UConn at Boston College - 2023 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -14.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boston College 21 - UConn: 14

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (18 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Boston College -11   (SP+ BC -11)
Projected Score: CONN: 20 - BC: 31 (51)
BC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CONN Travel: 84 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Boston College's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boston College vs Northern Illinois-8.050.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Boston College vs Holy Cross-10.052.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/16 Boston College vs Florida State+25.548.0L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 Boston College at Louisville+14.053.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 9/30 Boston College vs Virginia-5.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 Boston College at Army+2.547.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Boston College at Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/28 Boston College vs UConn-14.549.0W 21 - 14UN
Fri 11/3 Boston College at Syracuse+3.051.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Thu 11/16 Boston College at Pittsburgh+1.047.0L 16 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Boston College vs Miami+13.550.5L 20 - 45ON
Thu 12/28 Boston College vs SMU+13.549.0W 23 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)19.143% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)29.845% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)24.846% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)28.343% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1219.117.739.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11
BC Defense1328.33143.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1229.834.746.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
BC Offense1324.824.942.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25   Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0   Boston College: -4.9




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 31
UConn 20


Total Points: 51

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Boston College21UConn14Boston CollegeBoston College -14.5UConn49.0Under
202210/29UConn13Boston College3UConnBoston College -8.0UConn44.0Under
201711/18UConn16Boston College39Boston CollegeBoston College -21Boston College51.0Over
201611/19Boston College30UConn0Boston CollegeBoston College -7Boston College36.0Under
200409/17Boston College27UConn7Boston College
200309/13UConn14Boston College24Boston College
200208/31Boston College24UConn16Boston College
200010/06Boston College55UConn3Boston College
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College721 Overs
UConn123 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 62 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#115) UConn Info
Power Rating: -9.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


UConn has lost 1 straight
UConn has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UConn Highlights

UConn Deficiencies
UConn has a really bad Offense
UConn Fumbles a Lot (#1)
UConn offense is not Explosive (#53)
UConn Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#65)
UConn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#47)
UConn pass game is really bad (#32)
UConn offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UConn does not Sack the QB (#97)
UConn has a bad defense (#79)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBCCONN
OverallOver#72#79
OffenseOff#64#77
DefenseDef#74#59
Special TeamsST#82#102
PassingPass#100#81
RushingRush#28#74
Run BlockRBLK#21#16
Pass BlockPBLK#7#34
Route RunningWR Rt#107#99
TacklingTkl#91#113
Run DefenseR Def#52#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#42
Coverage DefCov#73#104

Rematch from Week 9
Boston College -14.5 (49.0)
Boston College won vs UConn this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat UConn in 2023 (21-14)
UConn beat Boston College in 2022 (13-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | BC
Depth Chart: CONN | BC
Rosters: CONN | BC
(#82) Boston College Info
Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50


Boston College has won 3 straight
Boston College has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (1 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Boston College Highlights
Boston College has Really Good Running Game (#130)
Boston College has a top Offensive Line (#122)

Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Boston College throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Boston College pass game is really bad (#26)
Boston College does not Sack the QB (#31)
Boston College gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#74)
Boston College has a bad red zone defense (#70)


  
UConn's OC Nick Charlton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson19733858%20751266.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)183551%173014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards12261845.139
Victor Rosa11255034.971
Devontae Houston3416104.727
Ta'Quan Roberson4612022.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross44568212.946
Justin Joly56562210.059
Brett Buckman46488210.640
Geordon Porter (Tr)2221319.728

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Lou Spanos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Mitchell1137141
Durante Jones722101
Tui Faumuina-Brown614100
Noah Plack (Tr)495110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pryce Yates4214522
Dalmont Gourdine286323
Eric Watts347211
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)344103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Bell282004
Chris Shearin361003
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)344103

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18933057%227015146.9
Emmett Morehead153050%124004.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)2151113135.245
Kye Robichaux (Tr)16378084.857
Pat Garwo III5227015.250
Alex Broome6026614.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond52646712.442
Dino Tomlin24312013.052
Joseph Griffin Jr.19283014.938
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)23235110.238

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vinny DePalma922111
John Pupel816001
Kameron Arnold653153
Donovan Ezeiruaku536171
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shitta Sillah143220
Neto Okpala276271
George Rooks (Tr)273240
Khris Banks241111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Jones251009
Jalen Cheek260003
Kameron Arnold653153