Washington State at California - 2023 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
California -1.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 42 - Washington State: 39  (Pac-12)

 
Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -1   (SP+ WSU -3.5)

Projected Score: WSU: 31 - CAL: 30 (61)
CAL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WSU Travel: 665 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (33 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington State at Colorado State-9.554.0W 50 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Washington State vs Wisconsin+5.058.0W 31 - 22UY
Sat 9/16 Washington State vs Northern Colorado-48.055.0W 64 - 21ON
Sat 9/23 Washington State vs Oregon State+3.058.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Washington State at UCLA+3.060.0L 17 - 25UN
Sat 10/14 Washington State vs Arizona-7.557.5L 6 - 44UN
Sat 10/21 Washington State at Oregon+19.560.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 10/28 Washington State at Arizona State-4.549.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Washington State vs Stanford-13.059.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Washington State at California+1.558.5L 39 - 42ON
Fri 11/17 Washington State vs Colorado-4.559.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/25 Washington State at Washington+16.068.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#65 (.2)45% (40)31.747% (24)2.85 (110)8444% (47)3364.17 (41)#62 (.17)42% (64)28.145% (95)39% (34)4.22 (108)49.81.81.3
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)30.244% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)32.847% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1231.729.744.9%4.171.82342084336334%65%47%44%18%.2
CAL Defense1332.832.245%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1228.131.841.7%4.221.3 - - - - - 49%50%45%39%15%.17
CAL Offense1330.232.740.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1229:4322.742%46%6.149.81.81.35.22329.4
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1234% (132)47% (24)28.484.3317 (81).09 (98)2.85 (110)72% (80)11% (96)0.98 (80)
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1249% (54)45% (95) - - - - .12 (53)3.03 (53)68% (39)9% (87)0.98 (60)
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1265% (3)44% (47)28.442.6335.77.911.827 (25)9 (40).29 (69)1.5 (117)31% (58)34% (37).43 (34)6% (80)2.1 (65)
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1250% (82)39% (34) - - - - - - 8 (100).24 (50)1.6 (66)32% (59)29% (54).26 (39)6% (93)2.1 (78)
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89   California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6   California: 1.1




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 31
California 30


Total Points: 61

California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11California42Washington State39CaliforniaCalifornia -1.5California58.5Over
202210/01Washington State28California9Washington StateWashington State -4Washington State52.5Under
202110/02California6Washington State21Washington StateCalifornia -7.5Washington State52.5Under
201911/09California33Washington State20CaliforniaWashington State -8.5California51.5Over
201811/03Washington State19California13Washington StateWashington State -7California51.0Under
201710/13California37Washington State3CaliforniaWashington State -16.5California54.5Under
201611/12Washington State56California21Washington StateWashington State -16.5Washington State78.0Under
201510/03California34Washington State28CaliforniaCalifornia -13.5Washington State73.5Under
201410/04Washington State59California60CaliforniaWashington State -4California0
201310/05California22Washington State44Washington StateCalifornia -1.5Washington State0
201210/13Washington State17California31California
201111/05California30Washington State7California
201011/06Washington State13California20California
200910/24California49Washington State17California
200809/06Washington State3California66California
200711/03California20Washington State17California
200610/14Washington State3California21California
200510/22California42Washington State38California
200209/28California38Washington State48Washington State
200109/22Washington State51California20Washington State
200009/29California17Washington State21Washington State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California1352 Overs
Washington State856 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 95 - 53 - 52 - 0
Road Teams9 - 125 - 50 - 25 - 3

(#51) Washington State Info
Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20


Washington State has lost 5 straight
Washington State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Washington State Highlights

Washington State Deficiencies
Washington State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Washington State Can Not Run the Ball (#131)
Washington State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCALWSU
OverallOver#77#70
OffenseOff#65#76
DefenseDef#76#67
Special TeamsST#101#62
PassingPass#63#26
RushingRush#22#78
Run BlockRBLK#87#88
Pass BlockPBLK#96#65
Route RunningWR Rt#38#62
TacklingTkl#102#99
Run DefenseR Def#102#88
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#48
Coverage DefCov#72#63

Rematch from Week 11
California -1.5 (58.5)
California won vs Washington State this year (42-39)

Previous Matchups
California beat Washington State in 2023 (42-39)
Washington State beat California in 2022 (28-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WSU | CAL
Depth Chart: WSU | CAL
Rosters: WSU | CAL
(#75) California Info
Power Rating: 2.1 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


California has lost 4 straight
California has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

California Highlights
California has a top Offensive Line (#63)

California Deficiencies
California has a bad TO Margin (#28)
California Fumbles a Lot (#42)
California throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
California pass game is really bad (#68)
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
California has a bad defense (#32)
California has a bad red zone defense (#41)


  
Washington State's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward32448667%37322577.7
John Mateer131777%2252113.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nakia Watson8932143.617
Dylan Paine2516016.452
Djouvensky Schlenbaker3314604.420
Cameron Ward12012281.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)61923815.151
Lincoln Victor8986059.750
Kyle Williams (Tr)61842613.863
Carlos Hernandez24258010.848

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jeff Schmedding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Thornton875161
Jaden Hicks766314
Sam Lockett733111
Devin Richardson (Tr)623120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brennan Jackson5712893
Ron Stone Jr.59115141
Nusi Malani255331
Jaden Hicks766314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Lampkin342007
Chau Smith-Wade352016
Kapena Gushiken362105

California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza15324363%170814107.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)519753%553525.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadyn Ott2451310125.366
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)7036575.226
Ashton Stredick4220024.841
Jaivian Thomas1811016.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter63709711.350
Trond Grizzell39590515.154
Jack Endries35408211.732
Taj Davis (Tr)38393310.327

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Craig Woodson804104
Cade Uluave677203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)339843
Xavier Carlton506552
Cade Uluave677203
Nathan Burrell233211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Lu-Magia Hearns III270006