Stanford at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -13 (59.5) (-600) Open: -13.0
Stanford 10 - Washington State: 7 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 21 - 38 (24 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
WSU is playing their 5th straight game
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -19 (SP+ WSU -17)
Projected Score: STAN: 21 - WSU: 40 (61)
WSU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
STAN Travel: 691 miles

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Stanford at Hawai'i	-2.0	54.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Stanford at USC	+28.5	70.5	L 10 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/16	Stanford vs Sacramento State	-7.0	60.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Stanford vs Arizona	+13.0	60.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Stanford vs Oregon	+27.0	59.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Stanford at Colorado	+13.0	59.0	W 46 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Stanford vs UCLA	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Stanford vs Washington	+27.5	62.0	L 33 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Stanford at Washington State	+13.0	59.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Stanford at Oregon State	+21.5	51.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/18	Stanford vs California	+6.5	52.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+26.0	50.5	L 23 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	38% (114)	20.6	41% (95)	2.61 (130)	119	36% (114)	233	3.4 (101)	#133 (.35)	51% (133)	37.7	56% (133)	48% (129)	5.22 (133)	59.1	1.2	1
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	20.6	24	37.6%	3.4	1.2	20	352	119	233	3.4	42%	57%	41%	36%	21%	.1
WSU Defense	12	28.1	24.3	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	37.7	38.4	51.4%	5.22	1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	56%	48%	11%	.35
WSU Offense	12	31.7	33.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	31:16	19.5	36%	33%	6.3	59.1	1.2	1	4.3	1.9	0	27.2
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	42% (114)	41% (95)	34.5	118.8	3.4	15 (100)	.06 (114)	2.61 (130)	71% (90)	13% (122)	0.99 (74)
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	45% (13)	56% (133)	-	-	-	-	.25 (120)	3.45 (124)	76% (87)	7% (129)	0.9 (25)
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	57% (17)	36% (114)	19.4	35.6	233	6.6	12	11 (117)	10 (56)	.16 (106)	1.5 (84)	36% (120)	29% (77)	.28 (87)	8% (126)	2 (71)
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	55% (124)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.45 (130)	1.7 (89)	29% (125)	41% (133)	.66 (133)	4% (130)	2.1 (93)
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -13.77 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -13.77 Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -12.3 Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 40
Stanford 21

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Stanford 37
Washington State 27

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 36
Stanford 24

Total Points: 60

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Washington State	7	Stanford	10	Washington State -13	Stanford	59.5	Under
2022	11/05	Stanford	14	Washington State	52	Washington State -3	Washington State	48.5	Over
2021	10/16	Washington State	34	Stanford	31	Washington State -1	Washington State	53.0	Over
2019	11/16	Washington State	49	Stanford	22	Washington State -11.5	Washington State	66.0	Over
2018	10/27	Stanford	38	Washington State	41	Stanford -2.5	Washington State	55.0	Over
2017	11/04	Washington State	24	Stanford	21	Stanford -1.5	Washington State	56.0	Under
2016	10/08	Stanford	16	Washington State	42	Stanford -12.5	Washington State	56.5	Over
2015	10/31	Washington State	28	Stanford	30	Stanford -12.5	Washington State	59.5	Under
2014	10/10	Stanford	34	Washington State	17	Stanford -18	Washington State	0
2013	09/28	Washington State	17	Stanford	55	Stanford -10	Stanford	0
2012	10/27	Stanford	24	Washington State	17
2011	10/15	Washington State	14	Stanford	44
2010	10/23	Stanford	38	Washington State	28
2009	09/05	Washington State	13	Stanford	39
2008	11/01	Stanford	58	Washington State	0
2007	11/10	Washington State	33	Stanford	17
2006	09/23	Stanford	10	Washington State	36
2005	10/08	Washington State	21	Stanford	24
2004	10/16	Washington State	17	Stanford	23
2003	10/18	Stanford	14	Washington State	24
2002	10/12	Stanford	11	Washington State	36
2001	10/13	Stanford	39	Washington State	45
2000	09/01	Washington State	10	Stanford	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	11	8	5 Overs
Stanford	12	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 15	4 - 6	2 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	15 - 8	6 - 4	2 - 2	4 - 2

(#129) STAN at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	WSU
Power RatePwr	#129	#51
SP+SP+	#109	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#133	#86
OffenseOff	#118	#87
DefenseDef	#134	#88
Spec TeamsST	#80	#78
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#36	#75

Stanford Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#118	#88
SuccessSuc	#114	#64
ExplosiveExp	#68	#54
PPAPPA	#114	#62
PowerPwr	#107	#68
SP+SP+	#94	#75
Pts POPPO	#101	#108
HavocHav	#128	#94

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#121	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#95
Run ExplRExp	#74	#60
PPAExp	#114	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#66
PPAExp	#106	#50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#121	#59
F7 HavocF7	#122	#87
DB HavocDB	#126	#93

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	STAN Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#134
SuccessSuc	#40	#133
ExplosiveExp	#75	#63
PPAPPA	#65	#133
PowerPwr	#54	#133
SP+SP+	#38	#117
Pts POPPO	#41	#133
HavocHav	#94	#133

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#109	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#133
Run ExplRExp	#80	#25
PPAExp	#98	#120
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#98
TackleTak	-	#76

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#89
PPAExp	#69	#130
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#132
F7 HavocF7	#96	#129
DB HavocDB	#80	#130

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Washington State -13.0 (59.5)
Stanford won at Washington State this year (10-7)

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat Washington State in 2023 (10-7)
Washington State beat Stanford in 2022 (52-14)

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	191	327	58%	2247	11	8	6.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)	38	88	43%	504	0	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)	120	334	5	2.8	49
Ashton Daniels	110	296	3	2.7	24
E.J. Smith	53	216	1	4.1	34
Casey Filkins	38	215	1	5.7	59

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	62	1013	6	16.3	97
Tiger Bachmeier	36	409	2	11.4	41
Sam Roush	28	288	0	10.3	31
E.J. Smith	33	242	0	7.3	53

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	81	3	1	4	1
Tristan Sinclair	65	5	1	4	0
Collin Wright	51	4	1	0	4
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	6	5	2	0
Anthony Franklin	27	6	3	4	1
Tevarua Tafiti	46	5	3	9	1
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zahran Manley	28	2	0	4
Collin Wright	51	4	1	4
Alaka'i Gilman	45	0	0	3

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5