California at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (6:30 PM EST)
California -6.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 27 - Stanford: 15  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN is playing their 6th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: California -10   (SP+ CAL -13.5)

Projected Score: CAL: 33 - STAN: 23 (56)
CAL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 31 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 21 - 38 (18 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)30.244% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)32.847% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)20.641% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)37.756% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1330.230.540.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21
STAN Defense1237.737.151.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1332.833.245%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
STAN Offense1220.618.137.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90   Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1   Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 33
Stanford 23


Total Points: 56

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.1
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.1

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23California24Stanford21CaliforniaCalifornia -15Stanford53.5Under
202311/18Stanford15California27CaliforniaCalifornia -6.5California52.5Under
202211/19California27Stanford20CaliforniaCalifornia -5California46.0Over
202111/20Stanford11California41CaliforniaCalifornia -2.5California46.0Over
202011/27California23Stanford24StanfordStanford -2California51.0Under
201911/23Stanford20California24CaliforniaCalifornia -1California41.5Over
201812/01California13Stanford23StanfordStanford -3Stanford46.5Under
201711/18Stanford17California14StanfordStanford -14California56.5Under
201611/19California31Stanford45StanfordStanford -11Stanford60.5Over
201511/21Stanford35California22StanfordStanford -12.5Stanford63.0Under
201411/22California17Stanford38StanfordStanford -6.5Stanford0
201311/23Stanford63California13StanfordStanford -28.5Stanford0
201210/20California3Stanford21Stanford
201111/19Stanford31California28Stanford
201011/20California14Stanford48Stanford
200911/21Stanford28California34California
200811/22California37Stanford16California
200712/01Stanford20California13Stanford
200612/02California26Stanford17California
200511/19Stanford3California27California
200411/20California41Stanford6California
200311/22Stanford16California28California
200111/17Stanford35California28Stanford
200011/17California30Stanford36Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1364 Overs
California1166 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 21 - 6
Road Teams13 - 118 - 46 - 12 - 3

(#75) California Info
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


California has won 1 straight
California has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

California Highlights
California has a top Offensive Line (#63)

California Deficiencies
California has a bad TO Margin (#28)
California Fumbles a Lot (#42)
California throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
California pass game is really bad (#68)
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
California has a bad defense (#32)
California has a bad red zone defense (#41)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSTANCAL
OverallOver#112#77
OffenseOff#101#65
DefenseDef#107#76
Special TeamsST#64#101
PassingPass#93#63
RushingRush#87#22
Run BlockRBLK#86#87
Pass BlockPBLK#105#96
Route RunningWR Rt#70#38
TacklingTkl#66#102
Run DefenseR Def#113#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#99#32
Coverage DefCov#110#72

Rematch from Week 12
California 6.5 (52.5)
California won at Stanford this year (27-15)

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | STAN
Depth Chart: CAL | STAN
Rosters: CAL | STAN
(#129) Stanford Info
Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60


Stanford has lost 1 straight
Stanford has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 7 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Stanford Highlights
Stanford has a great TO Margin (#82)

Stanford Deficiencies
Stanford has a really bad Offense
Stanford has a really bad Offense at Home
Stanford Can Not Run the Ball (#84)
Stanford offense is really bad (#118)
Stanford Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#64)
Stanford offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#128)
Stanford pass game is really bad (#125)
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Stanford has a bad defense (#92)
Stanford has a bad defensive line (#67)
Stanford has a bad red zone defense (#39)


  
California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza15324363%170814107.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)519753%553525.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadyn Ott2451310125.366
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)7036575.226
Ashton Stredick4220024.841
Jaivian Thomas1811016.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter63709711.350
Trond Grizzell39590515.154
Jack Endries35408211.732
Taj Davis (Tr)38393310.327

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Craig Woodson804104
Cade Uluave677203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)339843
Xavier Carlton506552
Cade Uluave677203
Nathan Burrell233211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Lu-Magia Hearns III270006

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels19132758%22471186.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)388843%504025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)12033452.849
Ashton Daniels11029632.724
E.J. Smith5321614.134
Casey Filkins3821515.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor621013616.397
Tiger Bachmeier36409211.441
Sam Roush28288010.331
E.J. Smith3324207.353

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)813141
Tristan Sinclair655140
Collin Wright514104
Mitch Leigber502201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey316520
Anthony Franklin276341
Tevarua Tafiti465391
Mitch Leigber502201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley282004
Collin Wright514104
Alaka'i Gilman450003