Washington State at California - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at California Golden Bears

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
California -1.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
California 42 - Washington State: 39 (Pac-12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -1 (SP+ WSU -3.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 32 - CAL: 31 (63)
CAL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WSU Travel: 665 miles

Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (33 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

California's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	California at North Texas	-5.0	53.5	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/9	California vs Auburn	+5.0	55.5	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	California vs Idaho	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	California at Washington	+21.0	55.5	L 32 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/30	California vs Arizona State	-13.0	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/7	California vs Oregon State	+7.5	51.0	L 40 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/14	California at Utah	+9.0	42.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	California vs USC	+10.5	67.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/4	California at Oregon	+26.5	61.5	L 19 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/11	California vs Washington State	-1.5	58.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/18	California at Stanford	-6.5	52.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	California at UCLA	+9.5	50.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/16	California vs Texas Tech	+3.5	54.5	L 14 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3
CAL	#61 (.21)	41% (88)	30.2	44% (59)	3.39 (13)	173	38% (103)	218	4.12 (46)	#87 (.21)	45% (112)	32.8	47% (103)	44% (108)	4.4 (118)	44.8	2.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
CAL	#79 (.17)	42% (88)		40% (104)	2.68 (120)	122	43% (57)	259	3.07 (125)	#48 (.14)	40% (52)		41% (53)	40% (67)	3.23 (20)	59.7	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	12	31.7	29.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2
CAL Defense	13	32.8	32.2	45%	4.4	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	47%	44%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	12	28.1	31.8	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17
CAL Offense	13	30.2	32.7	40.5%	4.12	2.2	21	391	173	218	4.5	50%	49%	44%	38%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4
California	13	28:40	21.4	39%	52%	5.5	44.8	2.2	2.2	4.5	1.9	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)
CAL Defense	13	47% (32)	47% (103)	-	-	-	-	.14 (67)	3.1 (67)	73% (66)	9% (98)	0.98 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)
CAL Offense	13	50% (68)	44% (59)	38.2	173.1	4.5	26 (30)	.24 (23)	3.39 (13)	75% (60)	11% (86)	1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)
CAL Defense	13	52% (103)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.3 (88)	1.5 (34)	27% (129)	35% (121)	.36 (91)	7% (40)	1.8 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)
CAL Offense	13	49% (64)	38% (103)	19.8	33.4	218.2	6.5	11	22 (61)	16 (121)	.21 (92)	1.6 (49)	33% (84)	27% (96)	.33 (70)	7% (97)	2 (67)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89 California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6 California: 1.1

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 32
California 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
California 36
Washington State 36

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 32
California 31

Total Points: 63

California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	California	42	Washington State	39	California -1.5	California	58.5	Over
2022	10/01	Washington State	28	California	9	Washington State -4	Washington State	52.5	Under
2021	10/02	California	6	Washington State	21	California -7.5	Washington State	52.5	Under
2019	11/09	California	33	Washington State	20	Washington State -8.5	California	51.5	Over
2018	11/03	Washington State	19	California	13	Washington State -7	California	51.0	Under
2017	10/13	California	37	Washington State	3	Washington State -16.5	California	54.5	Under
2016	11/12	Washington State	56	California	21	Washington State -16.5	Washington State	78.0	Under
2015	10/03	California	34	Washington State	28	California -13.5	Washington State	73.5	Under
2014	10/04	Washington State	59	California	60	Washington State -4	California	0
2013	10/05	California	22	Washington State	44	California -1.5	Washington State	0
2012	10/13	Washington State	17	California	31
2011	11/05	California	30	Washington State	7
2010	11/06	Washington State	13	California	20
2009	10/24	California	49	Washington State	17
2008	09/06	Washington State	3	California	66
2007	11/03	California	20	Washington State	17
2006	10/14	Washington State	3	California	21
2005	10/22	California	42	Washington State	38
2002	09/28	California	38	Washington State	48
2001	09/22	Washington State	51	California	20
2000	09/29	California	17	Washington State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	13	5	2 Overs
Washington State	8	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	5 - 5	3 - 5	2 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 12	5 - 5	0 - 2	5 - 3

(#51) WSU at (#75) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	CAL
Power RatePwr	#51	#75
SP+SP+	#47	#61
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#93
OffenseOff	#87	#72
DefenseDef	#88	#99
Spec TeamsST	#78	#125
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#43

Washington State Injury Report

California Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#99
SuccessSuc	#40	#112
ExplosiveExp	#75	#47
PPAPPA	#65	#87
PowerPwr	#54	#101
SP+SP+	#38	#85
Pts POPPO	#41	#118
HavocHav	#94	#75

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#109	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#103
Run ExplRExp	#80	#55
PPAExp	#98	#67
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#67
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#93
TackleTak	-	#120

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#88
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#34
PPAExp	#69	#88
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#37
F7 HavocF7	#96	#98
DB HavocDB	#80	#40

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#88
SuccessSuc	#88	#64
ExplosiveExp	#34	#54
PPAPPA	#61	#62
PowerPwr	#75	#68
SP+SP+	#32	#75
Pts POPPO	#46	#108
HavocHav	#93	#94

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#31	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#95
Run ExplRExp	#20	#60
PPAExp	#23	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#103	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#49	#66
PPAExp	#92	#50
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#112	#59
F7 HavocF7	#86	#87
DB HavocDB	#97	#93

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 67° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 11
California -1.5 (58.5)
California won vs Washington State this year (42-39)

Previous Matchups
California beat Washington State in 2023 (42-39)
Washington State beat California in 2022 (28-9)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5

CAL's OC Jake Spavital (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Fernando Mendoza	153	243	63%	1708	14	10	7.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)	51	97	53%	553	5	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadyn Ott	245	1310	12	5.3	66
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)	70	365	7	5.2	26
Ashton Stredick	42	200	2	4.8	41
Jaivian Thomas	18	110	1	6.1	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Hunter	63	709	7	11.3	50
Trond Grizzell	39	590	5	15.1	54
Jack Endries	35	408	2	11.7	32
Taj Davis (Tr)	38	393	3	10.3	27

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)	88	6	1	1	7
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	87	3	1	6	6
Craig Woodson	80	4	1	0	4
Cade Uluave	67	7	2	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Reese (Tr)	33	9	8	4	3
Xavier Carlton	50	6	5	5	2
Cade Uluave	67	7	2	0	3
Nathan Burrell	23	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)	88	6	1	1	7
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	87	3	1	6	6
Lu-Magia Hearns III	27	0	0	0	6