Akron at Bowling Green - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -7 (37.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 41 - Akron: 14 (Mid-American)

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR 2nd straight Road Game
BGSU is playing their 8th straight game
AKR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -15.5 (SP+ BGSU -16)
Projected Score: AKR: 13 - BGSU: 29 (42)
BGSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 112 miles

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	44%	22.3	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	27.4	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8
BGSU	.15	39%	20.5	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	24.3	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	22.3	17	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14
BGSU Defense	13	24.3	19.5	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	27.4	36.3	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27
BGSU Offense	13	20.5	17	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 445.02 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90 Bowling Green: -2.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6 Bowling Green: -5.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.21 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 29
Akron 13

Projected Total Points: 42

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Bowling Green	16	Akron	19	Bowling Green -2.5	Akron	47.5	Under
2024	10/05	Akron	20	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green -17	Akron	48.5	Under
2023	10/21	Bowling Green	41	Akron	14	Bowling Green -7	Bowling Green	37.0	Over
2022	10/01	Akron	28	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green -9	Akron	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Bowling Green	20	Akron	35	Bowling Green -14	Akron	46.0	Over
2020	12/05	Akron	31	Bowling Green	3	Akron -2.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2019	11/02	Bowling Green	35	Akron	6	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2018	11/17	Akron	6	Bowling Green	21	Akron -6.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Under
2017	09/30	Bowling Green	23	Akron	34	Akron -3	Akron	57.5	Under
2016	11/09	Akron	28	Bowling Green	38	Akron -11.5	Bowling Green	73.0	Under
2015	10/17	Bowling Green	59	Akron	10	Bowling Green -11.5	Bowling Green	62.5	Over
2014	11/04	Akron	10	Bowling Green	27	Akron -4	Bowling Green	0
2013	09/28	Bowling Green	31	Akron	14	Bowling Green -15.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/06	Akron	10	Bowling Green	24
2009	11/20	Bowling Green	36	Akron	20
2008	10/11	Akron	33	Bowling Green	37
2007	11/02	Bowling Green	44	Akron	20
2006	11/04	Akron	35	Bowling Green	28
2005	10/29	Bowling Green	14	Akron	24
2001	10/20	Akron	11	Bowling Green	16
2000	10/06	Bowling Green	21	Akron	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	14	7	4 Overs
Akron	7	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	13 - 8	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#130) AKR at (#85) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#130	#85
SP+SP+	#128	#84
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#85
OffenseOff	#136	#107
DefenseDef	#92	#46
Spec TeamsST	#110	#59
TalentTal	#102	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Akron Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#129	#36
SP+SP+	#132	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#23

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#92
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#91	#63
SP+SP+	#86	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#36	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#37

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -7.0 (37.0)
Bowling Green won vs Akron this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Bowling Green last year (19-16)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2024 (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak (Tr)	168	277	61%	1935	12	7	7.0
Camden Orth	39	68	57%	486	5	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	125	762	8	6.1	54
Taron Keith	66	390	4	5.9	40
Camden Orth	67	208	5	3.1	18
Jaison Patterson	35	128	1	3.7	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	44	623	6	14.2	56
Odieu Hilaire	45	532	4	11.8	46
Taron Keith	44	457	3	10.4	58
Austin Osborne	29	302	0	10.4	42

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darren Anders (Tr)	85	11	5	1	2
Joseph Sipp Jr.	73	4	0	1	0
Jalen Huskey	52	1	0	0	6
Davon Ferguson	50	8	3	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cashius Howell	27	11	10	5	1
Darren Anders (Tr)	85	11	5	1	2
Jordan Porter	18	4	3	1	1
Dierre Kelly	20	4	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Huskey	52	1	0	0	6
Davon Ferguson	50	8	3	1	6
Jordan Oladokun	30	1	0	0	5