Bowling Green at Miami (OH) - 2023 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 27 - Bowling Green: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15.9 MPH
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH is playing their 6th straight game
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -9   (SP+ M-OH -10)
Projected Score: BGSU: 18 - M-OH: 27 (46)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21ON
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19OY
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32OY
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10UY
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1539%27.140%3.029939%2362.88.1842%21.641%43%4.0868.91.81.9
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.339%2.881.817334992363.144%55%40%39%24%.15
M-OH Defense1318.81540.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62241.9%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%41%43%18%.18
M-OH Offense1324.128.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:0017.434%44%7.768.91.81.96.22.8430.1
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1344%40%31.998.73.18.053.0279%15%0.87
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .163.175%12%1.1
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1355%39%20.533.8235.5711.52511.271.735%27%.269%2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.291.632%34%.356%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 27
Bowling Green 18

Projected Total Points: 46
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Bowling Green12Miami (OH)28Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3Miami (OH)37.5Over
202310/07Miami (OH)27Bowling Green0Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202210/15Bowling Green17Miami (OH)13Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -7Bowling Green45.0Under
202111/16Miami (OH)34Bowling Green7Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)52.0Under
201911/13Miami (OH)44Bowling Green3Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)48.0Under
201809/22Bowling Green23Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -6.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201710/07Miami (OH)29Bowling Green37Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -16.5Bowling Green50.5Over
201610/22Bowling Green26Miami (OH)40Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3.5Miami (OH)52.0Over
201311/05Miami (OH)3Bowling Green45Bowling GreenBowling Green -24.5Bowling Green0
201210/13Bowling Green37Miami (OH)12Bowling Green
201109/24Miami (OH)23Bowling Green37Bowling Green
201011/10Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200911/12Miami (OH)14Bowling Green35Bowling Green
200810/18Bowling Green20Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
200710/13Miami (OH)47Bowling Green14Miami (OH)
200611/15Bowling Green7Miami (OH)9Miami (OH)
200511/15Miami (OH)14Bowling Green42Bowling Green
200312/04Bowling Green27Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200311/04Miami (OH)33Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
200111/03Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200010/13Miami (OH)24Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1464 Overs
Bowling Green734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 134 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams13 - 85 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Team Profile






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Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #85
#62
Off #91
#100
Def #36
#20
Talent #82
#69
SP+ #84
#52
SP+ Off #86
#106
SP+ Def #66
#14

Rematch from Week 6
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Bowling Green this year (27-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green last year (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)
Bowling Green beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (17-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59° - Wind: 16 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | M-OH
Depth Chart: BGSU | M-OH
Rosters: BGSU | M-OH
(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)26940267%30441857.6
Harold Fannin1250%9004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaison Patterson9942654.341
Taron Keith7841985.442
Jamal Johnson2618817.241
Harold Fannin96517.231
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin11715501013.265
Jamal Johnson3122917.436
Taron Keith13157012.164
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim1412108.620

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brock Horne816221
Charles Rosser628540
Anthony Hawkins468523
Canaan Williams463011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hawkins468523
Charles Rosser628540
Ali Saad409430
Cashius Howell409487
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell409487
Jordan Oladokun351007
Anthony Hawkins468523

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Alec Bevelhimer010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Gage Larvadain21507.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135
Gage Larvadain19223111.744
Jack Coldiron13139010.722

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Ty Wise8911521
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Caiden Woullard133221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Brian Ugwu59158163
Ambe' Caldwell291012