California at UCLA - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
UCLA -9.5 (50.5) (-430) Open: -10.0 | 52.0
California 33 - UCLA: 7 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL 2nd straight Road Game
UCLA is playing their 8th straight game
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UCLA -10 (SP+ UCLA -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 21 - UCLA: 31 (52)
UCLA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
CAL Travel: 343 miles

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
UCLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	California at North Texas	-5.0	53.5	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/9	California vs Auburn	+5.0	55.5	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	California vs Idaho	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	California at Washington	+21.0	55.5	L 32 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/30	California vs Arizona State	-13.0	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/7	California vs Oregon State	+7.5	51.0	L 40 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/14	California at Utah	+9.0	42.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	California vs USC	+10.5	67.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Sat 11/4	California at Oregon	+26.5	61.5	L 19 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/11	California vs Washington State	-1.5	58.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 11/18	California at Stanford	-6.5	52.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	California at UCLA	+9.5	50.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/16	California vs Texas Tech	+3.5	54.5	L 14 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	#61 (.21)	41% (88)	30.2	44% (59)	3.39 (13)	173	38% (103)	218	4.12 (46)	#87 (.21)	45% (112)	32.8	47% (103)	44% (108)	4.4 (118)	44.8	2.2	2.2
UCLA	#73 (.18)	42% (71)	26.5	44% (55)	3.27 (37)	198	40% (88)	229	3.11 (120)	#11 (.08)	37% (18)	18.4	37% (24)	37% (18)	3.16 (19)	58.1	1.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	#79 (.17)	42% (88)		40% (104)	2.68 (120)	122	43% (57)	259	3.07 (125)	#48 (.14)	40% (52)		41% (53)	40% (67)	3.23 (20)	59.7	0.8	1.7
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)		34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)		45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	13	30.2	30.5	40.5%	4.12	2.2	21	391	173	218	4.5	50%	49%	44%	38%	18%	.21
UCLA Defense	13	18.4	17.2	36.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	37%	37%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	13	32.8	33.2	45%	4.4	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	47%	44%	16%	.21
UCLA Offense	13	26.5	25.5	41.8%	3.11	1.7	21	427	198	229	4.9	51%	49%	44%	40%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	13	28:40	21.4	39%	52%	5.5	44.8	2.2	2.2	4.5	1.9	1	31.2
UCLA	13	29:01	21.4	44%	47%	7.1	58.1	1.7	1.8	8.1	3.2	0	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	13	50% (68)	44% (59)	38.2	173.1	4.5	26 (30)	.24 (23)	3.39 (13)	75% (60)	11% (86)	1.11 (20)
UCLA Defense	13	42% (7)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (6)	2.64 (10)	55% (4)	14% (5)	0.84 (9)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	13	47% (32)	47% (103)	-	-	-	-	.14 (67)	3.1 (67)	73% (66)	9% (98)	0.98 (55)
UCLA Offense	13	51% (63)	44% (55)	40.5	197.9	4.9	21 (54)	.21 (37)	3.27 (37)	70% (95)	10% (75)	1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	13	49% (64)	38% (103)	19.8	33.4	218.2	6.5	11	22 (61)	16 (121)	.21 (92)	1.6 (49)	33% (84)	27% (96)	.33 (70)	7% (97)	2 (67)
UCLA Defense	13	57% (128)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (32)	1.6 (52)	37% (9)	28% (34)	.29 (54)	7% (51)	2.1 (86)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	13	52% (103)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.3 (88)	1.5 (34)	27% (129)	35% (121)	.36 (91)	7% (40)	1.8 (10)
UCLA Offense	13	49% (66)	40% (88)	18.3	31.5	229.2	7.3	12.5	24 (41)	14 (107)	.16 (107)	1.6 (58)	32% (73)	33% (54)	.28 (89)	7% (92)	1.9 (118)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90 UCLA: 9.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1 UCLA: 7.9

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 9.49 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 31
California 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UCLA 30
California 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
UCLA 30
California 24

Total Points: 54

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	UCLA	7	California	33	UCLA -9.5	California	50.5	Under
2022	11/25	California	28	UCLA	35	UCLA -11.5	California	62.5	Over
2021	11/27	UCLA	42	California	14	UCLA -6.5	UCLA	58.5	Under
2020	11/15	UCLA	34	California	10	California -3	UCLA	57.5	Under
2019	11/30	UCLA	18	California	28	California -1	California	50.5	Under
2018	10/13	California	7	UCLA	30	California -6.5	UCLA	53.5	Under
2017	11/24	UCLA	30	California	27	UCLA -7	California	66.5	Under
2016	11/26	California	36	UCLA	10	UCLA -5.5	California	70.5	Under
2015	10/22	UCLA	40	California	24	UCLA -6.5	UCLA	68.5	Under
2014	10/18	California	34	UCLA	36	UCLA -8	California	0
2013	10/12	UCLA	37	California	10	UCLA -23	UCLA	0
2012	10/06	California	43	UCLA	17
2011	10/29	UCLA	31	California	14
2010	10/09	California	35	UCLA	7
2009	10/17	UCLA	26	California	45
2008	10/25	California	41	UCLA	20
2007	10/20	UCLA	30	California	21
2006	11/04	California	38	UCLA	24
2005	10/08	UCLA	47	California	40
2004	10/16	California	45	UCLA	28
2003	10/18	UCLA	23	California	20
2002	10/19	California	17	UCLA	12
2001	10/20	UCLA	56	California	17
2000	10/13	California	46	UCLA	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCLA	13	5	1 Overs
California	11	6	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	18 - 6	7 - 4	3 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 18	4 - 7	1 - 4	3 - 3

(#75) CAL at (#33) UCLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	UCLA
Power RatePwr	#75	#33
SP+SP+	#61	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#93	#26
OffenseOff	#72	#68
DefenseDef	#99	#7
Spec TeamsST	#125	#47
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#26

California Injury Report

UCLA Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UCLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#7
SuccessSuc	#88	#18
ExplosiveExp	#34	#45
PPAPPA	#61	#11
PowerPwr	#75	#11
SP+SP+	#32	#16
Pts POPPO	#46	#19
HavocHav	#93	#8

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#31	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#24
Run ExplRExp	#20	#9
PPAExp	#23	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#4
TackleTak	-	#71

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	#103	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#49	#52
PPAExp	#92	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#1
F7 HavocF7	#86	#5
DB HavocDB	#97	#51

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	CAL Def
Perf GradePerf	#68	#99
SuccessSuc	#71	#112
ExplosiveExp	#47	#47
PPAPPA	#73	#87
PowerPwr	#103	#101
SP+SP+	#56	#85
Pts POPPO	#120	#118
HavocHav	#83	#75

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#36	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#103
Run ExplRExp	#33	#55
PPAExp	#37	#67
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#67
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#93
TackleTak	-	#120

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#88
Pass SuccessPSuc	#88	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#58	#34
PPAExp	#107	#88
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#37
F7 HavocF7	#75	#98
DB HavocDB	#92	#40

Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 13
UCLA -9.5 (50.5)
California won at UCLA this year (33-7)

Previous Matchups
California beat UCLA in 2023 (33-7)
UCLA beat California in 2022 (35-28)

CAL's OC Jake Spavital (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Fernando Mendoza	153	243	63%	1708	14	10	7.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)	51	97	53%	553	5	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadyn Ott	245	1310	12	5.3	66
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)	70	365	7	5.2	26
Ashton Stredick	42	200	2	4.8	41
Jaivian Thomas	18	110	1	6.1	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Hunter	63	709	7	11.3	50
Trond Grizzell	39	590	5	15.1	54
Jack Endries	35	408	2	11.7	32
Taj Davis (Tr)	38	393	3	10.3	27

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)	88	6	1	1	7
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	87	3	1	6	6
Craig Woodson	80	4	1	0	4
Cade Uluave	67	7	2	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Reese (Tr)	33	9	8	4	3
Xavier Carlton	50	6	5	5	2
Cade Uluave	67	7	2	0	3
Nathan Burrell	23	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)	88	6	1	1	7
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	87	3	1	6	6
Lu-Magia Hearns III	27	0	0	0	6

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	114	213	54%	1610	11	9	7.6
Ethan Garbers	98	146	67%	1136	11	3	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Steele (Tr)	167	846	6	5.1	42
TJ Harden	156	827	8	5.3	62
Collin Schlee (Tr)	42	425	3	10.1	57
Anthony Adkins (Tr)	30	178	1	5.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Loya	59	655	5	11.1	49
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	36	597	4	16.6	62
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	14	283	2	20.2	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	22	236	1	10.7	37

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kain Medrano	56	7	2	4	2
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	53	2	0	0	3
Kenny Churchwell III	50	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laiatu Latu	48	21	12	10	2
Gabriel Murphy	39	17	9	8	2
Grayson Murphy	33	10	6	10	1
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylin Davies	43	1	0	0	6
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kamari Ramsey	40	3	0	2	4