Northern Colorado at Washington State

Northern Colorado at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northern Colorado Bears at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -48 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington State 64 - Northern Colorado: 21

Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 64 (21 - 64 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington State -5.5 (SP+ WSU -5)
WSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 38%

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNCO Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Northern Colorado at Washington State	+48.0	55.0	L 21 - 64	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Colorado's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%	21	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	64	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Offense	1	21	21	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WSU Defense	12	28.1	24.3	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Defense	1	64	64	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WSU Offense	12	31.7	33.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Colorado	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)

Northern Colorado's Power Ratings
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Colorado Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 64 PPG
Defense on Road: 64

Northern Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 33
Northern Colorado 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 37
Northern Colorado 23

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 48
Northern Colorado 24

Total Points: 72

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Washington State	64	Northern Colorado	21	Washington State -48	Northern Colorado	55.0	Over
2019	09/07	Washington State	59	Northern Colorado	17	Washington State -42	Push	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	2	0	2 Overs
Northern Colorado	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) UNCO at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNCO	WSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#51
SP+SP+	NR	#47
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#86
OffenseOff	NR	#87
DefenseDef	NR	#88
Spec TeamsST	NR	#78
TalentTal	#150	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Northern Colorado Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Northern Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	#64
ExplosiveExp	NR	#54
PPAPPA	NR	#62
PowerPwr	NR	#68
SP+SP+	NR	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	#108
HavocHav	NR	#94

Northern Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#95
Run ExplRExp	NR	#60
PPAExp	NR	#53
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#53
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

Northern Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNCO Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#34
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#66
PPAExp	NR	#50
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	#87
DB HavocDB	NR	#93

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UNCO Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	NR
SuccessSuc	#40	NR
ExplosiveExp	#75	NR
PPAPPA	#65	NR
PowerPwr	#54	NR
SP+SP+	#38	NR
Pts POPPO	#41	NR
HavocHav	#94	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UNCO Def
Run GameRun	#109	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	NR
Run ExplRExp	#80	NR
PPAExp	#98	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#86	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	UNCO Def
Pass GamePass	#33	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#117	NR
PPAExp	#69	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	NR
F7 HavocF7	#96	NR
DB HavocDB	#80	NR

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UNCO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 87°

Rematch from Week 3
Washington State -48.0 (55.0)
Washington State won vs Northern Colorado this year (64-21)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Northern Colorado in 2023 (64-21)

UNCO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alec Pell	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alec Pell	11	74	2	6.7	16

View Northern Colorado's Full Roster

UNCO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dustin Johnson	77	2	0	4
Payton Polson	9	0	0	0
Franky Morales	8	0	0	1
Michael Jordan Jr.	4	2	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Michael Jordan Jr.	4	2	1	0
Dustin Johnson	77	2	0	4
Payton Polson	9	0	0	0
Franky Morales	8	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dustin Johnson	77	2	4
Franky Morales	8	0	1
Noah Mangham	3	0	1

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5