UConn at Boston College - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -14.5 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 21 - UConn: 14

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (18 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Boston College -11 (SP+ BC -11)
Projected Score: CONN: 21 - BC: 32 (53)
BC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CONN Travel: 84 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#111 (.11)	40% (96)	19.1	43% (68)	2.76 (120)	137	37% (108)	190	3.29 (106)	#99 (.23)	47% (124)	29.8	45% (89)	49% (133)	3.88 (75)	53.8	1.4	1.1
BC	#62 (.21)	42% (63)	24.8	46% (35)	3.31 (29)	197	37% (106)	184	3.92 (66)	#113 (.26)	43% (82)	28.3	43% (66)	44% (106)	4.41 (120)	55.2	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	12	19.1	17.7	39.8%	3.29	1.4	18	327	137	190	4.2	51%	48%	43%	37%	16%	.11
BC Defense	13	28.3	31	43.1%	4.41	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	43%	44%	12%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	12	29.8	34.7	46.6%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	49%	16%	.23
BC Offense	13	24.8	24.9	42.3%	3.92	1.5	21	381	197	184	4.7	61%	38%	46%	37%	13%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	12	31:15	18.1	35%	38%	6.1	53.8	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.3	1	27.5
Boston College	13	31:07	21.5	41%	76%	6.5	55.2	1.5	1.1	2.9	0.8	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	12	51% (54)	43% (68)	32.8	136.6	4.2	15 (100)	.01 (125)	2.76 (120)	77% (41)	11% (93)	0.9 (112)
BC Defense	13	55% (118)	43% (66)	-	-	-	-	.15 (77)	3.09 (65)	82% (113)	7% (128)	1.08 (107)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	12	51% (77)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.11 (48)	2.9 (34)	79% (103)	11% (45)	0.98 (59)
BC Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (35)	42	196.7	4.7	25 (37)	.26 (17)	3.31 (29)	88% (1)	7% (17)	1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	12	48% (79)	37% (108)	18.3	31.8	190.3	6	10.4	12 (113)	7 (21)	.25 (78)	1.6 (51)	35% (112)	28% (90)	.23 (98)	5% (33)	1.8 (122)
BC Defense	13	44% (16)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.43 (125)	1.7 (105)	31% (84)	32% (98)	.37 (99)	4% (123)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	12	49% (61)	49% (133)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.4 (118)	1.4 (17)	30% (113)	33% (112)	.35 (86)	5% (110)	1.8 (8)
BC Offense	13	38% (125)	37% (106)	15.7	27.8	184.2	6.6	11.7	15 (96)	14 (107)	.17 (103)	1.6 (71)	29% (18)	28% (89)	.39 (45)	6% (56)	2.4 (2)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25 Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0 Boston College: -4.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 32
UConn 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 30
UConn 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 28
UConn 24

Total Points: 52

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Boston College	23	UConn	38	UConn -2.5	UConn	58.5	Over
2023	10/28	Boston College	21	UConn	14	Boston College -14.5	UConn	49.0	Under
2022	10/29	UConn	13	Boston College	3	Boston College -8.0	UConn	44.0	Under
2017	11/18	UConn	16	Boston College	39	Boston College -21	Boston College	51.0	Over
2016	11/19	Boston College	30	UConn	0	Boston College -7	Boston College	36.0	Under
2004	09/17	Boston College	27	UConn	7
2003	09/13	UConn	14	Boston College	24
2002	08/31	Boston College	24	UConn	16
2000	10/06	Boston College	55	UConn	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	7	2	2 Overs
UConn	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1

(#115) CONN at (#82) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#115	#82
SP+SP+	#122	#81
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#88
OffenseOff	#88	#71
DefenseDef	#76	#96
Spec TeamsST	#126	#104
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#53

UConn Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#96
SuccessSuc	#96	#82
ExplosiveExp	#102	#105
PPAPPA	#111	#113
PowerPwr	#102	#120
SP+SP+	#118	#78
Pts POPPO	#106	#120
HavocHav	#75	#130

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#105	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#66
Run ExplRExp	#112	#107
PPAExp	#125	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#65
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#76
TackleTak	-	#107

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#108	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#105
PPAExp	#78	#125
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#119
F7 HavocF7	#93	#128
DB HavocDB	#33	#123

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#76
SuccessSuc	#63	#124
ExplosiveExp	#79	#33
PPAPPA	#62	#99
PowerPwr	#56	#109
SP+SP+	#83	#97
Pts POPPO	#66	#75
HavocHav	#20	#80

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#41	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#89
Run ExplRExp	#18	#59
PPAExp	#17	#48
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#34
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#41
TackleTak	-	#131

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#133
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#17
PPAExp	#103	#118
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#7	#50
F7 HavocF7	#17	#45
DB HavocDB	#56	#110

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Boston College -14.5 (49.0)
Boston College won vs UConn this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat UConn in 2023 (21-14)
UConn beat Boston College in 2022 (13-3)

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ta'Quan Roberson	197	338	58%	2075	12	6	6.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	18	35	51%	173	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	122	618	4	5.1	39
Victor Rosa	112	550	3	4.9	71
Devontae Houston	34	161	0	4.7	27
Ta'Quan Roberson	46	120	2	2.6	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Ross	44	568	2	12.9	46
Justin Joly	56	562	2	10.0	59
Brett Buckman	46	488	2	10.6	40
Geordon Porter (Tr)	22	213	1	9.7	28

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Mitchell	113	7	1	4	1
Durante Jones	72	2	1	0	1
Tui Faumuina-Brown	61	4	1	0	0
Noah Plack (Tr)	49	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Pryce Yates	42	14	5	2	2
Dalmont Gourdine	28	6	3	2	3
Eric Watts	34	7	2	1	1
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malcolm Bell	28	2	0	4
Chris Shearin	36	1	0	3
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	3

BC's OC Steve Shimko (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	189	330	57%	2270	15	14	6.9
Emmett Morehead	15	30	50%	124	0	0	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	215	1113	13	5.2	45
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	163	780	8	4.8	57
Pat Garwo III	52	270	1	5.2	50
Alex Broome	60	266	1	4.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	52	646	7	12.4	42
Dino Tomlin	24	312	0	13.0	52
Joseph Griffin Jr.	19	283	0	14.9	38
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)	23	235	1	10.2	38

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vinny DePalma	92	2	1	1	1
John Pupel	81	6	0	0	1
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3
Donovan Ezeiruaku	53	6	1	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shitta Sillah	14	3	2	2	0
Neto Okpala	27	6	2	7	1
George Rooks (Tr)	27	3	2	4	0
Khris Banks	24	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Jones	25	1	0	0	9
Jalen Cheek	26	0	0	0	3
Kameron Arnold	65	3	1	5	3