Virginia Tech at Boston College - 2023 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 48 - Boston College: 22  (ACC)

 
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
VT 2nd straight Road Game
BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -5  (SP+ VT -9.5)

Projected Score: VT: 27 - BC: 22 (48)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VT Travel: 605 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Boston College's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boston College vs Northern Illinois-8.050.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Boston College vs Holy Cross-10.052.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/16 Boston College vs Florida State+25.548.0L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 Boston College at Louisville+14.053.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 9/30 Boston College vs Virginia-5.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 Boston College at Army+2.547.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Boston College at Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/28 Boston College vs UConn-14.549.0W 21 - 14UN
Fri 11/3 Boston College at Syracuse+3.051.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Thu 11/16 Boston College at Pittsburgh+1.047.0L 16 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Boston College vs Miami+13.550.5L 20 - 45ON
Thu 12/28 Boston College vs SMU+13.549.0W 23 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)29.547% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)23.939% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)24.846% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)28.343% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1329.52643.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21
BC Defense1328.33143.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1323.928.537.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
BC Offense1324.824.942.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.51  #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22  #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01  #61
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.51   Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.7   Boston College: -4.9




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655  #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63  #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21  #120
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9  #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 27
Boston College 22


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 27
Virginia Tech 16

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Virginia Tech 29
Boston College 25

Total Points: 54
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/17Virginia Tech42Boston College21Virginia Tech -8.5Virginia Tech47.5Over
202311/11Boston College22Virginia Tech48Virginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech48.5Over
202209/10Virginia Tech27Boston College10Virginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech45.0Under
202111/05Boston College17Virginia Tech3Virginia Tech -1Boston College51.0Under
202010/17Virginia Tech40Boston College14Virginia Tech -13Virginia Tech61.5Under
201908/31Boston College35Virginia Tech28Virginia Tech -4.5Boston College56.5Over
201811/03Virginia Tech21Boston College31Boston College -2Boston College57.0Under
201710/07Boston College10Virginia Tech23Virginia Tech -16.5Boston College47.0Under
201609/17Virginia Tech49Boston College0Virginia Tech -7Virginia Tech39.0Over
201510/31Boston College10Virginia Tech26Virginia Tech -1Virginia Tech36.5Under
201411/01Virginia Tech31Boston College33Virginia Tech -5.5Boston College0
201311/02Boston College34Virginia Tech27Virginia Tech -6Boston College0
201211/17Boston College23Virginia Tech30
201110/22Virginia Tech30Boston College14
201009/25Boston College0Virginia Tech19
200910/10Virginia Tech48Boston College14
200812/06Virginia Tech30Boston College12
200810/18Boston College28Virginia Tech23
200710/25Virginia Tech10Boston College14
200712/01Boston College16Virginia Tech30
200610/12Boston College22Virginia Tech3
200510/27Virginia Tech30Boston College10
200311/22Virginia Tech27Boston College34
200210/10Boston College23Virginia Tech28
200110/13Virginia Tech34Boston College20
200009/29Boston College34Virginia Tech48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College964 Overs
Virginia Tech1766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 128 - 44 - 14 - 3
Road Teams12 - 144 - 83 - 41 - 4

(#54) VT at (#82) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #54 #82
SP+SP+ #46 #81
Perf GradeGrade #74 #88
OffenseOff #92 #71
DefenseDef #76 #96
Spec TeamsST #45 #104
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #53
Virginia Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
VT OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #96
SuccessSuc #55 #82
ExplosiveExp #74 #105
PPAPPA #59 #113
PowerPwr #58 #120
SP+SP+ #65 #78
Pts POPPO #30 #120
HavocHav #55 #130
Virginia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
VT OffBC Def
Run GameRun #49 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #66
Run ExplRExp #77 #107
PPAExp #63 #77
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #65
Stuff RateStuff #85 #76
TackleTak -  #107
Virginia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
VT OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #89 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #106
Pass ExplPExl #27 #105
PPAExp #70 #125
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #119
F7 HavocF7 #74 #128
DB HavocDB #18 #123
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCatBC OffVT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71 #76
SuccessSuc #63 #23
ExplosiveExp #79 #92
PPAPPA #62 #49
PowerPwr #56 #61
SP+SP+ #83 #44
Pts POPPO #66 #124
HavocHav #20 #47
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffVT Def
Run GameRun #41 #110
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #36
Run ExplRExp #18 #111
PPAExp #17 #75
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #32
Stuff RateStuff #47 #34
TackleTak -  #94
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCatBC OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #119 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #13
Pass ExplPExl #71 #81
PPAExp #103 #24
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #9
F7 HavocF7 #17 #17
DB HavocDB #56 #108
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 49° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Virginia Tech 2.5 (48.5)
Virginia Tech won at Boston College this year (48-22)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Boston College last year (42-21)
Virginia Tech beat Boston College in 2023 (48-22)
Virginia Tech beat Boston College in 2022 (27-10)

  
VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005

BC's OC Steve Shimko (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18933057%227015146.9
Emmett Morehead153050%124004.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)2151113135.245
Kye Robichaux (Tr)16378084.857
Pat Garwo III5227015.250
Alex Broome6026614.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond52646712.442
Dino Tomlin24312013.052
Joseph Griffin Jr.19283014.938
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)23235110.238

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vinny DePalma922111
John Pupel816001
Kameron Arnold653153
Donovan Ezeiruaku536171
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shitta Sillah143220
Neto Okpala276271
George Rooks (Tr)273240
Khris Banks241111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Jones251009
Jalen Cheek260003
Kameron Arnold653153