Bowling Green at Miami (OH) - 2023 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo   Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 27 - Bowling Green: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH is playing their 6th straight game
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -9  (SP+ M-OH -10)
Projected Score: BGSU: 19 - M-OH: 28 (46)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21ON
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19OY
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32OY
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10UY
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1539%20.540%3.029939%2362.88.1842%24.341%43%4.0868.91.81.9
M-OH.137%23.536%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%21.739%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1320.52439%2.881.817334992363.144%55%40%39%24%.15
M-OH Defense1321.722.740.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1324.32941.9%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%41%43%18%.18
M-OH Offense1323.532.337.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:0017.434%44%7.768.91.81.96.22.8430.1
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1344%40%31.998.73.18.053.0279%15%0.87
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .163.175%12%1.1
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1355%39%20.533.8235.5711.52511.271.735%27%.269%2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.291.632%34%.356%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52  #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75  #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57  #36
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9  #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27  #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90  #20
2023 Talent Rating: 408.16  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 28
Bowling Green 19

Projected Total Points: 46
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Bowling Green12Miami (OH)28Bowling Green -3Miami (OH)37.5Over
202310/07Miami (OH)27Bowling Green0Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202210/15Bowling Green17Miami (OH)13Miami (OH) -7Bowling Green45.0Under
202111/16Miami (OH)34Bowling Green7Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)52.0Under
201911/13Miami (OH)44Bowling Green3Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)48.0Under
201809/22Bowling Green23Miami (OH)38Miami (OH) -6.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201710/07Miami (OH)29Bowling Green37Miami (OH) -16.5Bowling Green50.5Over
201610/22Bowling Green26Miami (OH)40Bowling Green -3.5Miami (OH)52.0Over
201311/05Miami (OH)3Bowling Green45Bowling Green -24.5Bowling Green0
201210/13Bowling Green37Miami (OH)12
201109/24Miami (OH)23Bowling Green37
201011/10Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24
200911/12Miami (OH)14Bowling Green35
200810/18Bowling Green20Miami (OH)27
200710/13Miami (OH)47Bowling Green14
200611/15Bowling Green7Miami (OH)9
200511/15Miami (OH)14Bowling Green42
200312/04Bowling Green27Miami (OH)49
200311/04Miami (OH)33Bowling Green10
200111/03Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24
200010/13Miami (OH)24Bowling Green10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1464 Overs
Bowling Green734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 134 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams13 - 85 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#85) BGSU at (#62) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #85 #62
SP+SP+ #84 #52
Perf GradeGrade #85 #28
OffenseOff #107 #66
DefenseDef #46 #25
Spec TeamsST #59 #1
TalentTal #113 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #91 #20
SP+SP+ #86 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #36 #35
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #121 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #128 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #46
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #100 #36
SP+SP+ #106 #66
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #95 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #23
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #48 #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Bowling Green this year (27-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2024 (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)

  
BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)16827761%19351277.0
Camden Orth396857%486557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart12576286.154
Taron Keith6639045.940
Camden Orth6720853.118
Jaison Patterson3512813.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin44623614.256
Odieu Hilaire45532411.846
Taron Keith44457310.458
Austin Osborne29302010.442

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Joseph Sipp Jr.734010
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell27111051
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Jordan Porter184311
Dierre Kelly204340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
Jordan Oladokun301005

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert11118859%16341458.7
Aveon Smith489650%638226.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2101075135.166
Aveon Smith7528013.750
Kenny Tracy4625025.442
Keyon Mozee3415124.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gage Larvadain43696716.299
Cade McDonald28355312.742
Joe Wilkins25343113.749
Javon Tracy21331115.852

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1379333
Ty Wise1229855
Jacquez Warren715004
Brian Ugwu62128100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caiden Woullard41121091
Ty Wise1229855
Brian Ugwu62128100
Matthew Salopek1379333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5720012
Yahsyn McKee5820011
Austin Ertl392165