Boston College at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -2.5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boston College 27 - Army: 24

 
Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
ARMY coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -2  (SP+ BC -0.5)
Projected Score: BC: 27 - ARMY: 25 (51)
ARMY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 158 miles
Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boston College vs Northern Illinois-8.050.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Boston College vs Holy Cross-10.052.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/16 Boston College vs Florida State+25.548.0L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 Boston College at Louisville+14.053.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 9/30 Boston College vs Virginia-5.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 Boston College at Army+2.547.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Boston College at Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/28 Boston College vs UConn-14.549.0W 21 - 14UN
Fri 11/3 Boston College at Syracuse+3.051.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Thu 11/16 Boston College at Pittsburgh+1.047.0L 16 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Boston College vs Miami+13.550.5L 20 - 45ON
Thu 12/28 Boston College vs SMU+13.549.0W 23 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Army's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Army at UL Monroe-8.547.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Army vs Delaware State-39.544.0W 57 - 0OY
Fri 9/15 Army at UTSA+7.042.0W 37 - 29OY
Sat 9/23 Army at Syracuse+13.050.5L 16 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Army vs Boston College-2.547.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Army vs Troy+6.541.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/21 Army at LSU+33.060.0L 0 - 62ON
Sat 10/28 Army vs Massachusetts-10.049.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/4 Army vs Air Force+18.532.0W 23 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Army vs Holy Cross-11.555.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 Army vs Coastal Carolina+1.540.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Army vs Navy-2.028.0W 17 - 11UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)24.846% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)28.343% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)20.541% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)21.147% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1324.825.242.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21
ARMY Defense1221.11745.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1328.327.443.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
ARMY Offense1220.523.339.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41  #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63  #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21  #120
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9  #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41   Army: -6.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9   Army: -5.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.225  #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86  #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47  #93
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2  #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 27
Army 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 45
Boston College 19

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Army 25
Boston College 22

Total Points: 47
Army Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Army24Boston College27Army -2.5Boston College47.0Over
201310/05Boston College48Army27Boston College -13Boston College0
201210/06Army34Boston College31
200709/22Boston College37Army17
200509/10Boston College44Army7
200109/29Boston College31Army10
200009/08Army17Boston College55
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army101 Overs
Boston College620 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#82) BC at (#125) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #82 #125
SP+SP+ #81 #82
Perf GradeGrade #88 #76
OffenseOff #71 #100
DefenseDef #96 #63
Spec TeamsST #104 #12
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #75
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCat
BC OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71 #63
SuccessSuc #63 #116
ExplosiveExp #79 #35
PPAPPA #62 #95
PowerPwr #56 #93
SP+SP+ #83 #41
Pts POPPO #66 #3
HavocHav #20 #127
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #41 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #107
Run ExplRExp #18 #96
PPAExp #17 #123
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #122
Stuff RateStuff #47 #110
TackleTak -  #58
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCat
BC OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #119 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #119
Pass ExplPExl #71 #16
PPAExp #103 #71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #7 #116
F7 HavocF7 #17 #112
DB HavocDB #56 #131
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffBC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #100 #96
SuccessSuc #99 #82
ExplosiveExp #125 #105
PPAPPA #99 #113
PowerPwr #111 #120
SP+SP+ #113 #78
Pts POPPO #122 #120
HavocHav #11 #130
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffBC Def
Run GameRun #117 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #66
Run ExplRExp #118 #107
PPAExp #88 #77
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #65
Stuff RateStuff #8 #76
TackleTak -  #107
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #136 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #106
Pass ExplPExl #2 #105
PPAExp #51 #125
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #119
F7 HavocF7 #42 #128
DB HavocDB #5 #123
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 67° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 6
Army -2.5 (47.0)
Boston College won at Army this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Army in 2023 (27-24)

  
BC's OC Steve Shimko (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18933057%227015146.9
Emmett Morehead153050%124004.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)2151113135.245
Kye Robichaux (Tr)16378084.857
Pat Garwo III5227015.250
Alex Broome6026614.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond52646712.442
Dino Tomlin24312013.052
Joseph Griffin Jr.19283014.938
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)23235110.238

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vinny DePalma922111
John Pupel816001
Kameron Arnold653153
Donovan Ezeiruaku536171
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shitta Sillah143220
Neto Okpala276271
George Rooks (Tr)273240
Khris Banks241111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Jones251009
Jalen Cheek260003
Kameron Arnold653153

ARMY's OC Matt Drinkall (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily6012050%913767.6
Champ Harris193554%260047.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily21490274.262
Kanye Udoh9952415.323
Hayden Reed5020524.127
Tyrell Robinson3918724.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Alston9266229.670
Noah Short18252214.080
Casey Reynolds16237014.869
Tobi Olawole7101014.443

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Kalib Fortner553210
Max DiDomenico472000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Jack Latore204300
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Jimmy Ciarlo475220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Moore353006
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Cameron Jones343112