Arizona State at California - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
California -13 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 24 - Arizona State: 21  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: California -12   (SP+ CAL -13)
Projected Score: ASU: 19 - CAL: 31 (52)
CAL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ASU Travel: 655 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.2344%32.946%3.1213544%2524.22.2747%22.651%45%4.472.31.51
CAL.1939%25.140%2.939738%2683.81.250%22.351%49%3.9544.612
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1232.930.344.3%4.221.5213871352524.244%55%46%44%19%.23
CAL Defense1222.32149.7%3.952 - - - - - 47%53%51%49%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1222.620.747.3%4.41 - - - - - 48%52%51%45%17%.27
CAL Offense1225.130.938.6%3.81119365972683.637%62%40%38%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1230:4421.239%63%7.372.31.514.21.4126.3
California1228:4319.335%55%5.344.6124.41.3125.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1244%46%32.1135.34.221.133.1274%12%0.91
CAL Defense1247%51% - - - - .123.4277%8%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1248%51% - - - - .343.5379%9%1.11
CAL Offense1237%40%26.596.53.610.122.9363%11%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1255%44%22.533.6251.97.511.21810.351.632%34%.437%2.1
CAL Defense1253%49% - - - - - - 11.321.428%28%.255%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 11.251.426%31%.288%1.9
CAL Offense1262%38%24.338.8268.16.911.1239.271.636%29%.376%2.2

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84   California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9   California: 1.1




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 31
Arizona State 19

Projected Total Points: 52
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30California24Arizona State21CaliforniaCalifornia -13Arizona State47.5Under
201909/27California17Arizona State24Arizona StateCalifornia -4Arizona State42.5Under
201609/24Arizona State51California41Arizona StateArizona State -6.5Arizona State85.0Over
201511/28California48Arizona State46CaliforniaCalifornia -3Arizona State67.5Over
201209/29California17Arizona State27Arizona State
201111/25Arizona State38California47California
201010/23California50Arizona State17California
200910/31Arizona State21California23California
200810/04California24Arizona State14California
200710/27Arizona State31California20Arizona State
200609/23California49Arizona State21California
200410/30California27Arizona State0California
200311/01Arizona State23California51California
200211/09Arizona State38California55California
200010/06Arizona State30California10Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California1002 Overs
Arizona State542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 61 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams6 - 93 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#106) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile






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Arizona State     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #106
#75
Off #101
#75
Def #123
#101
Talent #76
#61
SP+ #108
#61
SP+ Off #102
#32
SP+ Def #94
#85

Rematch from Week 5
California -13.0 (47.5)
California won vs Arizona State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
California beat Arizona State in 2023 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ASU | CAL
Depth Chart: ASU | CAL
Rosters: ASU | CAL
(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.1 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile






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Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Jacob Conover (Tr)2450%22005.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)2931715215.953
Javen Jacobs4027736.950
George Hart III4420424.630
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger39806420.777
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)45605313.466
Shawn Charles30553518.486
Xavier Guillory (Tr)22339515.461

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Djonkam9812343
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons (Tr)729044
Edward Woods494123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
James Djonkam9812343
Caleb McCullough768111
Edward Woods494123
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark362015
Shamari Simmons (Tr)729044
James Djonkam9812343

California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Marquez Dortch (Tr)330010.015
Jeremiah Hunter1404.04
Sam Jackson (Tr)2000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter36490113.642
Mason Starling9121013.419
Sam Jackson (Tr)263131.537
Ben Finley (Tr)21507.510

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Craig Woodson703017
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Miles Williams513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Myles Jernigan121121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Craig Woodson703017