California at Oregon - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (5:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -26.5 (61.5) (-2200) Open: -24.0 | 59.0
Oregon 63 - California: 19 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -28.5 (SP+ ORE -24)
Projected Score: CAL: 14 - ORE: 42 (51)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
CAL Travel: 430 miles

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	California at North Texas	-5.0	53.5	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/9	California vs Auburn	+5.0	55.5	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	California vs Idaho	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	California at Washington	+21.0	55.5	L 32 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/30	California vs Arizona State	-13.0	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/7	California vs Oregon State	+7.5	51.0	L 40 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/14	California at Utah	+9.0	42.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	California vs USC	+10.5	67.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/4	California at Oregon	+26.5	61.5	L 19 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/11	California vs Washington State	-1.5	58.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/18	California at Stanford	-6.5	52.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	California at UCLA	+9.5	50.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/16	California vs Texas Tech	+3.5	54.5	L 14 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.19	39%	25.1	40%	2.93	97	38%	268	3.81	.2	50%	22.3	51%	49%	3.95	44.6	1	2
ORE	.38	56%	34.9	58%	3.59	216	54%	285	4.4	.22	45%	19.4	45%	46%	4.15	57.2	0.9	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	12	25.1	19.4	38.6%	3.81	1	19	365	97	268	3.6	37%	62%	40%	38%	16%	.19
ORE Defense	13	19.4	19.6	45.3%	4.15	2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	45%	46%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	12	22.3	23.8	49.7%	3.95	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	51%	49%	13%	.2
ORE Offense	13	34.9	35.7	55.9%	4.4	0.9	26	501	216	285	5.5	53%	47%	58%	54%	11%	.38

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	12	28:43	19.3	35%	55%	5.3	44.6	1	2	4.4	1.3	1	25.8
Oregon	13	31:21	26.2	46%	63%	6.8	57.2	0.9	2	3.9	1.3	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	12	37%	40%	26.5	96.5	3.6	10	.12	2.93	63%	11%	1.05
ORE Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	12	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.42	77%	8%	0.77
ORE Offense	13	53%	58%	39.1	215.7	5.5	34	.37	3.59	83%	6%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	12	62%	38%	24.3	38.8	268.1	6.9	11.1	23	9	.27	1.6	36%	29%	.37	6%	2.2
ORE Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.28	1.4	30%	37%	.48	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	12	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.32	1.4	28%	28%	.25	5%	2
ORE Offense	13	47%	54%	23.7	33.2	284.8	8.6	12	30	9	.4	1.4	25%	38%	.48	4%	1.9

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90 Oregon: 28.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1 Oregon: 25.0

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.15 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 42
California 14

Projected Total Points: 51

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Oregon	63	California	19	Oregon	Oregon -26.5	Oregon	61.5	Over
2022	10/29	California	24	Oregon	42	Oregon	Oregon -16.5	Oregon	56.5	Over
2021	10/15	Oregon	24	California	17	Oregon	Oregon -13.5	California	53.5	Under
2020	12/05	California	21	Oregon	17	California	Oregon -9.5	California	59.0	Under
2019	10/05	Oregon	17	California	7	Oregon	Oregon -21.5	California	46.5	Under
2018	09/29	California	24	Oregon	42	Oregon	Oregon -2	Oregon	58.5	Over
2017	09/30	Oregon	45	California	24	Oregon	Oregon -17	Oregon	66.5	Over
2016	10/21	California	52	Oregon	49	California	California -3	Push	90.0	Over
2015	11/07	Oregon	44	California	28	Oregon	Oregon -7.5	Oregon	75.5	Under
2014	10/24	California	41	Oregon	59	Oregon	Oregon -16	Oregon	0
2013	09/28	Oregon	55	California	16	Oregon	Oregon -33	Oregon	0
2012	11/10	California	17	Oregon	59	Oregon
2011	10/06	Oregon	43	California	15	Oregon
2010	11/13	California	13	Oregon	15	Oregon
2009	09/26	Oregon	42	California	3	Oregon
2008	11/01	California	26	Oregon	16	California
2007	09/29	Oregon	24	California	31	California
2006	10/07	California	45	Oregon	24	California
2005	11/05	Oregon	27	California	20	Oregon
2004	11/06	California	28	Oregon	27	California
2003	11/08	Oregon	21	California	17	Oregon
2001	10/13	California	7	Oregon	48	Oregon
2000	11/10	Oregon	25	California	17	Oregon

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	17	7	5 Overs
California	6	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 7	5 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 16	5 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 4

(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile

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California Ratings Matchup Oregon

Power #75

Off #75

Def #101

#18

Talent #61

SP+ #61

SP+ Off #32

SP+ Def #85

#19

Rematch from Week 10
Oregon -26.5 (61.5)
Oregon won vs California this year (63-19)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat California in 2023 (63-19)
Oregon beat California in 2022 (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.028

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | ORE
Depth Chart: CAL | ORE
Rosters: CAL | ORE

(#2) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.15 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70

Team Profile

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California's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley (Tr)	211	387	55%	2581	16	9	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Ben Finley (Tr)	80	51	0.6	33
Marquez Dortch (Tr)	3	30	10.0	15
Jeremiah Hunter	1	4	4.0	4
Sam Jackson (Tr)	2	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Hunter	36	490	1	13.6	42
Mason Starling	9	121	0	13.4	19
Sam Jackson (Tr)	2	63	1	31.5	37
Ben Finley (Tr)	2	15	0	7.5	10

View California's Full Roster

California's DC Peter Sirmon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Craig Woodson	70	3	0	1	7
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	54	5	2	2	0
Nohl Williams (Tr)	51	1	0	1	8
Miles Williams	51	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Carlton	47	11	9	8	1
Moso'oipala Tuitele	35	6	4	2	0
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	54	5	2	2	0
Myles Jernigan	12	1	1	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)	37	2	1	9
Nohl Williams (Tr)	51	1	1	8
Craig Woodson	70	3	1	7

Oregon's OC Will Stein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tez Johnson (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Dante Dowdell	143	614	12	4.3	38
Jordan Burch (Tr)	1	36	0	36.0	36
Kris Hutson	4	28	1	7.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson (Tr)	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	45	718	5	16.0	59
Kris Hutson	55	691	2	12.6	59
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

View Oregon's Full Roster

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	0	0	5
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	58	3	0	0	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Burch (Tr)	29	11	9	4	5
Jake Shipley	24	3	2	4	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Jestin Jacobs (Tr)	27	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dontae Manning	18	1	6
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	5
Bryan Addison	43	1	5