseph Sipp Jr.734010
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell27111051
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Jordan Porter184311
Dierre Kelly204340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
Jordan Oladokun301005

Kent State's OC Matt Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Alaimo7914455%932246.5
Tommy Ulatowski6012150%737726.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia13854423.942
Jaylen Thomas13346023.534
Xavier Williams4213713.318
Tommy Ulatowski478911.939
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray41610414.942
Luke Floriea39414410.643
Trell Harris26400115.443
Jameel Gardner Jr.24298112.450

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC David Duggan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Sheppert751027
Nick Giacolone505001
Stephen Daley476170
D.J. Miller461003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Harris316201
Marcus Winfield113210
Macyo Williams183220
Stephen Daley476170
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Capone Blue3000010
Bryce Sheppert751027
Alex Branch322103