Boston College at Pittsburgh Game Matchup
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Thursday, November 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -1 (47.0) (-122)  Open: -1.0 | 47.0
Pittsburgh 24 - Boston College: 16  (ACC)

 
Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
BC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -2.5   (SP+ BC -2)

Projected Score: BC: 25 - PITT: 27 (56)
PITT Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BC Travel: 477 miles
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boston College vs Northern Illinois-8.050.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Boston College vs Holy Cross-10.052.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/16 Boston College vs Florida State+25.548.0L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 Boston College at Louisville+14.053.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 9/30 Boston College vs Virginia-5.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 Boston College at Army+2.547.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Boston College at Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/28 Boston College vs UConn-14.549.0W 21 - 14UN
Fri 11/3 Boston College at Syracuse+3.051.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Thu 11/16 Boston College at Pittsburgh+1.047.0L 16 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Boston College vs Miami+13.550.5L 20 - 45ON
Thu 12/28 Boston College vs SMU+13.549.0W 23 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC.1237%28.236%2.236438%2473.25.1942%23.844%42%4.2848.52.21.3
PITT.1843%32.946%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%28.436%37%3.6263.71.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1228.222.436.5%3.252.217311642472.137%62%36%38%25%.12
PITT Defense1328.421.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1223.828.842.4%4.281.3 - - - - - 51%48%44%42%20%.19
PITT Offense1332.937.643.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1229:1516.833%44%648.52.21.36.82.2028.5
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1237%36%30.3642.16-.042.2368%17%0.88
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1251%44% - - - - .153.0378%13%0.99
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1262%38%21.836.7247.16.711.32114.271.738%27%.348%2.3
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 7.291.533%30%.377%2.1
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41   Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9   Pittsburgh: -6.9




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Boston College 25


Projected Total Points: 56
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Boston College34Pittsburgh23Boston CollegeBoston College -3.5Boston College50.5Over
202311/16Pittsburgh24Boston College16PittsburghPittsburgh -1Pittsburgh47.0Under
202010/10Boston College31Pittsburgh30Boston CollegePittsburgh -6.0Boston College42.5Over
201911/30Pittsburgh19Boston College26Boston CollegePittsburgh -9Boston College52.0Under
201409/05Boston College20Pittsburgh30PittsburghBoston College -1Pittsburgh0
200410/16Pittsburgh20Boston College17Pittsburgh
200311/01Boston College13Pittsburgh24Pittsburgh
200210/26Pittsburgh19Boston College16Pittsburgh
200110/20Boston College45Pittsburgh7Boston College
200010/20Pittsburgh42Boston College26Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh622 Overs
Boston College432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 33 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams3 - 72 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#82) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile






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Boston College     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #82
#72
Off #56
#115
Def #120
#35
Talent #37
#57
SP+ #81
#86
SP+ Off #83
#106
SP+ Def #78
#58

Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -1.0 (47.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Boston College this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Pittsburgh last year (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | PITT
Depth Chart: BC | PITT
Rosters: BC | PITT
(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile






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Boston College's OC Steve Shimko
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kye Robichaux (Tr)175744104.341
Pat Garwo III5524654.525
Cam Barfield3315804.821
Jaden Williams1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Williams57807714.270
Taji Johnson19215211.334
Cam Barfield75507.918
Pat Garwo III114804.413

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Kameron Arnold400001
Cameron Horsley407023
Neto Okpala323070
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Joe Marinaro272222
Shitta Sillah306101
Josh Hardy11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Horsley407023
Joe Marinaro272222
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141

Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Gavin Bartholomew010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Carter2220849.543
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Gavin Bartholomew1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Konata Mumpfield52813515.646
Gavin Bartholomew3832948.721
Israel Polk2420108.419
Cole Mitchell11124211.340

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Brandon George806270
Rashad Battle351018
P.J. O'Brien331001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola307310
Dayon Hayes164200
Brandon George806270
Solomon Deshields232120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle351018
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Daniel Carter00011