Arizona at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Arizona Wildcats at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -7.5 (57.5) (-290) Open: -8.0 | 61.0
Arizona 44 - Washington State: 6 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ 2nd straight Road Game
ARIZ is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -5.5 (SP+ ARIZ -7.5)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 32 - WSU: 27 (59)
WSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 1055 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	34.6	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	21.1	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	13	34.6	37.2	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34
WSU Defense	12	28.1	24.3	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	13	21.1	25.7	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16
WSU Offense	12	31.7	33.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 32
Washington State 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 35
Arizona 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 31
Washington State 28

Total Points: 59

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Washington State	6	Arizona	44	Washington State -7.5	Arizona	57.5	Under
2022	11/19	Arizona	20	Washington State	31	Washington State -4	Washington State	63.0	Under
2021	11/19	Washington State	44	Arizona	18	Washington State -15.0	Washington State	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Washington State	69	Arizona	28	Washington State -10.5	Washington State	63.5	Over
2017	10/28	Arizona	58	Washington State	37	Arizona -1	Arizona	63.0	Over
2016	11/05	Washington State	69	Arizona	7	Washington State -16.5	Washington State	67.5	Over
2015	10/24	Arizona	42	Washington State	45	Arizona -8.5	Washington State	72.5	Over
2014	10/25	Washington State	37	Arizona	59	Arizona -4	Arizona	0
2013	11/16	Arizona	17	Washington State	24	Arizona -13.5	Washington State	0
2010	10/16	Washington State	7	Arizona	24
2009	11/07	Arizona	48	Washington State	7
2008	11/08	Washington State	28	Arizona	59
2007	09/29	Arizona	48	Washington State	20
2006	11/04	Washington State	17	Arizona	27
2004	09/25	Arizona	19	Washington State	20
2003	10/04	Washington State	30	Arizona	7
2002	10/26	Arizona	13	Washington State	21
2001	09/29	Arizona	21	Washington State	48
2000	10/13	Arizona	53	Washington State	47

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	10	6	5 Overs
Arizona	9	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	4 - 5	4 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 4	2 - 0	3 - 4

(#20) ARIZ at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	WSU
Power RatePwr	#20	#51
SP+SP+	#20	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#86
OffenseOff	#8	#87
DefenseDef	#56	#88
Spec TeamsST	#63	#78
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#51	#75

Arizona Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	#88
SuccessSuc	#6	#64
ExplosiveExp	#76	#54
PPAPPA	#10	#62
PowerPwr	#6	#68
SP+SP+	#15	#75
Pts POPPO	#29	#108
HavocHav	#44	#94

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#8	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#95
Run ExplRExp	#109	#60
PPAExp	#34	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#66
PPAExp	#15	#50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#4	#59
F7 HavocF7	#38	#87
DB HavocDB	#69	#93

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#56
SuccessSuc	#40	#67
ExplosiveExp	#75	#58
PPAPPA	#65	#57
PowerPwr	#54	#53
SP+SP+	#38	#41
Pts POPPO	#41	#29
HavocHav	#94	#50

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#109	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#71
Run ExplRExp	#80	#51
PPAExp	#98	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#37
TackleTak	-	#51

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#48
PPAExp	#69	#57
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#81
F7 HavocF7	#96	#54
DB HavocDB	#80	#60

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Washington State -7.5 (57.5)
Arizona won at Washington State this year (44-6)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Washington State in 2023 (44-6)
Washington State beat Arizona in 2022 (31-20)

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5