Bowling Green at Kent State Game Matchup

Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden Flashes

Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -10.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 49 - Kent State: 19 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Bowling Green -16.5 (SP+ BGSU -20.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 32 - KENT: 16 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BGSU Travel: 121 miles

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (20 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
KENT	.22	44%	13.9	47%	3.33	203	42%	215	3.64	.27	48%	44.1	47%	51%	3.81	54.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
KENT Defense	12	44.1	38.2	48.4%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	51%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
KENT Offense	12	13.9	20.4	44.5%	3.64	1.1	23	418	203	215	4.7	57%	42%	47%	42%	19%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Kent State	12	26:07	22.8	41%	50%	6.7	54.3	1.1	1.3	5.8	2.2	2	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
KENT Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	72%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
KENT Offense	12	57%	47%	43.1	202.8	4.7	23	.22	3.33	84%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
KENT Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.46	1.5	27%	35%	.37	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
KENT Offense	12	42%	42%	16.2	29.1	215.2	7.4	13.3	17	8	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.44	8%	2.2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Kent State: -26.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 32
Kent State 16

Projected Total Points: 54

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.2

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Bowling Green	27	Kent State	6	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -24	Kent State	54.5	Under
2023	11/08	Kent State	19	Bowling Green	49	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -10.5	Bowling Green	41.5	Over
2022	11/09	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	40	Kent State	Kent State -2.5	Kent State	55.5	Under
2021	10/02	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	20	Kent State	Kent State -16.5	Bowling Green	56.0	Under
2020	11/10	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	62	Kent State	Kent State -20.5	Kent State	55.0	Over
2019	09/21	Kent State	62	Bowling Green	20	Kent State	Kent State -12	Kent State	61.5	Over
2018	10/30	Bowling Green	28	Kent State	35	Kent State	Bowling Green -1.5	Kent State	67.5	Under
2017	10/31	Kent State	16	Bowling Green	44	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -1	Bowling Green	48.0	Over
2016	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	7	Bowling Green	Kent State -3	Bowling Green	54.0	Under
2015	10/24	Kent State	0	Bowling Green	48	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	59.0	Under
2014	11/12	Bowling Green	30	Kent State	20	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -13	Kent State	0
2013	09/07	Kent State	22	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -8	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/17	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	31	Kent State
2011	10/29	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	15	Kent State
2010	10/23	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	30	Kent State
2009	10/10	Kent State	35	Bowling Green	36	Bowling Green
2008	11/01	Bowling Green	45	Kent State	30	Bowling Green
2007	10/20	Kent State	20	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green
2006	09/23	Bowling Green	3	Kent State	38	Kent State
2005	11/05	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green
2003	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	33	Bowling Green
2002	11/02	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	45	Bowling Green
2001	10/06	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	7	Bowling Green
2000	09/29	Kent State	11	Bowling Green	18	Bowling Green

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	9	6	4 Overs
Bowling Green	15	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 15	2 - 10	1 - 4	1 - 6
Road Teams	15 - 9	10 - 2	6 - 1	4 - 1

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Team Profile

,
,

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Kent State

Power #85

#133

Off #91

#124

Def #36

#132

Talent #82

#99

SP+ #84

#133

SP+ Off #86

#133

SP+ Def #66

#115

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 10.5 (41.5)
Bowling Green won at Kent State this year (49-19)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Kent State last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)
Kent State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (40-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 49° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | KENT
Depth Chart: BGSU | KENT
Rosters: BGSU | KENT

(#133) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90

Team Profile

,
,

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Harold Fannin	1	2	50%	9	0	0	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Taron Keith	78	419	8	5.4	42
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Harold Fannin	9	65	1	7.2	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36
Taron Keith	13	157	0	12.1	64
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim	14	121	0	8.6	20

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Canaan Williams	46	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	0	7
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3

Kent State's OC Matt Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Luke Floriea	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	1	17	0	17.0	10
Tommy Ulatowski	62	-22	1	-0.4	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Trell Harris	15	221	2	14.7	45
Justin Holmes	1	11	0	11.0	11

View Kent State's Full Roster

Kent State's DC David Duggan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Khalib Johns	46	2	0	1	0
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ West	42	8	2	0	1
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1