Colorado at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Washington State Cougars

Friday, November 17th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
Washington State -4.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington State 56 - Colorado: 14 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 35 (21 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU is playing their 7th straight game
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -9 (SP+ WSU -10)
Projected Score: COLO: 23 - WSU: 32 (56)
WSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 755 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#58 (.21)	41% (77)	28.2	36% (127)	3.08 (75)	69	44% (45)	295	4.24 (33)	#123 (.3)	47% (128)	34.8	48% (115)	48% (128)	4.29 (113)	71.2	0.9	1.8
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	28.2	20.8	41.4%	4.24	0.9	21	364	69	295	2.3	35%	65%	36%	44%	17%	.21
WSU Defense	12	28.1	24.3	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	34.8	35.8	47.4%	4.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	48%	48%	16%	.3
WSU Offense	12	31.7	33.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:34	21.2	38%	67%	8.9	71.2	0.9	1.8	5.5	2.3	1	28.7
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	35% (131)	36% (127)	29.8	68.9	2.3	12 (116)	-.01 (127)	3.08 (75)	73% (76)	12% (111)	0.94 (98)
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48% (45)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.24 (114)	3.14 (78)	88% (130)	10% (68)	1.03 (87)
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	65% (1)	44% (45)	26.9	39.5	294.7	7.5	11	29 (18)	4 (2)	.32 (53)	1.5 (87)	34% (106)	34% (34)	.52 (15)	5% (40)	2.2 (22)
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	51% (95)	48% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (116)	1.5 (49)	30% (99)	39% (131)	.51 (128)	6% (84)	2 (66)
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60 Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4 Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 32
Colorado 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 23
Colorado 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 34
Colorado 25

Total Points: 59

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/17	Washington State	56	Colorado	14	Washington State -4.5	Washington State	59.5	Over
2019	10/19	Washington State	41	Colorado	10	Washington State -13.5	Washington State	69.0	Under
2018	11/10	Colorado	7	Washington State	31	Washington State -5.5	Washington State	59.5	Under
2017	10/21	Washington State	28	Colorado	0	Washington State -9	Washington State	52.5	Under
2016	11/19	Colorado	38	Washington State	24	Colorado -6	Colorado	60.5	Over
2015	11/21	Washington State	27	Colorado	3	Washington State -15.5	Washington State	60.5	Under
2012	09/22	Washington State	34	Colorado	35
2011	10/01	Colorado	27	Washington State	31
2004	09/11	Washington State	12	Colorado	20
2003	09/13	Colorado	26	Washington State	47

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	7	5	2 Overs
Colorado	3	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 5	5 - 1	5 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 0	0 - 5

(#73) COLO at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	WSU
Power RatePwr	#73	#51
SP+SP+	#83	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#106	#86
OffenseOff	#82	#87
DefenseDef	#122	#88
Spec TeamsST	#121	#78
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#75

Colorado Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#82	#88
SuccessSuc	#77	#64
ExplosiveExp	#30	#54
PPAPPA	#58	#62
PowerPwr	#50	#68
SP+SP+	#45	#75
Pts POPPO	#33	#108
HavocHav	#90	#94

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#135	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#95
Run ExplRExp	#98	#60
PPAExp	#127	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#45	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#66
PPAExp	#53	#50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#59
F7 HavocF7	#111	#87
DB HavocDB	#40	#93

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#122
SuccessSuc	#40	#128
ExplosiveExp	#75	#73
PPAPPA	#65	#123
PowerPwr	#54	#121
SP+SP+	#38	#116
Pts POPPO	#41	#113
HavocHav	#94	#82

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#109	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#115
Run ExplRExp	#80	#87
PPAExp	#98	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#78
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#68
TackleTak	-	#95

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#49
PPAExp	#69	#116
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#96
F7 HavocF7	#96	#68
DB HavocDB	#80	#84

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 34° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Washington State -4.5 (59.5)
Washington State won vs Colorado this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Colorado in 2023 (56-14)

COLO's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	298	430	69%	3230	27	3	7.5
Ryan Staub	23	40	58%	254	1	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Edwards	76	321	1	4.2	34
Anthony Hankerson	78	319	1	4.1	20
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	53	190	3	3.6	11
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	14	59	0	4.2	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)	68	908	4	13.4	48
Travis Hunter (Tr)	57	721	5	12.6	47
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	58	567	6	9.8	45
Dylan Edwards	36	299	4	8.3	75

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Charles Kelly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	67	1	0	1	3
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3
Rodrick Ward (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Jordan Domineck (Tr)	51	12	5	4	2
Amari McNeill (Tr)	31	7	3	1	1
Leonard Payne Jr.	10	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	31	2	0	0	5
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	37	2	1	0	5
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5