Bowling Green at Kent State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden Flashes

Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -10.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 49 - Kent State: 19 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Bowling Green -16.5 (SP+ BGSU -20.5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 31 - KENT: 15 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BGSU Travel: 121 miles

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	20.5	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	24.3	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
KENT	.22	44%	21.3	47%	3.33	203	42%	215	3.64	.27	48%	33.6	47%	51%	3.81	54.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	20.5	24	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
KENT Defense	12	33.6	20.6	48.4%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	51%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	24.3	29	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
KENT Offense	12	21.3	26.2	44.5%	3.64	1.1	23	418	203	215	4.7	57%	42%	47%	42%	19%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Kent State	12	26:07	22.8	41%	50%	6.7	54.3	1.1	1.3	5.8	2.2	2	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
KENT Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	72%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
KENT Offense	12	57%	47%	43.1	202.8	4.7	23	.22	3.33	84%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
KENT Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.46	1.5	27%	35%	.37	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
KENT Offense	12	42%	42%	16.2	29.1	215.2	7.4	13.3	17	8	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.44	8%	2.2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Kent State: -26.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 373.33 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 31
Kent State 15

Projected Total Points: 46

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Kent State	24	Bowling Green	21	Bowling Green -7.5	Kent State	47.5	Under
2024	10/19	Bowling Green	27	Kent State	6	Bowling Green -24	Kent State	54.5	Under
2023	11/08	Kent State	19	Bowling Green	49	Bowling Green -10.5	Bowling Green	41.5	Over
2022	11/09	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	40	Kent State -2.5	Kent State	55.5	Under
2021	10/02	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	20	Kent State -16.5	Bowling Green	56.0	Under
2020	11/10	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	62	Kent State -20.5	Kent State	55.0	Over
2019	09/21	Kent State	62	Bowling Green	20	Kent State -12	Kent State	61.5	Over
2018	10/30	Bowling Green	28	Kent State	35	Bowling Green -1.5	Kent State	67.5	Under
2017	10/31	Kent State	16	Bowling Green	44	Bowling Green -1	Bowling Green	48.0	Over
2016	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	7	Kent State -3	Bowling Green	54.0	Under
2015	10/24	Kent State	0	Bowling Green	48	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	59.0	Under
2014	11/12	Bowling Green	30	Kent State	20	Bowling Green -13	Kent State	0
2013	09/07	Kent State	22	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green -8	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/17	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	31
2011	10/29	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	15
2010	10/23	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	30
2009	10/10	Kent State	35	Bowling Green	36
2008	11/01	Bowling Green	45	Kent State	30
2007	10/20	Kent State	20	Bowling Green	31
2006	09/23	Bowling Green	3	Kent State	38
2005	11/05	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	24
2003	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	33
2002	11/02	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	45
2001	10/06	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	7
2000	09/29	Kent State	11	Bowling Green	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	10	7	4 Overs
Bowling Green	15	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	3 - 10	1 - 4	2 - 6
Road Teams	15 - 10	10 - 3	6 - 2	4 - 1

(#85) BGSU at (#133) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#85	#133
SP+SP+	#84	#133
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#131
OffenseOff	#107	#123
DefenseDef	#46	#129
Spec TeamsST	#59	#97
TalentTal	#113	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Bowling Green Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#129
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#91	#132
SP+SP+	#86	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#36	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#118

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#124	#36
SP+SP+	#133	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#132	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#23

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 10.5 (41.5)
Bowling Green won at Kent State this year (49-19)

Previous Matchups
Kent State beat Bowling Green last year (24-21)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2024 (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)	168	277	61%	1935	12	7	7.0
Camden Orth	39	68	57%	486	5	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	125	762	8	6.1	54
Taron Keith	66	390	4	5.9	40
Camden Orth	67	208	5	3.1	18
Jaison Patterson	35	128	1	3.7	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	44	623	6	14.2	56
Odieu Hilaire	45	532	4	11.8	46
Taron Keith	44	457	3	10.4	58
Austin Osborne	29	302	0	10.4	42

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darren Anders (Tr)	85	11	5	1	2
Joseph Sipp Jr.	73	4	0	1	0
Jalen Huskey	52	1	0	0	6
Davon Ferguson	50	8	3	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	27	11	10	5	1
Darren Anders (Tr)	85	11	5	1	2
Jordan Porter	18	4	3	1	1
Dierre Kelly	20	4	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Huskey	52	1	0	0	6
Davon Ferguson	50	8	3	1	6
Jordan Oladokun	30	1	0	0	5

KENT's OC Matt Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Alaimo	79	144	55%	932	2	4	6.5
Tommy Ulatowski	60	121	50%	737	7	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Garcia	138	544	2	3.9	42
Jaylen Thomas	133	460	2	3.5	34
Xavier Williams	42	137	1	3.3	18
Tommy Ulatowski	47	89	1	1.9	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	41	610	4	14.9	42
Luke Floriea	39	414	4	10.6	43
Trell Harris	26	400	1	15.4	43
Jameel Gardner Jr.	24	298	1	12.4	50

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Nick Giacolone	50	5	0	0	1
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0
D.J. Miller	46	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Harris	31	6	2	0	1
Marcus Winfield	11	3	2	1	0
Macyo Williams	18	3	2	2	0
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Capone Blue	30	0	0	0	10
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Alex Branch	32	2	1	0	3