Boston College at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Army Black Knights

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -2.5 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 27 - Army: 24

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARMY coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -2 (SP+ BC -0.5)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - ARMY: 23 (47)
ARMY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 158 miles

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	24.8	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	28.3	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1
ARMY	#99 (.13)	40% (99)	20.5	41% (91)	3.33 (27)	209	37% (105)	103	3.07 (122)	#95 (.23)	46% (116)	21.1	47% (107)	46% (119)	2.58 (3)	36.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)		52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)		45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	24.8	25.2	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21
ARMY Defense	12	21.1	17	45.6%	2.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	46%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	28.3	27.4	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26
ARMY Offense	12	20.5	23.3	39.5%	3.07	1.8	16	312	209	103	4.4	76%	22%	41%	37%	12%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7
Army	12	32:32	16.3	38%	59%	3.9	36.3	1.8	1.6	3.9	1.4	3	32.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)
ARMY Defense	12	56% (123)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.26 (123)	3.44 (122)	63% (17)	8% (112)	1.06 (96)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)
ARMY Offense	12	76% (2)	41% (91)	47.8	208.8	4.4	19 (69)	.11 (88)	3.33 (27)	82% (9)	9% (42)	0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)
ARMY Defense	12	43% (9)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.27 (71)	1.4 (16)	27% (130)	29% (57)	.26 (40)	4% (131)	2.2 (110)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)
ARMY Offense	12	22% (132)	37% (105)	6.9	13.7	102.8	7.5	14.9	7 (129)	11 (68)	.33 (51)	2 (2)	29% (21)	23% (127)	.14 (120)	3% (5)	1.9 (115)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41 Army: -6.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9 Army: -5.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.225 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 25
Army 23

Total Points: 47

Army Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Army	24	Boston College	27	Boston College	Army -2.5	Boston College	47.0	Over
2013	10/05	Boston College	48	Army	27	Boston College	Boston College -13	Boston College	0
2012	10/06	Army	34	Boston College	31	Army
2007	09/22	Boston College	37	Army	17	Boston College
2005	09/10	Boston College	44	Army	7	Boston College
2001	09/29	Boston College	31	Army	10	Boston College
2000	09/08	Army	17	Boston College	55	Boston College

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	1	0	1 Overs
Boston College	6	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 5	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#82) Boston College Info
Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Boston College has won 1 straight
Boston College has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Boston College Highlights
Boston College has Really Good Running Game (#130)
Boston College has a top Offensive Line (#122)

Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Boston College throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Boston College pass game is really bad (#26)
Boston College does not Sack the QB (#31)
Boston College gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#74)
Boston College has a bad red zone defense (#70)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	ARMY	BC
OverallOver	#62	#72
OffenseOff	#84	#64
DefenseDef	#52	#74
Special TeamsST	#12	#82
PassingPass	#116	#100
RushingRush	#83	#28
Run BlockRBLK	#14	#21
Pass BlockPBLK	#95	#7
Route RunningWR Rt	#89	#107
TacklingTkl	#51	#91
Run DefenseR Def	#61	#52
Pass Rush DefPRush	#86	#88
Coverage DefCov	#47	#73

Rematch from Week 6
Army -2.5 (47.0)
Boston College won at Army this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Army in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | ARMY
Depth Chart: BC | ARMY
Rosters: BC | ARMY

(#125) Army Info
Power Rating: -6.225 #125
Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Army has lost 1 straight
Army has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Highlights
Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army has a really bad Offense
Army has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Army Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#83)
Army pass game is really bad (#77)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army has a bad defense (#39)
Army Does Not Stuff Runs (#17)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	189	330	57%	2270	15	14	6.9
Emmett Morehead	15	30	50%	124	0	0	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	215	1113	13	5.2	45
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	163	780	8	4.8	57
Pat Garwo III	52	270	1	5.2	50
Alex Broome	60	266	1	4.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	52	646	7	12.4	42
Dino Tomlin	24	312	0	13.0	52
Joseph Griffin Jr.	19	283	0	14.9	38
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)	23	235	1	10.2	38

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vinny DePalma	92	2	1	1	1
John Pupel	81	6	0	0	1
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3
Donovan Ezeiruaku	53	6	1	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shitta Sillah	14	3	2	2	0
Neto Okpala	27	6	2	7	1
George Rooks (Tr)	27	3	2	4	0
Khris Banks	24	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Jones	25	1	0	0	9
Jalen Cheek	26	0	0	0	3
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3

Army's OC Matt Drinkall

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	60	120	50%	913	7	6	7.6
Champ Harris	19	35	54%	260	0	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	214	902	7	4.2	62
Kanye Udoh	99	524	1	5.3	23
Hayden Reed	50	205	2	4.1	27
Tyrell Robinson	39	187	2	4.8	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Alston	9	266	2	29.6	70
Noah Short	18	252	2	14.0	80
Casey Reynolds	16	237	0	14.8	69
Tobi Olawole	7	101	0	14.4	43

View Army's Full Roster

Army's DC Nate Woody

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Kalib Fortner	55	3	2	1	0
Max DiDomenico	47	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Jack Latore	20	4	3	0	0
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Jimmy Ciarlo	47	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabari Moore	35	3	0	0	6
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Cameron Jones	34	3	1	1	2