Eastern Michigan at Toledo - 2023 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Toledo -19.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 49 - Eastern Michigan: 23  (Mid-American)

 
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
EMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -16.5   (SP+ TOL -14)
Projected Score: EMU: 16 - TOL: 32 (48)
TOL Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
EMU Travel: 41 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)19.539% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)26.747% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
TOL#27 (.28)45% (34)32.346% (38)3.36 (20)19945% (37)2204.44 (26)#22 (.1)38% (29)20.341% (54)36% (14)3.33 (22)61.91.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1319.514.835.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07
TOL Defense1420.32038.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1326.725.342.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
TOL Offense1432.342.745.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (71)10% (73)0.99 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (14)8% (24)1.05 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52   Toledo: 8.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
Eastern Michigan 16

Total Points: 48

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Eastern Michigan28Toledo29ToledoToledo -10Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202311/08Toledo49Eastern Michigan23ToledoToledo -19.5Toledo45.5Over
202210/29Eastern Michigan24Toledo27ToledoToledo -4Eastern Michigan54.0Under
202111/02Toledo49Eastern Michigan52Eastern MichiganToledo -9Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202011/18Eastern Michigan28Toledo45ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo62.5Over
201910/26Toledo37Eastern Michigan34ToledoToledo -2.5Toledo52.0Over
201810/13Eastern Michigan28Toledo26Eastern MichiganToledo -2Eastern Michigan62.0Under
201710/07Toledo20Eastern Michigan15ToledoToledo -13.5Eastern Michigan60.0Under
201610/08Eastern Michigan20Toledo35ToledoToledo -17.5Eastern Michigan65.5Under
201510/17Toledo63Eastern Michigan20ToledoToledo -28Toledo63.0Over
201411/28Eastern Michigan16Toledo52ToledoToledo -21.5Toledo0
201311/02Toledo55Eastern Michigan16ToledoToledo -28Toledo0
201210/13Eastern Michigan47Toledo52Toledo
201110/08Toledo54Eastern Michigan16Toledo
201010/30Eastern Michigan7Toledo42Toledo
200911/20Toledo47Eastern Michigan21Toledo
200809/13Eastern Michigan17Toledo41Toledo
200711/03Toledo52Eastern Michigan28Toledo
200610/21Eastern Michigan17Toledo13Eastern Michigan
200510/08Toledo30Eastern Michigan3Toledo
200409/18Eastern Michigan32Toledo42Toledo
200310/11Toledo49Eastern Michigan14Toledo
200209/07Eastern Michigan13Toledo65Toledo
200111/17Toledo28Eastern Michigan7Toledo
200010/06Eastern Michigan14Toledo42Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo2266 Overs
Eastern Michigan364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 128 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams12 - 134 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#105) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20


Eastern Michigan has lost 2 straight
Eastern Michigan has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a good pass defense (#126)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan has a really bad Offense
Eastern Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Eastern Michigan offense is really bad (#94)
Eastern Michigan offense is not Explosive (#48)
Eastern Michigan run game is really bad (#96)
Eastern Michigan pass game is really bad (#87)
Eastern Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#52)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTOLEMU
OverallOver#17#79
OffenseOff#42#100
DefenseDef#9#40
Special TeamsST#32#23
PassingPass#21#111
RushingRush#41#86
Run BlockRBLK#83#31
Pass BlockPBLK#36#70
Route RunningWR Rt#37#104
TacklingTkl#9#48
Run DefenseR Def#13#27
Pass Rush DefPRush#6#49
Coverage DefCov#9#68

Rematch from Week 11
Toledo -19.5 (45.5)
Toledo won vs Eastern Michigan this year (49-23)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan last year (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | TOL
Depth Chart: EMU | TOL
Rosters: EMU | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90


Toledo has won 8 straight
Toledo has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated at Home

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo has a top Offensive Line (#91)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo has a really good defense (#59)
Toledo defense is really good in red zone (#57)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Secondary is very good (#73)

Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Gant1148102
Daniel Bolden947133
Maxen Hook690014
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren684003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Judge Culpepper3911920
D'Andre Ragin408530
Deshawn Holt266440
Jeremiah Peters227420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinyon Mitchell4120018
Ronald Delancy III2810010
Chris McDonald340008