Miami at Boston College - 2023 Matchup Preview

Miami Hurricanes at Boston College Eagles

Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -13.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami 45 - Boston College: 20 (ACC)

Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
BC is playing their 6th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Miami -12.5 (SP+ MIAMI -16.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 34 - BC: 22 (61)
MIAMI Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MIAMI Travel: 1243 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIAMI Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami vs Miami (OH)	-16.5	45.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	50.5	W 48 - 33	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.0	63.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Miami at Temple	-23.0	46.5	W 41 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-19.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/14	Miami at North Carolina	+2.5	57.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Miami vs Clemson	+3.0	48.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Miami vs Virginia	-18.5	48.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Miami at NC State	-6.5	44.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Miami at Florida State	+14.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Miami vs Louisville	-1.5	46.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	Miami at Boston College	-13.5	50.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	.13	44%	43.9	48%	3.09	128	42%	240	3.5	.15	41%	25.3	43%	40%	3.76	59.6	2.1	2.1
BC	.12	37%	28.2	36%	2.23	64	38%	247	3.25	.19	42%	23.8	44%	42%	4.28	48.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Offense	12	43.9	40.5	44.3%	3.5	2.1	21	368	128	240	3.7	45%	54%	48%	42%	17%	.13
BC Defense	12	23.8	20.7	42.4%	4.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	42%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Defense	12	25.3	30.8	41.3%	3.76	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	21%	.15
BC Offense	12	28.2	34.1	36.5%	3.25	2.2	17	311	64	247	2.1	37%	62%	36%	38%	25%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami	12	30:42	21.2	40%	41%	7	59.6	2.1	2.1	6.9	3.1	3	28.2
Boston College	12	29:15	16.8	33%	44%	6	48.5	2.2	1.3	6.8	2.2	0	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense	12	45%	48%	34.5	128.1	3.7	12	.09	3.09	70%	11%	0.78
BC Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	78%	13%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.81	68%	14%	0.96
BC Offense	12	37%	36%	30.3	64	2.1	6	-.04	2.23	68%	17%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense	12	54%	42%	21.3	34.4	239.9	7	11.3	18	12	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.29	7%	1.8
BC Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.5	33%	30%	.37	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.8	32%	34%	.29	7%	1.9
BC Offense	12	62%	38%	21.8	36.7	247.1	6.7	11.3	21	14	.27	1.7	38%	27%	.34	8%	2.3

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 9.90 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64% #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 9.90 Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 11.7 Boston College: -4.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 34
Boston College 22

Projected Total Points: 61

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/24	Boston College	20	Miami	45	Miami	Miami -13.5	Miami	50.5	Over
2018	10/26	Boston College	27	Miami	14	Boston College	Miami -4	Boston College	49.0	Under
2012	09/01	Boston College	32	Miami	41	Miami
2011	11/25	Miami	17	Boston College	24	Boston College
2007	11/24	Boston College	28	Miami	14	Boston College
2006	11/23	Miami	17	Boston College	14	Miami
2003	09/20	Boston College	14	Miami	33	Miami
2002	09/21	Miami	38	Boston College	6	Miami
2001	11/10	Boston College	7	Miami	18	Miami
2000	11/24	Miami	52	Boston College	6	Miami

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	3	1	1 Overs
Miami	7	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 5	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 5	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0

(#22) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.90 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64% #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20

Team Profile

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Miami Ratings Matchup Boston College

Power #22

#82

Off #42

#56

Def #41

#120

Talent #15

#37

SP+ #22

#81

SP+ Off #32

#83

SP+ Def #36

#78

Rematch from Week 13
Miami 13.5 (50.5)
Miami won at Boston College this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Boston College in 2023 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 49° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | BC
Depth Chart: MIAMI | BC
Rosters: MIAMI | BC

(#82) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Miami's OC Shannon Dawson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Van Dyke	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brashard Smith	234	1330	14	5.7	71
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Donald Chaney Jr.	50	178	3	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Restrepo	69	1127	11	16.3	77
Jacolby George	53	752	8	14.2	49
Elijah Arroyo	35	590	7	16.9	74
Brashard Smith	39	327	4	8.4	33

View Miami's Full Roster

Miami's DC Lance Guidry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahfari Harvey	30	13	8	9	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daryl Porter Jr.	28	0	0	2	7
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	175	744	10	4.3	41
Pat Garwo III	55	246	5	4.5	25
Cam Barfield	33	158	0	4.8	21
Jaden Williams	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Williams	57	807	7	14.2	70
Taji Johnson	19	215	2	11.3	34
Cam Barfield	7	55	0	7.9	18
Pat Garwo III	11	48	0	4.4	13

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Kameron Arnold	40	0	0	0	1
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Neto Okpala	32	3	0	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Shitta Sillah	30	6	1	0	1
Josh Hardy	1	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1