Washington State at Oregon - 2023 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo   Washington State Cougars at Oregon Ducks  Oregon logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -19.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 38 - Washington State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oregon -25  (SP+ ORE -20)
Projected Score: WSU: 15 - ORE: 40 (55)
ORE Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
WSU Travel: 341 miles
Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington State at Colorado State-9.554.0W 50 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Washington State vs Wisconsin+5.058.0W 31 - 22UY
Sat 9/16 Washington State vs Northern Colorado-48.055.0W 64 - 21ON
Sat 9/23 Washington State vs Oregon State+3.058.5W 38 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Washington State at UCLA+3.060.0L 17 - 25UN
Sat 10/14 Washington State vs Arizona-7.557.5L 6 - 44UN
Sat 10/21 Washington State at Oregon+19.560.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 10/28 Washington State at Arizona State-4.549.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Washington State vs Stanford-13.059.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Washington State at California+1.558.5L 39 - 42ON
Fri 11/17 Washington State vs Colorado-4.559.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/25 Washington State at Washington+16.068.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Oregon's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oregon vs Portland State-48.064.5W 81 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon at Texas Tech-4.570.0W 38 - 30UY
Sat 9/16 Oregon vs Hawai'i-38.567.5W 55 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Oregon vs Colorado-21.070.0W 42 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oregon at Stanford-27.059.5W 42 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Oregon at Washington+3.067.0L 33 - 36OY
Sat 10/21 Oregon vs Washington State-19.560.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/28 Oregon at Utah-6.547.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Oregon vs California-26.561.5W 63 - 19OY
Sat 11/11 Oregon vs USC-12.578.5W 36 - 27UN
Sat 11/18 Oregon at Arizona State-21.552.5W 49 - 13OY
Fri 11/24 Oregon vs Oregon State-14.061.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 12/1 Oregon vs Washington-9.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Mon 1/1 Oregon vs Liberty-18.571.5W 45 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU.1542%22.544%2.9610742%2534.11.1843%20.248%39%3.5245.51.32.2
ORE.3856%36.958%3.5921654%2854.4.2245%17.945%46%4.1557.20.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1322.516.342.1%4.111.3193601072533.835%64%44%42%19%.15
ORE Defense1317.916.845.3%4.152 - - - - - 43%56%45%46%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1320.223.742.7%3.522.2 - - - - - 45%54%48%39%18%.18
ORE Offense1336.943.155.9%4.40.9265012162855.553%47%58%54%11%.38

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1327:4019.537%45%5.445.51.32.25.82.3229.6
Oregon1331:2126.246%63%6.857.20.923.91.3129.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1335%44%28.1107.33.817.172.9670%13%1.2
ORE Defense1343%45% - - - - .183.0268%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1345%48% - - - - .14374%12%0.93
ORE Offense1353%58%39.1215.75.534.373.5983%6%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1364%42%24.838.4252.86.610.2249.171.433%34%.356%2
ORE Defense1356%46% - - - - - - 16.281.430%37%.487%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1354%39% - - - - - - 12.251.733%30%.397%2.1
ORE Offense1347%54%23.733.2284.88.612309.41.425%38%.484%1.9

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89  #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91  #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69  #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6  #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89   Oregon: 28.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6   Oregon: 25.0




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.15  #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84  #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60  #18
2023 Talent Rating: 874.74  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 63  #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0  #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0  #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 40
Washington State 15

Projected Total Points: 55
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Oregon38Washington State24Oregon -19.5Washington State60.5Over
202209/24Washington State41Oregon44Oregon -6Washington State57.0Over
202111/13Oregon38Washington State24Oregon -13Oregon58.0Over
202011/14Washington State29Oregon43Oregon -11.0Oregon58.0Over
201910/26Oregon37Washington State35Oregon -14Washington State68.5Over
201810/20Washington State34Oregon20Washington State -3Washington State70.0Under
201710/07Oregon10Washington State33Washington State -1.5Washington State61.0Under
201610/01Washington State51Oregon33Oregon -1Washington State74.5Over
201510/10Oregon38Washington State45Oregon -20Washington State71.0Over
201409/20Washington State31Oregon38Oregon -19.5Washington State0
201310/19Oregon62Washington State38Oregon -39Washington State0
201209/29Washington State26Oregon51
201110/29Oregon43Washington State28
201010/09Washington State23Oregon43
200910/03Oregon52Washington State6
200809/27Washington State14Oregon63
200710/13Oregon53Washington State7
200610/21Washington State34Oregon23
200511/12Washington State31Oregon34
200410/09Washington State38Oregon41
200309/27Oregon16Washington State55
200211/09Washington State32Oregon21
200110/27Washington State17Oregon24
200011/03Washington State24Oregon27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1727 Overs
Washington State792 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 135 - 62 - 43 - 2
Road Teams13 - 116 - 52 - 34 - 2

(#51) WSU at (#2) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #51 #2
SP+SP+ #47 #5
Perf GradeGrade #86 #5
OffenseOff #87 #1
DefenseDef #88 #20
Spec TeamsST #78 #29
TalentTal #75 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #12
Washington State on Offense
CategoryCat
WSU OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #20
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #54 #18
SP+SP+ #38 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Washington State Run Game
CategoryCat
WSU OffORE Def
Run GameRun #109 #28
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #117 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Washington State Pass Game
CategoryCat
WSU OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #33 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #75 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffWSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #2 #68
SP+SP+ #1 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #2 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #1 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #1 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Oregon -19.5 (60.5)
Oregon won vs Washington State this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Washington State in 2023 (38-24)

  
WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward32448667%37322577.7
John Mateer131777%2252113.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nakia Watson8932143.617
Dylan Paine2516016.452
Djouvensky Schlenbaker3314604.420
Cameron Ward12012281.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)61923815.151
Lincoln Victor8986059.750
Kyle Williams (Tr)61842613.863
Carlos Hernandez24258010.848

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Thornton875161
Jaden Hicks766314
Sam Lockett733111
Devin Richardson (Tr)623120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brennan Jackson5712893
Ron Stone Jr.59115141
Nusi Malani255331
Jaden Hicks766314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Lampkin342007
Chau Smith-Wade352016
Kapena Gushiken362105

ORE's OC Junior Adams (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bo Nix36447077%45084539.6
Ty Thompson243177%297419.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mar'Keise Irving1861180116.356
Jordan James107759117.137
Bo Nix5423464.344
Noah Whittington2014627.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Troy Franklin8113831417.184
Tez Johnson (Tr)8611821013.777
Traeshon Holden (Tr)37452612.263
Gary Bryant Jr. (Tr)30442414.771

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Williams (Tr)825521
Jeffrey Bassa7140121
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)705137
Steve Stephens562002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Dorlus257577
Evan Williams (Tr)825521
Popo Aumavae183330
Jordan Burch (Tr)348351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Dorlus257577
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)705137
Nikko Reed (Tr)252107