Boston College at Pittsburgh - 2023 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Pittsburgh Panthers(#22)

Thursday, November 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -1 (47.0) (-122) Open: -1.0 | 47.0
Pittsburgh 24 - Boston College: 16 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PITT is playing their 6th straight game
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -2.5 (SP+ BC -2)
Projected Score: BC: 22 - PITT: 25 (47)
PITT Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BC Travel: 477 miles

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	24.8	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	28.3	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1
PITT	#119 (.09)	38% (113)	20.2	41% (90)	2.86 (109)	102	35% (117)	216	3.46 (98)	#23 (.11)	39% (39)	27.3	39% (32)	41% (67)	3.41 (33)	64.4	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	24.8	25.2	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21
PITT Defense	12	27.3	22.7	39.4%	3.41	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	39%	41%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	28.3	27.4	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26
PITT Offense	12	20.2	26.5	37.7%	3.46	1.8	16	318	102	216	3.4	45%	54%	41%	35%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7
Pittsburgh	12	27:36	16.3	31%	50%	7.8	64.4	1.8	1.3	6.9	2.5	2	26.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)
PITT Defense	12	58% (131)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	.03 (17)	2.91 (37)	62% (16)	12% (18)	0.98 (57)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)
PITT Offense	12	45% (100)	41% (90)	29.7	101.9	3.4	10 (124)	.06 (118)	2.86 (109)	75% (52)	11% (94)	0.89 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)
PITT Defense	12	41% (3)	41% (67)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.27 (67)	1.7 (103)	32% (58)	30% (75)	.29 (58)	6% (85)	2.2 (111)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)
PITT Offense	12	54% (34)	35% (117)	16	30	216	7.2	13.5	17 (85)	12 (85)	.16 (109)	1.7 (36)	34% (103)	24% (122)	.17 (114)	8% (123)	2.2 (26)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41 Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9 Pittsburgh: -6.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 25
Boston College 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 27
Pittsburgh 15

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 26
Boston College 25

Total Points: 51

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Pittsburgh	48	Boston College	7	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	54.5	Over
2024	11/30	Boston College	34	Pittsburgh	23	Boston College -3.5	Boston College	50.5	Over
2023	11/16	Pittsburgh	24	Boston College	16	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	47.0	Under
2020	10/10	Boston College	31	Pittsburgh	30	Pittsburgh -6.0	Boston College	42.5	Over
2019	11/30	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	26	Pittsburgh -9	Boston College	52.0	Under
2014	09/05	Boston College	20	Pittsburgh	30	Boston College -1	Pittsburgh	0
2004	10/16	Pittsburgh	20	Boston College	17
2003	11/01	Boston College	13	Pittsburgh	24
2002	10/26	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	16
2001	10/20	Boston College	45	Pittsburgh	7
2000	10/20	Pittsburgh	42	Boston College	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	7	3	3 Overs
Boston College	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 8	2 - 4	0 - 1	2 - 3

(#82) BC at (#72) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#82	#72
SP+SP+	#81	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#117
OffenseOff	#71	#127
DefenseDef	#96	#85
Spec TeamsST	#104	#73
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#43

Boston College Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#85
SuccessSuc	#63	#39
ExplosiveExp	#79	#74
PPAPPA	#62	#23
PowerPwr	#56	#35
SP+SP+	#83	#58
Pts POPPO	#66	#33
HavocHav	#20	#36

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#41	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#32
Run ExplRExp	#18	#57
PPAExp	#17	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#37
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#16
TackleTak	-	#85

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#67
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#103
PPAExp	#103	#67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#7	#121
F7 HavocF7	#17	#18
DB HavocDB	#56	#85

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#96
SuccessSuc	#113	#82
ExplosiveExp	#66	#105
PPAPPA	#119	#113
PowerPwr	#115	#120
SP+SP+	#106	#78
Pts POPPO	#98	#120
HavocHav	#114	#130

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#77	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#90	#66
Run ExplRExp	#117	#107
PPAExp	#118	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#101	#76
TackleTak	-	#107

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#36	#105
PPAExp	#109	#125
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#119
F7 HavocF7	#94	#128
DB HavocDB	#123	#123

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56°

Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -1.0 (47.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Boston College this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

BC's OC Steve Shimko (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	189	330	57%	2270	15	14	6.9
Emmett Morehead	15	30	50%	124	0	0	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	215	1113	13	5.2	45
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	163	780	8	4.8	57
Pat Garwo III	52	270	1	5.2	50
Alex Broome	60	266	1	4.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	52	646	7	12.4	42
Dino Tomlin	24	312	0	13.0	52
Joseph Griffin Jr.	19	283	0	14.9	38
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)	23	235	1	10.2	38

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vinny DePalma	92	2	1	1	1
John Pupel	81	6	0	0	1
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3
Donovan Ezeiruaku	53	6	1	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shitta Sillah	14	3	2	2	0
Neto Okpala	27	6	2	7	1
George Rooks (Tr)	27	3	2	4	0
Khris Banks	24	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Jones	25	1	0	0	9
Jalen Cheek	26	0	0	0	3
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	94	184	51%	1179	7	8	6.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)	57	112	51%	818	6	3	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.	118	547	4	4.6	66
C'Bo Flemister	98	367	2	3.7	38
Daniel Carter	28	134	2	4.8	22
Kenny Johnson	10	72	0	7.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerrod Means	41	721	6	17.6	75
Konata Mumpfield	44	576	5	13.1	82
Gavin Bartholomew	18	326	1	18.1	60
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	28	316	0	11.3	31

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	105	1	0	0	1
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Solomon Deshields	58	8	2	4	1
Bangally Kamara	53	7	2	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Samuel Okunlola	18	6	5	0	0
Shayne Simon	48	8	5	5	2
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4
Bam Brima	31	4	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Devonshire	32	1	0	0	10
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4