Toledo at Miami (OH) Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -2 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 21 - Miami (OH): 17  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Shower Predicted
TOL 3rd straight Road Game
M-OH is playing their 8th straight game
TOL is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -1.5   (SP+ TOL -0.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 24 - M-OH: 22 (48)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 159 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19
M-OH Defense1318.81540.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
M-OH Offense1324.128.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 24
Miami (OH) 22

Projected Total Points: 48
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Toledo30Miami (OH)20ToledoToledo -4.5Toledo44.0Over
202310/21Miami (OH)17Toledo21ToledoToledo -2Toledo46.5Under
202312/02Toledo14Miami (OH)23Miami (OH)Toledo -8.5Miami (OH)46.0Under
201110/22Toledo49Miami (OH)28Toledo
200910/31Miami (OH)31Toledo24Miami (OH)
200811/21Toledo42Miami (OH)14Toledo
200412/02Miami (OH)27Toledo35Toledo
200411/02Miami (OH)23Toledo16Miami (OH)
200210/26Toledo13Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)411 Overs
Toledo522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 41 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Team Profile






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Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #29
#62
Off #30
#100
Def #24
#20
Talent #82
#69
SP+ #51
#52
SP+ Off #65
#106
SP+ Def #35
#14

Rematch from Week 14
Toledo -8.5 (46.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Toledo this year (23-14)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Miami (OH) last year (30-20)
Miami (OH) beat Toledo in 2023 (23-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 71° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.008


Team Information
Injuries: TOL | M-OH
Depth Chart: TOL | M-OH
Rosters: TOL | M-OH
(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Peny Boone3420826.159
Dequan Finn216623.139
Jerjuan Newton1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Justin Stephens117017.017

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Jackson Barrow649202
Cavon Butler456310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Darius Alexander358425
Martez Poynter257400
Daniel Bolden918320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Alexander358425
Maxen Hook1082004
Jackson Barrow649202

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Alec Bevelhimer010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Gage Larvadain21507.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135
Gage Larvadain19223111.744
Jack Coldiron13139010.722

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Ty Wise8911521
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Caiden Woullard133221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Brian Ugwu59158163
Ambe' Caldwell291012