Akron at Bowling Green - 2023 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -7 (37.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 41 - Akron: 14  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (15 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
BGSU is playing their 8th straight game
AKR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -15.5   (SP+ BGSU -16)

Projected Score: AKR: 14 - BGSU: 29 (43)
BGSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 112 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 26 - 24 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Akron's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Akron at Temple+9.555.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Akron vs Morgan State-25.046.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/16 Akron at Kentucky+25.048.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Akron at Indiana+16.545.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 Akron vs Buffalo-3.053.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Akron vs Northern Illinois+4.042.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 10/14 Akron at Central Michigan+10.544.0L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Akron at Bowling Green+7.037.0L 14 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Akron vs Kent State-4.039.0W 31 - 27ON
Wed 11/8 Akron at Miami (OH)+17.537.5L 0 - 19UN
Tue 11/14 Akron at Eastern Michigan+3.539.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/24 Akron vs Ohio+13.541.5L 14 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27UN
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21ON
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19OY
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32OY
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10UY
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#129 (.04)36% (124)16.341% (86)2.74 (123)8134% (121)1982.59 (131)#29 (.12)39% (37)2841% (53)38% (22)3.78 (68)60.21.80.9
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)26.245% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)2448% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1216.314.636.4%2.591.817279811982.840%58%41%34%18%.04
BGSU Defense13242441.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense122827.939.2%3.780.9 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%14%.12
BGSU Offense1326.228.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1229:3316.733%35%6.960.21.80.95.21.6127.6
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)41% (86)28.8812.812 (116).09 (97)2.74 (123)81% (16)10% (72)0.9 (110)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1252% (100)41% (53) - - - - .11 (49)2.91 (38)72% (62)10% (77)1.09 (110)
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1258% (14)34% (121)21.535.4197.65.69.210 (120)15 (116).07 (127)1.4 (128)35% (118)24% (120).13 (122)8% (121)2.1 (54)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1247% (34)38% (22) - - - - - - 6 (120).18 (19)1.7 (102)35% (23)30% (63).31 (67)5% (112)2.2 (115)
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90   Bowling Green: -2.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6   Bowling Green: -5.9




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.9

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 29
Akron 14


Total Points: 43

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Akron20Bowling Green27Bowling GreenBowling Green -17Akron48.5Under
202310/21Bowling Green41Akron14Bowling GreenBowling Green -7Bowling Green37.0Over
202210/01Akron28Bowling Green31Bowling GreenBowling Green -9Akron49.5Over
202110/09Bowling Green20Akron35AkronBowling Green -14Akron46.0Over
202012/05Akron31Bowling Green3AkronAkron -2.5Akron54.5Under
201911/02Bowling Green35Akron6Bowling GreenBowling Green -3.5Bowling Green49.5Under
201811/17Akron6Bowling Green21Bowling GreenAkron -6.5Bowling Green48.5Under
201709/30Bowling Green23Akron34AkronAkron -3Akron57.5Under
201611/09Akron28Bowling Green38Bowling GreenAkron -11.5Bowling Green73.0Under
201510/17Bowling Green59Akron10Bowling GreenBowling Green -11.5Bowling Green62.5Over
201411/04Akron10Bowling Green27Bowling GreenAkron -4Bowling Green0
201309/28Bowling Green31Akron14Bowling GreenBowling Green -15.5Bowling Green0
201210/06Akron10Bowling Green24Bowling Green
200911/20Bowling Green36Akron20Bowling Green
200810/11Akron33Bowling Green37Bowling Green
200711/02Bowling Green44Akron20Bowling Green
200611/04Akron35Bowling Green28Akron
200510/29Bowling Green14Akron24Akron
200110/20Akron11Bowling Green16Bowling Green
200010/06Bowling Green21Akron27Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green1474 Overs
Akron656 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 127 - 55 - 42 - 1
Road Teams12 - 85 - 71 - 24 - 5

(#130) Akron Info
Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80


Akron has lost 5 straight
Akron has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 7 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Highlights
Akron has a good pass defense (#87)

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Akron throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron offense is not Explosive (#119)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#54)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBGSUAKR
OverallOver#69#113
OffenseOff#91#116
DefenseDef#38#70
Special TeamsST#48#88
PassingPass#101#112
RushingRush#24#70
Run BlockRBLK#84#94
Pass BlockPBLK#111#103
Route RunningWR Rt#50#110
TacklingTkl#21#33
Run DefenseR Def#88#68
Pass Rush DefPRush#24#84
Coverage DefCov#9#66

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -7.0 (37.0)
Bowling Green won vs Akron this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Akron last year (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | BGSU
Depth Chart: AKR | BGSU
Rosters: AKR | BGSU
(#85) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40


Bowling Green has won 1 straight
Bowling Green has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green offense is explosive (#128)
Bowling Green Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green Secondary is very good (#125)
Bowling Green defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Bowling Green offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)


  
Akron's OC Billy Fessler
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Undercuffler13822462%1378496.2
DJ Irons8813366%722335.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)14364144.571
DJ Irons6121523.547
Tahj Bullock (Tr)6216542.727
Drake Anderson4013213.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jasaiah Gathings55575110.539
Daniel George52529110.250
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)3735629.677
Alex Adams2218828.529

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish854130
Bryan McCoy815100
Darrian Lewis652113
C.J. Nunnally5812582
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5812582
Bennett Adler245310
Antonio Smith32220
Shammond Cooper (Tr)416210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant301026
Kerry Martin Jr.442106
Judson Tallandier393015

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)16827761%19351277.0
Camden Orth396857%486557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart12576286.154
Taron Keith6639045.940
Camden Orth6720853.118
Jaison Patterson3512813.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin44623614.256
Odieu Hilaire45532411.846
Taron Keith44457310.458
Austin Osborne29302010.442

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Joseph Sipp Jr.734010
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cashius Howell27111051
Darren Anders (Tr)8511512
Jordan Porter184311
Dierre Kelly204340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Huskey521006
Davon Ferguson508316
Jordan Oladokun301005