Washington State at UCLA - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
UCLA -3 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UCLA 25 - Washington State: 17 (Pac-12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU coming off BYE
UCLA coming off BYE
Our Line: UCLA -6 (SP+ UCLA -3)
Projected Score: WSU: 24 - UCLA: 30 (54)
UCLA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WSU Travel: 870 miles

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
UCLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	.15	42%	22.5	44%	2.96	107	42%	253	4.11	.18	43%	20.2	48%	39%	3.52	45.5	1.3	2.2
UCLA	.37	54%	18.2	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	33.4	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	22.5	16.3	42.1%	4.11	1.3	19	360	107	253	3.8	35%	64%	44%	42%	19%	.15
UCLA Defense	13	33.4	34.7	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	20.2	23.7	42.7%	3.52	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	48%	39%	18%	.18
UCLA Offense	13	18.2	19.5	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	27:40	19.5	37%	45%	5.4	45.5	1.3	2.2	5.8	2.3	2	29.6
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	35%	44%	28.1	107.3	3.8	17	.17	2.96	70%	13%	1.2
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	74%	12%	0.93
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	64%	42%	24.8	38.4	252.8	6.6	10.2	24	9	.17	1.4	33%	34%	.35	6%	2
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.39	7%	2.1
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89 UCLA: 9.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6 UCLA: 7.9

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 9.49 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 752.60 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 30
Washington State 24

Projected Total Points: 54

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	UCLA	25	Washington State	17	UCLA -3	UCLA	60.0	Under
2019	09/21	Washington State	63	UCLA	67	Washington State -17	UCLA	59.5	Over
2016	10/15	Washington State	27	UCLA	21	Washington State -2	Washington State	51.0	Under
2015	11/14	UCLA	27	Washington State	31	UCLA -8.5	Washington State	66.0	Under
2012	11/10	Washington State	36	UCLA	44
2011	10/08	UCLA	28	Washington State	25
2010	10/02	UCLA	42	Washington State	28
2009	11/14	Washington State	7	UCLA	43
2008	10/04	UCLA	28	Washington State	3
2007	10/27	Washington State	27	UCLA	7
2006	10/28	UCLA	15	Washington State	37
2005	10/15	Washington State	41	UCLA	44
2004	11/06	UCLA	29	Washington State	31
2003	11/08	Washington State	31	UCLA	13
2001	11/03	Washington State	20	UCLA	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCLA	8	2	1 Overs
Washington State	7	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 8	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#51) WSU at (#33) UCLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	UCLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#33
SP+SP+	#47	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#26
OffenseOff	#87	#68
DefenseDef	#88	#7
Spec TeamsST	#78	#47
TalentTal	#75	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#26

Washington State Injury Report

UCLA Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UCLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#7
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#54	#11
SP+SP+	#38	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#109	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#68
SP+SP+	#56	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#36	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
UCLA -3.0 (60.0)
UCLA won vs Washington State this year (25-17)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Washington State in 2023 (25-17)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	114	213	54%	1610	11	9	7.6
Ethan Garbers	98	146	67%	1136	11	3	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Steele (Tr)	167	846	6	5.1	42
TJ Harden	156	827	8	5.3	62
Collin Schlee (Tr)	42	425	3	10.1	57
Anthony Adkins (Tr)	30	178	1	5.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Loya	59	655	5	11.1	49
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	36	597	4	16.6	62
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	14	283	2	20.2	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	22	236	1	10.7	37

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kain Medrano	56	7	2	4	2
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	53	2	0	0	3
Kenny Churchwell III	50	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laiatu Latu	48	21	12	10	2
Gabriel Murphy	39	17	9	8	2
Grayson Murphy	33	10	6	10	1
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylin Davies	43	1	0	0	6
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kamari Ramsey	40	3	0	2	4