Oregon State at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -3 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington State 38 - Oregon State: 35 (Pac-12)

Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 3rd straight Home Game
WSU is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -7.5 (SP+ ORST -10)
Projected Score: ORST: 30 - WSU: 22 (52)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ORST Travel: 331 miles

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Oregon State at San José State	-14.0	56.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon State vs UC Davis	-24.0	57.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon State vs San Diego State	-24.5	48.5	W 26 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oregon State at Washington State	-3.0	58.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	Oregon State vs Utah	-4.0	43.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Oregon State at California	-7.5	51.0	W 52 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Oregon State vs UCLA	-3.5	53.5	W 36 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Oregon State at Arizona	-3.0	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Oregon State at Colorado	-13.0	60.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oregon State vs Stanford	-21.5	51.5	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oregon State vs Washington	-1.5	62.5	L 20 - 22	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oregon State at Oregon	+14.0	61.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/29	Oregon State vs Notre Dame	+5.5	40.5	L 8 - 40	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.25	48%	17.6	51%	3.42	196	46%	200	4.47	.1	39%	29.4	44%	36%	3.09	54.7	1.4	1.6
WSU	.15	42%	22.5	44%	2.96	107	42%	253	4.11	.18	43%	20.2	48%	39%	3.52	45.5	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	13	17.6	11.8	48.5%	4.47	1.4	22	396	196	200	4.9	59%	40%	51%	46%	13%	.25
WSU Defense	13	20.2	16.7	42.7%	3.52	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	48%	39%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	13	29.4	35.2	38.8%	3.09	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	44%	36%	18%	.1
WSU Offense	13	22.5	26.8	42.1%	4.11	1.3	19	360	107	253	3.8	35%	64%	44%	42%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	13	31:57	22.2	44%	70%	6	54.7	1.4	1.6	4.9	1.6	4	33.7
Washington State	13	27:40	19.5	37%	45%	5.4	45.5	1.3	2.2	5.8	2.3	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	13	59%	51%	40.2	196.5	4.9	36	.23	3.42	78%	7%	0.94
WSU Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	74%	12%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	13	42%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	78%	10%	1.02
WSU Offense	13	35%	44%	28.1	107.3	3.8	17	.17	2.96	70%	13%	1.2

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	13	40%	46%	15.5	24.8	199.5	8	12.9	16	13	.36	1.6	27%	33%	.36	5%	1.9
WSU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.39	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	13	57%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.4	35%	28%	.27	8%	2
WSU Offense	13	64%	42%	24.8	38.4	252.8	6.6	10.2	24	9	.17	1.4	33%	34%	.35	6%	2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 653.16 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36 Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7 Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 30
Washington State 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Oregon State	10	Washington State	7	Washington State -3.5	Oregon State	47.5	Under
2025	11/29	Washington State	32	Oregon State	8	Washington State -14.0	Washington State	42.5	Under
2024	11/23	Oregon State	41	Washington State	38	Washington State -11	Oregon State	57.0	Over
2023	09/23	Washington State	38	Oregon State	35	Oregon State -3	Washington State	58.5	Over
2022	10/15	Oregon State	24	Washington State	10	Oregon State -3	Oregon State	51.5	Under
2021	10/09	Washington State	31	Oregon State	24	Oregon State -4	Washington State	59.0	Under
2020	11/07	Oregon State	28	Washington State	38	Oregon State -3	Washington State	63.5	Over
2019	11/23	Washington State	54	Oregon State	53	Washington State -10.5	Oregon State	77.5	Over
2018	10/06	Oregon State	37	Washington State	56	Washington State -17	Washington State	64.5	Over
2017	09/16	Washington State	52	Oregon State	23	Washington State -19.5	Washington State	65.5	Over
2016	10/29	Oregon State	31	Washington State	35	Washington State -17.5	Oregon State	55.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington State	52	Oregon State	31	Washington State -8	Washington State	62.0	Over
2014	11/08	Oregon State	32	Washington State	39	Oregon State -9.5	Washington State	0
2013	10/12	Washington State	24	Oregon State	52	Washington State -3	Oregon State	0
2012	10/06	Oregon State	19	Washington State	6
2011	10/22	Washington State	21	Oregon State	44
2010	11/13	Oregon State	14	Washington State	31
2009	11/21	Washington State	10	Oregon State	42
2008	10/11	Oregon State	66	Washington State	13
2007	11/17	Washington State	17	Oregon State	52
2006	10/07	Oregon State	6	Washington State	13
2005	10/01	Oregon State	44	Washington State	33
2004	10/23	Oregon State	38	Washington State	19
2003	10/25	Washington State	36	Oregon State	30
2001	10/06	Washington State	34	Oregon State	27
2000	10/27	Oregon State	38	Washington State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	14	8	8 Overs
Oregon State	12	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	9 - 5	4 - 4	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 9	1 - 5	4 - 4

(#17) ORST at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	WSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#17	#51
SP+SP+	#17	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#19	#86
OffenseOff	#12	#87
DefenseDef	#58	#88
Spec TeamsST	#57	#78
TalentTal	#54	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#66	#75

Oregon State Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#10	#68
SP+SP+	#22	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#29	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#58
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#54	#39
SP+SP+	#38	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#109	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Oregon State 3.0 (58.5)
Washington State won vs Oregon State this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Oregon State last year (32-8)
Oregon State beat Washington State in 2024 (41-38)
Washington State beat Oregon State in 2023 (38-35)

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	180	315	57%	2638	21	7	8.4
Aidan Chiles	24	35	69%	309	4	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Martinez	194	1185	9	6.1	64
Deshaun Fenwick	96	515	5	5.4	38
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	68	219	6	3.2	26
Silas Bolden	9	84	2	9.3	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Silas Bolden	54	746	5	13.8	50
Anthony Gould	44	718	2	16.3	75
Jack Velling	29	438	8	15.1	41
Jesiah Irish	18	302	1	16.8	38

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	106	7	2	3	0
Kitan Oladapo	73	3	1	1	7
Akili Arnold	62	2	1	2	6
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.	28	10	10	4	2
John McCartan	47	9	5	4	2
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0
Joe Golden	42	4	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Robinson	33	1	1	0	8
Ryan Cooper Jr.	37	2	1	1	7
Jermod McCoy	31	1	0	1	7

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5