Arizona State at California - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
California -13 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 24 - Arizona State: 21  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (12 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: California -12   (SP+ CAL -13)

Projected Score: ASU: 19 - CAL: 31 (51)
CAL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ASU Travel: 655 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (33 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)17.844% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)31.847% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)30.244% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)32.847% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1217.81237.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12
CAL Defense1332.832.245%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1231.825.346.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
CAL Offense1330.232.740.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84   California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9   California: 1.1




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 31
Arizona State 19


Total Points: 51

California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30California24Arizona State21CaliforniaCalifornia -13Arizona State47.5Under
201909/27California17Arizona State24Arizona StateCalifornia -4Arizona State42.5Under
201609/24Arizona State51California41Arizona StateArizona State -6.5Arizona State85.0Over
201511/28California48Arizona State46CaliforniaCalifornia -3Arizona State67.5Over
201209/29California17Arizona State27Arizona State
201111/25Arizona State38California47California
201010/23California50Arizona State17California
200910/31Arizona State21California23California
200810/04California24Arizona State14California
200710/27Arizona State31California20Arizona State
200609/23California49Arizona State21California
200410/30California27Arizona State0California
200311/01Arizona State23California51California
200211/09Arizona State38California55California
200010/06Arizona State30California10Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California1002 Overs
Arizona State542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 61 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams6 - 93 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#106) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60


Arizona State has lost 3 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)

Arizona State defense does not give up big plays (#49)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State has a really bad Offense
Arizona State Can Not Run the Ball (#15)
Arizona State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Arizona State offense is really bad (#54)
Arizona State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#61)
Arizona State pass game is really bad (#99)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Arizona State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona State has a bad defense (#90)
Arizona State Does Not Stuff Runs (#57)
Arizona State has a bad defensive line (#29)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCALASU
OverallOver#77#109
OffenseOff#65#113
DefenseDef#76#93
Special TeamsST#101#94
PassingPass#63#113
RushingRush#22#48
Run BlockRBLK#87#91
Pass BlockPBLK#96#67
Route RunningWR Rt#38#107
TacklingTkl#102#85
Run DefenseR Def#102#85
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#74
Coverage DefCov#72#99

Rematch from Week 5
California -13.0 (47.5)
California won vs Arizona State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
California beat Arizona State in 2023 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ASU | CAL
Depth Chart: ASU | CAL
Rosters: ASU | CAL
(#75) California Info
Power Rating: 2.1 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


California has lost 1 straight
California has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

California Highlights
California has a top Offensive Line (#63)

California Deficiencies
California has a bad TO Margin (#28)
California Fumbles a Lot (#42)
California throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
California pass game is really bad (#68)
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
California has a bad defense (#32)
California has a bad red zone defense (#41)


  
Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005

California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza15324363%170814107.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)519753%553525.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadyn Ott2451310125.366
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)7036575.226
Ashton Stredick4220024.841
Jaivian Thomas1811016.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter63709711.350
Trond Grizzell39590515.154
Jack Endries35408211.732
Taj Davis (Tr)38393310.327

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Craig Woodson804104
Cade Uluave677203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)339843
Xavier Carlton506552
Cade Uluave677203
Nathan Burrell233211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Lu-Magia Hearns III270006