Bowling Green at Liberty Game Matchup

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -8.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Liberty 34 - Bowling Green: 24

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Liberty -16.5 (SP+ LIB -18)
Projected Score: BGSU: 17 - LIB: 33 (50)
LIB Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BGSU Travel: 366 miles

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
LIB Defense	13	23.5	22.3	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
LIB Offense	13	28.8	32.3	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Liberty: 11.8

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 33
Bowling Green 17

Projected Total Points: 50

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Liberty	34	Bowling Green	24	Liberty	Liberty -8.5	Liberty	48.5	Over
2003	09/13	Bowling Green	62	Liberty	3	Bowling Green

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	1	1 Overs
Bowling Green	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Team Profile

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Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Liberty

Power #85

#30

Off #91

Def #36

#42

Talent #82

#114

SP+ #84

#21

SP+ Off #86

SP+ Def #66

#51

Rematch from Week 1
Liberty -8.5 (48.5)
Liberty won vs Bowling Green this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Bowling Green in 2023 (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | LIB
Depth Chart: BGSU | LIB
Rosters: BGSU | LIB

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Harold Fannin	1	2	50%	9	0	0	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Taron Keith	78	419	8	5.4	42
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Harold Fannin	9	65	1	7.2	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36
Taron Keith	13	157	0	12.1	64
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim	14	121	0	8.6	20

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Canaan Williams	46	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	40	9	4	8	7
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	0	7
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Hampton	2	9	22%	40	1	1	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Nate Hampton	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
C.J. Daniels	42	480	0	11.4	34
Bentley Hanshaw	10	92	1	9.2	21
Billy Lucas	5	51	0	10.2	18

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Whitehead II	24	11	4	15	0
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	32	1	0	0	6
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3