California at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (6:30 PM EST)
California -6.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 27 - Stanford: 15  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
STAN is playing their 6th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: California -10   (SP+ CAL -13.5)
Projected Score: CAL: 31 - STAN: 21 (52)
CAL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 31 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.1939%25.140%2.939738%2683.81.250%22.351%49%3.9544.612
STAN.1442%22.845%2.8410740%2544.16.2948%33.754%41%4.0541.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1225.119.438.6%3.81119365972683.637%62%40%38%16%.19
STAN Defense1233.72947.6%4.051 - - - - - 51%48%54%41%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1222.323.849.7%3.952 - - - - - 47%53%51%49%13%.2
STAN Offense1222.824.542%4.161.8213621072543.441%59%45%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1228:4319.335%55%5.344.6124.41.3125.8
Stanford1229:5320.838%52%4.641.31.815.41.8024.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1237%40%26.596.53.610.122.9363%11%1.05
STAN Defense1251%54% - - - - .393.6883%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%51% - - - - .123.4277%8%0.77
STAN Offense1241%45%31.3107.33.414.022.8485%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1262%38%24.338.8268.16.911.1239.271.636%29%.376%2.2
STAN Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 6.241.529%31%.365%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1253%49% - - - - - - 11.321.428%28%.255%2
STAN Offense1259%40%22.937.3254.36.811.1158.251.531%29%.286%2

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90   Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1   Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 31
Stanford 21

Projected Total Points: 52
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23California24Stanford21CaliforniaCalifornia -15Stanford53.5Under
202311/18Stanford15California27CaliforniaCalifornia -6.5California52.5Under
202211/19California27Stanford20CaliforniaCalifornia -5California46.0Over
202111/20Stanford11California41CaliforniaCalifornia -2.5California46.0Over
202011/27California23Stanford24StanfordStanford -2California51.0Under
201911/23Stanford20California24CaliforniaCalifornia -1California41.5Over
201812/01California13Stanford23StanfordStanford -3Stanford46.5Under
201711/18Stanford17California14StanfordStanford -14California56.5Under
201611/19California31Stanford45StanfordStanford -11Stanford60.5Over
201511/21Stanford35California22StanfordStanford -12.5Stanford63.0Under
201411/22California17Stanford38StanfordStanford -6.5Stanford0
201311/23Stanford63California13StanfordStanford -28.5Stanford0
201210/20California3Stanford21Stanford
201111/19Stanford31California28Stanford
201011/20California14Stanford48Stanford
200911/21Stanford28California34California
200811/22California37Stanford16California
200712/01Stanford20California13Stanford
200612/02California26Stanford17California
200511/19Stanford3California27California
200411/20California41Stanford6California
200311/22Stanford16California28California
200111/17Stanford35California28Stanford
200011/17California30Stanford36Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1364 Overs
California1166 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 21 - 6
Road Teams13 - 118 - 46 - 12 - 3

(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile






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California     Ratings Matchup     Stanford
Power #75
#129
Off #75
#107
Def #101
#133
Talent #61
#17
SP+ #61
#109
SP+ Off #32
#94
SP+ Def #85
#117

Rematch from Week 12
California 6.5 (52.5)
California won at Stanford this year (27-15)

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 62° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.016


Team Information
Injuries: CAL | STAN
Depth Chart: CAL | STAN
Rosters: CAL | STAN
(#129) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60

Team Profile






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California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Marquez Dortch (Tr)330010.015
Jeremiah Hunter1404.04
Sam Jackson (Tr)2000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter36490113.642
Mason Starling9121013.419
Sam Jackson (Tr)263131.537
Ben Finley (Tr)21507.510

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Craig Woodson703017
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Miles Williams513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Myles Jernigan121121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Craig Woodson703017

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Tristan Sinclair1606.06
Bryce Farrell2502.55
Alaka'i Gilman2000.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor63831613.260
Ben Yurosek15185012.331
E.J. Smith86608.326

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Tristan Sinclair777251
Alaka'i Gilman416111
Lance Keneley211110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tobin Phillips165410
Tristan Sinclair777251
Jaxson Moi165201
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley120003
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Tristan Sinclair777251