Boston College at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Syracuse Orange

Friday, November 3rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Syracuse -3 (51.0) (100) Open: -3.0 | 51.5
Boston College 17 - Syracuse: 10 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Our Line: Syracuse -6 (SP+ SYR -4)
Projected Score: BC: 22 - SYR: 28 (51)
SYR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BC Travel: 257 miles

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (34 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	24.8	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	28.3	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	23.5	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	25.4	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	24.8	25.2	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21
SYR Defense	13	25.4	17	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	28.3	27.4	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26
SYR Offense	13	23.5	33.5	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41 Syracuse: 1.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9 Syracuse: -1.0

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 1.845 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 28
Boston College 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 32
Syracuse 17

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Syracuse 28
Boston College 23

Total Points: 51

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Syracuse	12	Boston College	34	Boston College -2.5	Boston College	54.5	Under
2024	11/09	Boston College	37	Syracuse	31	Boston College -5.5	Boston College	51.5	Over
2023	11/03	Syracuse	10	Boston College	17	Syracuse -3	Boston College	51.0	Under
2022	11/26	Boston College	23	Syracuse	32	Syracuse -10.5	Boston College	47.0	Over
2021	10/30	Syracuse	21	Boston College	6	Syracuse -6.5	Syracuse	51.5	Under
2020	11/07	Syracuse	13	Boston College	16	Boston College -15	Syracuse	53.5	Under
2019	11/02	Syracuse	27	Boston College	58	Syracuse -3	Boston College	59.0	Over
2018	11/24	Boston College	21	Syracuse	42	Boston College -5	Syracuse	61.5	Over
2017	11/25	Syracuse	14	Boston College	42	Boston College -4	Boston College	56.5	Under
2016	10/22	Boston College	20	Syracuse	28	Boston College -4.5	Syracuse	49.5	Under
2015	11/28	Syracuse	20	Boston College	17	Boston College -4.5	Syracuse	39.5	Under
2014	11/29	Boston College	28	Syracuse	7	Boston College -10	Boston College	0
2013	11/30	Syracuse	34	Boston College	31	Boston College -2.5	Syracuse	0
2010	11/27	Syracuse	7	Boston College	16
2004	11/27	Boston College	17	Syracuse	43
2003	10/18	Syracuse	39	Boston College	14
2002	11/16	Boston College	41	Syracuse	20
2001	11/24	Syracuse	39	Boston College	28
2000	10/13	Boston College	20	Syracuse	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	9	6	4 Overs
Boston College	10	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 10	7 - 6	3 - 4	4 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 9	6 - 7	2 - 4	4 - 3

(#82) BC at (#65) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#82	#65
SP+SP+	#81	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#92
OffenseOff	#71	#115
DefenseDef	#96	#39
Spec TeamsST	#104	#88
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#75

Boston College Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#39
SuccessSuc	#63	#93
ExplosiveExp	#79	#13
PPAPPA	#62	#67
PowerPwr	#56	#49
SP+SP+	#83	#50
Pts POPPO	#66	#22
HavocHav	#20	#30

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#41	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#113
Run ExplRExp	#18	#6
PPAExp	#17	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#70
TackleTak	-	#20

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#68
PPAExp	#103	#55
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#7	#101
F7 HavocF7	#17	#16
DB HavocDB	#56	#78

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#96
SuccessSuc	#98	#82
ExplosiveExp	#101	#105
PPAPPA	#100	#113
PowerPwr	#89	#120
SP+SP+	#82	#78
Pts POPPO	#103	#120
HavocHav	#108	#130

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#84	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#66
Run ExplRExp	#47	#107
PPAExp	#87	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#76
TackleTak	-	#107

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#105
PPAExp	#88	#125
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#119
F7 HavocF7	#116	#128
DB HavocDB	#83	#123

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 57° - Wind: 19 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Syracuse -3.0 (51.0)
Boston College won at Syracuse this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Syracuse last year (37-31)
Boston College beat Syracuse in 2023 (17-10)
Syracuse beat Boston College in 2022 (32-23)

BC's OC Steve Shimko (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	189	330	57%	2270	15	14	6.9
Emmett Morehead	15	30	50%	124	0	0	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	215	1113	13	5.2	45
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	163	780	8	4.8	57
Pat Garwo III	52	270	1	5.2	50
Alex Broome	60	266	1	4.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	52	646	7	12.4	42
Dino Tomlin	24	312	0	13.0	52
Joseph Griffin Jr.	19	283	0	14.9	38
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)	23	235	1	10.2	38

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vinny DePalma	92	2	1	1	1
John Pupel	81	6	0	0	1
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3
Donovan Ezeiruaku	53	6	1	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shitta Sillah	14	3	2	2	0
Neto Okpala	27	6	2	7	1
George Rooks (Tr)	27	3	2	4	0
Khris Banks	24	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Jones	25	1	0	0	9
Jalen Cheek	26	0	0	0	3
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5