Washington State at Colorado State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -9.5 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington State 50 - Colorado State: 24

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Washington State -7 (SP+ WSU -13.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 28 - CSU: 21 (49)
WSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WSU Travel: 737 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado State vs Washington State	+9.5	54.0	L 24 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Colorado State at Colorado	+23.0	63.0	L 35 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Colorado State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	50.0	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Colorado State vs Utah Tech	-19
Sat 10/7	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	62.0	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado State vs Boise State	+7.5	60.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Colorado State at UNLV	+6.5	60.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/3	Colorado State at Wyoming	+6.0	41.0	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado State vs San Diego State	-3.5	46.5	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/18	Colorado State vs Nevada	-12.5	45.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-6.0	54.0	L 24 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	.15	42%	22.5	44%	2.96	107	42%	253	4.11	.18	43%	20.2	48%	39%	3.52	45.5	1.3	2.2
CSU	.05	34%	18.5	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	30.8	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	22.5	16.3	42.1%	4.11	1.3	19	360	107	253	3.8	35%	64%	44%	42%	19%	.15
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	20.2	23.7	42.7%	3.52	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	48%	39%	18%	.18
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	27:40	19.5	37%	45%	5.4	45.5	1.3	2.2	5.8	2.3	2	29.6
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	35%	44%	28.1	107.3	3.8	17	.17	2.96	70%	13%	1.2
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	74%	12%	0.93
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	64%	42%	24.8	38.4	252.8	6.6	10.2	24	9	.17	1.4	33%	34%	.35	6%	2
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.39	7%	2.1
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89 Colorado State: -3.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6 Colorado State: -9.1

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.77 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 413.96 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 28
Colorado State 21

Projected Total Points: 49

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Colorado State	3	Washington State	20	Colorado State -4.5	Washington State	48.5	Under
2023	09/02	Colorado State	24	Washington State	50	Washington State -9.5	Washington State	54.0	Over
2022	09/17	Washington State	38	Colorado State	7	Washington State -17	Washington State	51.5	Under
2013	12/21	Colorado State	48	Washington State	45	Washington State -4	Colorado State	64.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	1	2 Overs
Washington State	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#51) WSU at (#83) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#83
SP+SP+	#47	#99
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#84
OffenseOff	#87	#84
DefenseDef	#88	#78
Spec TeamsST	#78	#114
TalentTal	#75	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Washington State Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#78
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#54	#62
SP+SP+	#38	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#109	#99
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#78	#68
SP+SP+	#93	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#129	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Washington State 9.5 (54.0)
Washington State won at Colorado State this year (50-24)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Colorado State last year (20-3)
Washington State beat Colorado State in 2023 (50-24)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	292	470	62%	3460	22	16	7.4
Clay Millen	15	24	63%	110	0	1	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vann Schield	90	389	3	4.3	52
Justin Marshall	57	311	2	5.5	21
Avery Morrow	81	262	2	3.2	13
Kobe Johnson	44	128	1	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Horton	96	1136	8	11.8	76
Dallin Holker (Tr)	64	767	6	12.0	42
Justus Ross-Simmons	45	724	3	16.1	75
Louis Brown	47	481	5	10.2	46

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	114	1	0	3	3
Chase Wilson	107	9	4	1	3
Justin Sanchez	87	4	1	2	3
Henry Blackburn	75	7	3	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Kamara	55	16	12	10	1
Marshon Oxley	26	6	4	1	0
Chase Wilson	107	9	4	1	3
Tony Pierce Jr.	31	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	114	1	0	3	3
Dom Jones	32	0	0	0	3
Justin Sanchez	87	4	1	2	3