Ohio at Bowling Green - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo   Ohio Bobcats at Bowling Green Falcons  Bowling Green logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -13 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 38 - Bowling Green: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -3  (SP+ OHIO -3.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 24 - BGSU: 21 (45)
OHIO Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
OHIO Travel: 163 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21ON
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19OY
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32OY
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10UY
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2344%27.842%2.9414347%2783.83.2243%21.941%46%3.8244.10.92.2
BGSU.1539%20.540%3.029939%2362.88.1842%24.341%43%4.0868.91.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1427.82144.3%3.830.9214221432784.149%50%42%47%15%.23
BGSU Defense1324.319.541.9%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%41%43%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1421.925.843.4%3.822.2 - - - - - 43%56%41%46%18%.22
BGSU Offense1320.51739%2.881.817334992363.144%55%40%39%24%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1432:0920.742%35%4.944.10.92.25.92.6131.2
Bowling Green1329:0017.434%44%7.768.91.81.96.22.8430.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1449%42%35.2143.44.123.112.9473%10%0.91
BGSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .163.175%12%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1443%41% - - - - .122.8766%12%1.11
BGSU Offense1344%40%31.998.73.18.053.0279%15%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1450%47%21.633.1278.18.412.9285.371.632%34%.425%2
BGSU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.291.632%34%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1456%46% - - - - - - 12.331.533%33%.376%2.1
BGSU Offense1355%39%20.533.8235.5711.52511.271.735%27%.269%2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65  #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43  #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96  #5
2023 Talent Rating: 342.60  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65   Bowling Green: -2.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2   Bowling Green: -5.9




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.21  #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75  #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57  #36
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9  #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 24
Bowling Green 21

Projected Total Points: 45
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Ohio35Bowling Green20Ohio -7.5Ohio49.5Over
202309/23Bowling Green7Ohio38Ohio -13Ohio45.0Push
202211/22Ohio38Bowling Green14Ohio -5.5Ohio52.5Under
202111/26Bowling Green21Ohio10Ohio -6Bowling Green48.0Under
202011/28Ohio52Bowling Green10Ohio -22.5Ohio55.0Over
201911/19Bowling Green24Ohio66Ohio -21Ohio55.5Over
201810/20Ohio49Bowling Green14Ohio -16.5Ohio67.0Under
201710/14Bowling Green30Ohio48Ohio -9.5Ohio62.0Over
201610/08Ohio30Bowling Green24Ohio -15.5Bowling Green60.0Under
201511/04Bowling Green62Ohio24Bowling Green -13.5Bowling Green66.0Over
201410/11Ohio13Bowling Green31Ohio -2Bowling Green0
201311/12Bowling Green49Ohio0Bowling Green -9Bowling Green0
201211/07Ohio14Bowling Green26
201111/16Bowling Green28Ohio29
201010/09Ohio49Bowling Green25
200910/03Bowling Green37Ohio44
200811/08Ohio3Bowling Green28
200710/27Bowling Green27Ohio38
200609/30Ohio9Bowling Green21
200510/08Bowling Green38Ohio14
200410/23Ohio16Bowling Green41
200210/05Bowling Green72Ohio21
200111/10Ohio0Bowling Green17
200011/10Bowling Green21Ohio23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green1155 Overs
Ohio1374 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 137 - 56 - 21 - 3
Road Teams13 - 115 - 73 - 12 - 6

(#42) OHIO at (#85) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #42 #85
SP+SP+ #74 #84
Perf GradeGrade #42 #85
OffenseOff #36 #107
DefenseDef #30 #46
Spec TeamsST #135 #59
TalentTal #123 #113
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #46
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #68 #36
SP+SP+ #115 #66
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #89 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #23
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #39 #10
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #91 #5
SP+SP+ #86 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #36 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #121 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #128 #19
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Ohio 13.0 (45.0)
Ohio won at Bowling Green this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green last year (35-20)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)

  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke19530764%22071157.2
CJ Harris254951%248235.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura17881174.626
O'Shann Allison13945233.330
Kurtis Rourke6721943.325
Parker Navarro2517807.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Wiglusz55664312.138
Miles Cross47599512.742
Tyler Walton3734929.427
Will Kacmarek22243211.036

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Houston12813351
Keye Thompson9410242
Walter Reynolds (Tr)672001
Austin Brawley411002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver3413670
Vonnie Watkins3385110
Shane Bonner299560
Rayyan Buell3013530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Birchette293008
Jeremiah Wood263024
Austin Brawley411002

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)16827761%19351277.0
Camden Orth396857%486557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart12576286.154
Taron Keith6639045.940
Camden Orth6720853.118
Jaison Patterson3512813.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin44623614.256
Odieu Hilaire45532411.846
Taron Keith44457310.458
Austin Osborne29302010.442

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Joseph Sipp Jr.734010
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell27111051
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Jordan Porter184311
Dierre Kelly204340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
Jordan Oladokun301005