Western Michigan at Toledo - 2023 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (1:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -21.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 49 - Western Michigan: 31  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU 3rd straight Road Game
TOL 3rd straight Home Game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -20   (SP+ TOL -20)
Projected Score: WMU: 17 - TOL: 37 (56)
TOL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 111 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-14.058.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Syracuse+24.556.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan at Iowa+28.543.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan at Toledo+21.552.5L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-1.550.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Mississippi State+21.554.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+7.546.0L 21 - 34ON
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Ohio+16.552.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-3.050.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.557.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 11/14 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.555.5L 0 - 24UN
Tue 11/21 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+2.054.5L 10 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.0634%28.934%2.8713635%1662.79.1944%31.347%42%3.3862.91.82.3
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1228.92234.1%2.791.8173021361663.552%46%34%35%23%.06
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1231.334.443.8%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%47%47%42%21%.19
TOL Offense1428.331.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1230:2516.631%48%6.762.91.82.36.72.6328.7
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1252%34%38.8136.33.514.032.8768%15%1.02
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1252%47% - - - - .153.1379%14%0.87
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1246%35%13.927.9165.75.911.91013.181.739%23%.259%2.3
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.271.731%31%.267%2
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28   Toledo: 8.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Western Michigan 17

Projected Total Points: 56
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31ToledoToledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Western MichiganToledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15ToledoWestern Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24ToledoToledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51ToledoWestern Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10ToledoToledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western MichiganWestern Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Western MichiganToledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20ToledoToledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20ToledoToledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37Toledo
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63Toledo
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37Toledo
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58Western Michigan
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17Western Michigan
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42Western Michigan
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10Western Michigan
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23Toledo
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59Toledo
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17Toledo
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35Toledo
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1455 Overs
Western Michigan964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 88 - 35 - 33 - 0
Road Teams8 - 153 - 80 - 33 - 5

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Western Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #110
#29
Off #73
#30
Def #105
#24
Talent #86
#82
SP+ #120
#51
SP+ Off #111
#65
SP+ Def #106
#35

Rematch from Week 4
Toledo -21.5 (52.5)
Toledo won vs Western Michigan this year (49-31)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WMU | TOL
Depth Chart: WMU | TOL
Rosters: WMU | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Team Profile






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Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)19128567%22141777.8
Anthony Sambucci020%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zahir Abdus-Salaam10456735.570
C.J. Hester11952944.424
Keshawn King (Tr)92703.08
Kenneth Womack2703.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack34456113.441
Blake Bosma37403610.955
Anthony Sambucci31376212.154
Zahir Abdus-Salaam2822718.131

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donald Willis (Tr)1097144
Jacob Wahlberg782111
Bilhal Kone701028
Damari Roberson521003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donald Willis (Tr)1097144
Jacob Wahlberg782111
Boone Bonnema262110
Quinton Cannon11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone701028
Donald Willis (Tr)1097144
Damari Roberson521003

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Peny Boone3420826.159
Dequan Finn216623.139
Jerjuan Newton1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Justin Stephens117017.017

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Jackson Barrow649202
Cavon Butler456310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Darius Alexander358425
Martez Poynter257400
Daniel Bolden918320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Alexander358425
Maxen Hook1082004
Jackson Barrow649202