Oregon State at California - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -7.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon State 52 - California: 40  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
CAL is playing their 6th straight game
ORST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -11   (SP+ ORST -13.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 31 - CAL: 20 (51)
ORST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 465 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9UN
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22UN
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.2548%24.351%3.4219646%2004.47.139%29.944%36%3.0954.71.41.6
CAL.1939%25.140%2.939738%2683.81.250%22.351%49%3.9544.612
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1324.316.648.5%4.471.4223961962004.959%40%51%46%13%.25
CAL Defense1222.32149.7%3.952 - - - - - 47%53%51%49%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1329.929.638.8%3.091.6 - - - - - 42%57%44%36%18%.1
CAL Offense1225.130.938.6%3.81119365972683.637%62%40%38%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1331:5722.244%70%654.71.41.64.91.6433.7
California1228:4319.335%55%5.344.6124.41.3125.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1359%51%40.2196.54.936.233.4278%7%0.94
CAL Defense1247%51% - - - - .123.4277%8%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1342%44% - - - - .19378%10%1.02
CAL Offense1237%40%26.596.53.610.122.9363%11%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1340%46%15.524.8199.5812.91613.361.627%33%.365%1.9
CAL Defense1253%49% - - - - - - 11.321.428%28%.255%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1357%36% - - - - - - 12.061.435%28%.278%2
CAL Offense1262%38%24.338.8268.16.911.1239.271.636%29%.376%2.2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 644
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36   California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7   California: 1.1




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 31
California 20

Projected Total Points: 51
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26California44Oregon State7CaliforniaCalifornia -13.0California51.0Push
202310/07California40Oregon State52Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State51.0Over
202211/12Oregon State38California10Oregon StateOregon State -11.5Oregon State47.0Over
202110/30California39Oregon State25CaliforniaOregon State -2.5California56.5Over
202011/21Oregon State31California27Oregon StateCalifornia -1.0Oregon State46.5Over
201910/19California17Oregon State21Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State51.0Under
201810/20Oregon State7California49CaliforniaCalifornia -8.5California58.0Under
201711/04California37Oregon State23CaliforniaCalifornia -7California54.0Over
201610/08Oregon State47California44Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State70.0Over
201511/14California54Oregon State24CaliforniaCalifornia -17.5California64.0Over
201411/01Oregon State31California45CaliforniaOregon State -4.5California0
201310/19California17Oregon State49Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State0
201211/17Oregon State62California14Oregon State
201111/12California23Oregon State6California
201010/30Oregon State35California7Oregon State
200911/07California14Oregon State31Oregon State
200811/15Oregon State34California21Oregon State
200710/13California28Oregon State31Oregon State
200609/30Oregon State13California41California
200510/15California20Oregon State23Oregon State
200410/02Oregon State7California49California
200310/04California21Oregon State35Oregon State
200210/26Oregon State24California13Oregon State
200110/27Oregon State19California10Oregon State
200011/03California32Oregon State38Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California967 Overs
Oregon State1662 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams12 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#17) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30

Team Profile






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Oregon State     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #17
#75
Off #10
#75
Def #39
#101
Talent #79
#61
SP+ #17
#61
SP+ Off #22
#32
SP+ Def #32
#85

Rematch from Week 6
Oregon State 7.5 (51.0)
Oregon State won at California this year (52-40)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ORST | CAL
Depth Chart: ORST | CAL
Rosters: ORST | CAL
(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.1 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile






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Oregon State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles19232459%241513127.5
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)8415654%1065466.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez1591002106.375
Aidan Chiles9623432.426
Silas Bolden2-31-1.55
Ben Gulbranson14-71-0.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Velling36411111.434
Silas Bolden23267111.624
Tastean Reddicks17222013.129
Damien Martinez17204012.036

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Akili Arnold591111
John Miller526242
Jermod McCoy441007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
John Miller526242
Akili Arnold591111
Jermod McCoy441007
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Jaden Robinson382003
John Miller526242

California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Marquez Dortch (Tr)330010.015
Jeremiah Hunter1404.04
Sam Jackson (Tr)2000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter36490113.642
Mason Starling9121013.419
Sam Jackson (Tr)263131.537
Ben Finley (Tr)21507.510

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Craig Woodson703017
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Miles Williams513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Myles Jernigan121121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Craig Woodson703017